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Bellhorn04

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Everything posted by Bellhorn04

  1. Bellhorn04
    And that's a pretty absurd plan IMHO.
  2. Bellhorn04
    Not sure what you're saying. Generally speaking, a 1.00 WHIP equates to facing an average of 4 hitters per inning. 1 gets on, 3 get out. That's elite level pitching, giving up only a .250 OBP, lower than Ceddanne Rafaela. With obvious variables like errors, double plays etc.
  3. Bellhorn04
    Duran is 28 years old and entering arbitration years. And as you say, he might fall back to earth. And as notin says, he'd be more appealing to a win now team. No way you get any top tier pitching back.
  4. Bellhorn04
    Ellsbury's sudden show of power in the 2011 season was a little fishy.
  5. Bellhorn04
    No, I was only responding to the point about expected hitters in the 8th and 9th. I will say this, I think it's very rare to see any manager bring in their best reliever in the 7th inning in a regular season game, and I believe the stats will back that up. Why they are reluctant to do so is a question that could be discussed at great length.
  6. Bellhorn04
    The Duran Dealers fall a little short in the logic department. 😁
  7. Bellhorn04
    If the Sox are dealing for top tier pitching, other teams are asking for members of the Fab Four, not Duran Duran.
  8. Bellhorn04
    He was also very good in 2023. What reason is there to think he won't stay good? None - except wheeler dealer hunches. 😄
  9. Bellhorn04
    Trading your best player doesn't usually make you better. To me that's a pretty simple concept too.
  10. Bellhorn04
    Are we talking a straight-up wager on whether they trade Duran or not, Wheeler Dealer Red? 😁
  11. Bellhorn04
    So he's basically a Japanese Jabroni.
  12. Bellhorn04
    "Sell high" is treating it like a get-rich-quick investment.
  13. Bellhorn04
    Not offering complete player Mookie market value and then paying almost the same money to incomplete player Devers - it's all a part of the warped thought processes since Henry had his breakdown in 2019.
  14. Bellhorn04
    Since 1.00 is an excellent WHIP, it would be more logical to assume the 8th is the 4-5-6-7 hitters and the 9th is the 8-9-1-2 hitters, which is quite different.
  15. Bellhorn04
    Although it's not likely to happen, I like moon's idea of trading Yoshida to the Jays, bringing back Gausman, throwing in some money or another player to make it happen. To me that's the kind of creative move Breslow should be looking at.
  16. Bellhorn04
    "Sell high" as a methodology is bullfeathers 😉, folks, any good investor knows that. Warren Buffett said you can't time the market. That's not how you make your decisions.
  17. Bellhorn04
    Right, but very few players are even capable of posting a 7-8 win season. I do think it's a little crazy for fans of a team that is in such a dry spell to be so keen to dispatch their best and most exciting player. I get it, it's just armchair wheeler dealer fantasy/entertainment. The Red Sox have plenty of money to sign good starting pitchers. I'm really starting to warm up to the idea of Flaherty. You don't have to trade Jarren Duran to get Flaherty. I'd rather see them punt another season than do something as rash as trading Duran.
  18. Bellhorn04
    Correlation something something causation .
  19. Bellhorn04
    Raffy might also turn into Mr. Aches and Pains. He had a bunch of issues this year. We could go back and forth on this for a long time. It's all in Brez's hands. He's got a lot to figure out. I will however place my bet that Duran doesn't get traded.
  20. Bellhorn04
    Agreed, but Duran is not necessarily a clone of Ellsbury either. And Duran is a cheap controlled asset at the moment. Who knows, Brez might do it. It would really take some major cojones.
  21. Bellhorn04
    Sure, let's just trade away our best player - again.
  22. Bellhorn04
    Nothing is guaranteed. We could trade for a pitcher who gets injured right away. Pitchers are the riskiest commodity of all.
  23. Bellhorn04
    I get that. But as I said, our offense was not really such a big strength this year, and removing Duran from it would not help. Past blockbuster trades for starters-Pedro/Schilling/Beckett/Sale have always been prospects only, I believe. There's probably a really good reason for that.
  24. Bellhorn04
    Hey, this is the place for the wildest of wild speculation.
  25. Bellhorn04
    Who knows? The point is, he was by far, not even close, the best position player on the team. And he was injury-free. I like his chances of still being good next year.
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