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Bellhorn04

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Everything posted by Bellhorn04

  1. Yeah, I'm certainly not opposed to it. They might have to give Cora a few weeks of shock therapy, though, after they tell him he has to hit lefties back to back every day. Listen to me talking like this is real. 😛
  2. MLB average OBP was only .312 this year, though. My go-to stat for power hitters is OPS+. It's a simple stat and it's adjusted for ballpark factors and league averages.
  3. It's what keeps the lights on, as the saying goes. It's worth it for all these pearls of wisdom, though, right? 😄
  4. Yes, I've already seen references to that LOL.
  5. Mind you the logic is really simple and the stats have borne it out - the 3 hole gets fewer RBI opportunities than 4 or 5, mainly because of a lot of first innings with the first 2 guys getting out. A lot of managers disregard this anyway.
  6. And Jared Carrabis tweeted "Thankful for Juan Soto." Better be effin' real now...
  7. And if they miss out on both Soto and Fried they're going to look like tools, again.
  8. The Soto contract will be about 50% riskier than the Trout contract. The truth is, it stands an excellent chance of becoming a monster albatross in 5 years or so, with Soto becoming a subject of abuse like Trout is now. Soto will get an injury or two and everyone will be clamoring to move him to DH. He'll be untradeable without eating a pile of money, of course. Signing him would probably be a horrible move in the long run. Not that I'll complain if it happens. Not that it's likely to happen.
  9. You guys are brutal. He's got a torn meniscus.
  10. You can also look at Mike Trout's present status. I'd say he has officially become an albatross, barring a remarkable return to health. (Which is a shame, I hasten to add.) Baseball just seems to be much harder on the body than we want to give it credit for.
  11. Depends what rate of inflation we assume, of course. To be brutally frank about it, if you're paying a guy $45 million a year and the last 3-4 years of the contract he's useless, that's gonna be an albatross under any reasonable estimate of inflation. We could look at the AAV assessment on Ohtani's contract. The AAV is about 2/3 of what it would be with no deferrals. $70 = $46. So they have calculated that $45 million paid in 10 years would have a present value of about $30 million.
  12. You probably won't have to wait until spring to know if there's reason to be pissed or not. I agree that we can't freak about every signing. But the fact Kikuchi and Snell are already signed for pretty big money suggests that we could be seeing a much faster pace of action than last year. It might be a really bad year for waiting around for just the right deal.
  13. I do think the age benefit might get overplayed just a wee bit in some cases...Soto is young but he's also played a lot of MLB games, been through the grind of long seasons, hasn't missed many games...all that might age you just a bit in itself.
  14. 15 might be the max before MLB starts to consider it a tax dodge (AAV spreader).
  15. Crochet had the big bad peripherals this year, that's why he's a hot commodity.
  16. Abreu/DHam/Wink = the 2024-2025 offseason moon standard package. 😀
  17. Yeah, but that's only because he's the true unicorn, a player who excels at everything...
  18. Stop it! (LOL) How can Pivetta get $100 mill+ just one season after Snell and Montgomery got stiffed? Did Boras really torpedo his clients that badly? I thought maybe the Snell/Montgomery stiffing meant teams were getting a bit more leery of handing out megabucks to pitchers. Kikuchi seems to have been revalued upwards based on the haul the Jays got for him, and then he kind of validated it with the Stros.
  19. Based on pure offensive numbers, Manny is a pretty good comp. Without digging into it, I'm guessing his WAR took a pretty big hit from bad D.
  20. He chocked (sic) when the Mets needed him most. 😉
  21. Pitchers are different. We've become accustomed to them having strange and frequent injuries.
  22. If the Dodgers sign both Soto and Sasaki, I think it will impact the game itself in a bad way. The other 29 owners will be pissed and they'll try to figure out how to address it in the next CBA. Major, major yuck.
  23. He declined an offer, but I think he's getting a bad rap on it. He said the offer wasn't enticing, but he also said he knows he has to improve in certain areas to earn a bigger offer.
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