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mvp 78

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Everything posted by mvp 78

  1. mvp 78
    Why would he opt out? Aging hitters aren't going to get more expensive in this day and age. Only pitchers in their 30's are retaining their value at the moment and that's because of scarcity. Bregman's production being replaced by Campbell in a year or two is harder to accomplish for pitchers.
  2. mvp 78
    Boras doesn't have his fastball anymore.
  3. mvp 78
    I don't want to get too worked up over k's. The Yankees only have one projected starter below 21% k rate: Oswaldo Cabrera.
  4. mvp 78
    Comparing the WAR of players from the past few seasons to when the Sox were year in/year out playoff threats is pretty sad.
  5. mvp 78
  6. mvp 78
    They were comfortable on their valuations of David Price (a pitcher over 30!?!?!?), Trevor Story and Masataka Yoshida. They thought 300M to Mookie was an overpay a few years ago. They are both the interest kings and the kings of getting pie faced and ruining their once great legacy.
  7. mvp 78
    Ask Cora. Story hit behind Raffy in each start of 2024. That was supposed to be Story's return to form season and I think Cora had high hopes for him.
  8. mvp 78
    At the moment, they don't really care about losing a few fans. So far, Fenway keeps getting filled up with AWAY fans when Sox fans stay home. Not many people are going to forgo NESN because of one bad Sox season. The past few years haven't impacted their pockets and probably wouldn't for many years. It's "America's Most Beloved Ballpark!"
  9. mvp 78
    It'd have to be a very big move, not just signing Bregman.
  10. mvp 78
  11. mvp 78
    Actually, they only bid on Soto to appease the fans and drive the price up. Ownership knew that they were never going to sign him. 🤑
  12. mvp 78
    Vegas isn't about realistic win/loss, but about what people will bet for/against. I think 85 seems right to me without further additions. I don't think I've projected them to be a 90 win team since 2019.
  13. mvp 78
    I don't think it has to do with Henry being cheap. I bet he lives a luxurious lifestyle and would pick up the tab if we all went out. I think he just wants to look smart and to do that he can't be uncouth and simply buy players by outspending everyone else. Winning is important, but he wants to be seen as the brainiac who won, rather than the billionaire who paid for a championship.
  14. mvp 78
    Also, per sabermetrics, it's better to put Casas at cleanup than hit him in the 3 hole. Story is the weakest hitter of the 4 and should bat third. I've been told that's how it should work these days.
  15. mvp 78
    Just looked at the SoxProspects forum and let's just say that we are more bearish on the Sox outlook this year than they are. There are quite a few posters over there projecting them at 90+ wins and the lowest win projection was 84. Honestly, I don't know how anyone could see this team as a 95 win team as presently constructed and I'm counting on big seasons from Story and Masa.
  16. mvp 78
    I don't think there's any chance that Cora rolls out a L/L/L batting order. It will most likely be Jarren/Raffy/Story/Casas at the top of the lineup, the way it was at the beginning of last season before Story got hurt. Guerrero makes more sense for this roster than an innings guy like Criswell. Since he has options, Criswell will start in AAA and stay stretched out. SoxProspects projects Austin Adams as making the team out of camp. He's had an interesting career with some really good years. He's very slider heavy and seems to fit what they were doing last season. Would I rather Adams or Kelly? I'd rather they had another FA acquisition TBH.
  17. mvp 78
    I'm not sure Sam impacts anything with the Red Sox except the PR spin.
  18. mvp 78
    xSLG by year '22 17th percentile '23 17th percentile '24 11th percentile He doesn't barrel the ball. He doesn't have good exit velo or hard hit %. He just has good k and bb %s. Yoshida's Statcast page looks better than Paredes'. He is slower than Yoshida too. He's also not a FB hitter so wouldn't take advantage of the Monster.
  19. mvp 78
    Per 162, Devers has been over 30 HR's every year from 2019-2024. Over that stretch, he's at 34 per 162.
  20. mvp 78
    It wasn't high on MY priority list at the start of the offseason and it doesn't really seem to be high on theirs either. We'll see if it hurts them in the end.
  21. mvp 78
    With Liverpool, they are still in the Sox 2016-18 golden age. Eventually, their time will run out and other teams will catch up. The lack of spending will come back to bite them.
  22. mvp 78
    I would be happy with those trades. However, I just don't see the Cards actually trading for Yoshida. They want to save a considerable amount of $$$ and taking back Masa doesn't really help. Bloom and some scouts may have liked Masa before he was signed, but they probably think a bit differently two years later.
  23. mvp 78
    It's that time of year where many people show up looking that way.
  24. mvp 78
    Agreed. They've been running their internal value system out there since the Lester days. It has less to do with trying to save a buck and more to do with trying to look smart in front of other owners. Henry COULD outspend everyone else, but that just wouldn't be sporting of him. He still worries about revenue sharing to smaller clubs (unlike other bigger clubs) and wants to win the same way he made all his money back in the day. I've said it over and over again, but just rewatch the Henry scene in Moneyball. It's all you need to know. I would bet everything that he looks at the '25 Dodgers and Mets the same way he looked at the Yankees 20+ years ago. John Henry: For forty-one million, you built a playoff team. You lost Damon, Giambi, Isringhausen, Pena and you won more games without them than you did with them. You won the exact same number of games that the Yankees won, but the Yankees spent one point four million per win and you paid two hundred and sixty thousand. I know you've taken it in the teeth out there, but the first guy through the wall. It always gets bloody, always. It's the threat of not just the way of doing business, but in their minds it's threatening the game. But really what it's threatening is their livelihoods, it's threatening their jobs, it's threatening the way that they do things. And every time that happens, whether it's the government or a way of doing business or whatever it is, the people are holding the reins, have their hands on the switch. They go bat s*** crazy. I mean, anybody who's not building a team right and rebuilding it using your model, they're dinosaurs. They'll be sitting on their ass on the sofa in October, watching the Boston Red Sox win the World Series.
  25. mvp 78
    I don't think they really liked the RHB on the market and they didn't want to sign relievers to deals longer than one year. The guys that got one year deals were potentially not seen as upgrades. That's my only guess on the matter. There's nothing new to be found here and nothing enlightening. We already know what the CBO is going to say before he says it. Breslow may just be a little more artful than Bloom was.
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