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Bellhorn04

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Everything posted by Bellhorn04

  1. Bellhorn04
    Especially when it's actually 5 years and the present value is only $128 mill.
  2. Bellhorn04
    LOL well played.
  3. Bellhorn04
    I just read the article. Speier didn't say close to $100 mill in penalties. He said close to $100 million in payroll plus tax plus forfeited revenue sharing. But about half of it is payroll.
  4. Bellhorn04
    I just posted about this on the Betts or Martinez? thread.
  5. Bellhorn04
    After the Cole signing and the other salary escalation, Mookie is probably looking at about 375 million now.
  6. Bellhorn04
    And they're going to be very well positioned to do it. They're better, Astros are worse, Red Sox are cutting payroll...
  7. Bellhorn04
    So going into this year the highest contract for a pitcher was 217 million. Now it's 324 million. That's a 49.3% leap.
  8. Bellhorn04
    Ay, there's the rub.
  9. Bellhorn04
    In theory that's possible, but in reality I think you're more likely to end up in the position we're in right now, scrambling to cut payroll to get under the line in the third year. To me it would make more sense to hover around the first tax threshold each year like we used to before 2018.
  10. Bellhorn04
    Having read a little about this now, it appears the bottom line is that McCourt was an idiot, but still made a killing selling the team after being forced to do so.
  11. Bellhorn04
    Very true.
  12. Bellhorn04
    If they do re-set in 2020 and go over in 2021 and 2022, presumably they'd be right back in the same position of wanting to re-set in 2023. Which means they would have to be very careful about the long-term commitments in 2021 and 2022. Sort of a Catch-22, isn't it? Also, the current CBA expires at the end of 2021, and everything after that is kind of up in the air. Just pointing out that there's nothing simple about any of it...
  13. Bellhorn04
    Recency mattered a lot to the Sox when they signed Eovaldi for 68 million, wouldn't you say?
  14. Bellhorn04
    I don't know the details of the bankruptcy you're referring to, but McCourt bought the Dodgers for $430 million in 2004 and sold for $2 billion in 2012. The value has now grown to $3.2 billion.
  15. Bellhorn04
    Price + Eovaldi have an AAV of $48 mill.
  16. Bellhorn04
    The Recency Bias going into 2019 was a lot more positive than the Recency Bias is going into 2020.
  17. Bellhorn04
    The point of the article seems to be that in recent years, free agents signing with new teams have been succeeding at a higher rate than they were before. They're adapting better or some such thing.
  18. Bellhorn04
    It's not a question of disappointment. It's a question of the likelihood of a player like Marisnick or Renfroe being flipped. To me it seems even less likely than some of the other trade proposals being drawn up. I think I'm just getting trade proposal fatigue, especially because nothing is actually happening.
  19. Bellhorn04
    The arbitration system itself is kind of wonky. Maybe they should just have an arbitrator assign salaries to the players and do away with any negotiations altogether. What's the point of having a process that everyone wants to avoid?
  20. Bellhorn04
    Man, are things so bad that we're talking about trading for a guy another team just traded for?
  21. Bellhorn04
    That's true, but since buying the team JH has demonstrated commitments to spending and winning. Some of that surely comes from a perceived correlation between on-field success and the economic value of 'the brand'.
  22. Bellhorn04
    To me it's just about adapting to ever-changing circumstances. Some of the Red Sox current payroll issues have nothing whatever to do with mad spending. They have to do with an increasingly quirky pay system that sees a player like Mookie Betts go from minimum wage to $28 million with the team doing nothing.
  23. Bellhorn04
    That's certainly the way it's been going. My only point is that all the revenue comes from the fans, so if the attendance and viewership keep declining, something's gotta give.
  24. Bellhorn04
    I'm no economist, but if attendance is down and viewership is down, how can salaries keep going up?
  25. Bellhorn04
    The main takeaway is that salaries still haven't stopped escalating, which is pretty amazing.
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