2025 Prospects

[Larry Cook]

On 10/28/2025 at 1:35 PM, moonslav59 said:

I was thinking of Uberstine when I mentioned Sandlin & Mullins.

I agree, it's not decided, but they seem like very possible candidates to be converted at the beginning of '26. Maybe Uberstine is, or is traded.

I could see Crawford moved to the MLB pen to start '26, and that might allow Early to be the 5th starter- assuming Dobbins begins on the IL, but we also have Sandoval, Harrison and Fitts, who could be the first moved to the pen.

There are a lot of possibilities and soxprospects.com is just making projections, and they could easily be off the mark.

I did not see uberstine pitch much in 2025, but when I did, his fastball and secondaries looked okay, but some pitches wandered over the meaty part of the plate and he paid the price for it. 

[moonslav59]

12 minutes ago, Larry Cook said:

I did not see uberstine pitch much in 2025, but when I did, his fastball and secondaries looked okay, but some pitches wandered over the meaty part of the plate and he paid the price for it. 

He led the Sox minors in IP and ended up with a decent 3.58 ERA, but the .720 OPS Against is not that good.

4.33 FIP/4.09 xFIP

He could be the odd man out, if younger pitchers start making jumps.

[Larry Cook]

52 minutes ago, moonslav59 said:

He led the Sox minors in IP and ended up with a decent 3.58 ERA, but the .720 OPS Against is not that good.

4.33 FIP/4.09 xFIP

He could be the odd man out, if younger pitchers start making jumps.

Is the bullpen an on option? 

[moonslav59]

1 minute ago, Larry Cook said:

Is the bullpen an on option? 

Always. A trade might be, too.

[moonslav59]

Sox xFIP Leaders (70+ IP)

2.52 Tolle

2.94 Anderson

2.95 Early

3.15 Fajardo

3.17 Holobetz

3.33 E Rivera

3.43 D Rogers

3.44 Mullins

3.51 Sansone

3.59 Sprague

3.61 Aita 

FIP

2.47 Fajardo

2.73 Early

2.74 Tolle

3.03 Rogers

3.23 Rivera

3.25 Holobetz

[moonslav59]

Highest K% (60+ IP) w BB%

37 Tolle (6)

32 Early (10)

32 Travieso (13)

30 Mullins (12)

30 Rivera (13)

29 Mata, Rogers & Fajardo

[moonslav59]

MLB.com thinks...

Sandlin and Bleis are all but sure to be protected. All teams must set their 40-man roster by Nov. 18.

[mvp 78]

16 hours ago, moonslav59 said:

MLB.com thinks...

Sandlin and Bleis are all but sure to be protected. All teams must set their 40-man roster by Nov. 18.

Zero chance Bleis is protected. He wouldn't see time in BOS until late '27 at the earliest and then would be out of options in '28. Waste of a roster spot. 

[Larry Cook]

6 hours ago, mvp 78 said:

Zero chance Bleis is protected. He wouldn't see time in BOS until late '27 at the earliest and then would be out of options in '28. Waste of a roster spot. 

I have to agree with you 100 percent. He cannot hit breaking balls or off speed stuff consistently 

[moonslav59]

7 hours ago, mvp 78 said:

Zero chance Bleis is protected. He wouldn't see time in BOS until late '27 at the earliest and then would be out of options in '28. Waste of a roster spot. 

Agreed. MLB.com is so messed up on farm issues.

[moonslav59]

58 minutes ago, Larry Cook said:

I have to agree with you 100 percent. He cannot hit breaking balls or off speed stuff consistently 

I'd put 10-15 players ahead of him.

[Larry Cook]

Arias, 2 Garcias and Gonzales is all we got as far as potential Boston bound bat prospects! 
Romero and gotknot would need to take a big leap to have any chance 

[moonslav59]

16 hours ago, Larry Cook said:

Arias, 2 Garcias and Gonzales is all we got as far as potential Boston bound bat prospects! 
Romero and gotknot would need to take a big leap to have any chance 

I think Godbout has a good shot at moving up, but I'm not sure he needs to do it, soon.

Romero may top out as a decent utility player. Nelly Taylor, at age 22, might be at the point where a jump is needed, soon. #40 Mason White might surprise us.

Bleis (21), Cespedes (20)and Castro (22) seem to be at their make it or break it point, despite their rather young ages.

We have some super young talent that looks promising, but it's too early to know:

12 Dorian Soto SS (17 yrs old)

27 Enddy Azocar (18)

29 Hector Ramos SS (18)

30 Harold Rivas OF (17)

31 Johanfarn Garcia C (20 and my sleeper pick)

32 Conrad Cason SS/P (19)

36 Y Rod OF (19)

37 S Nunez (19)

Obviously, our everyday player prospect strength has fallen with all the graduations, but we still have some hopefuls.

 

 

[moonslav59]

Some DSL wRC+ numbers (110+ PAs)

179 Josue Brito (best in Sox system)

160 Edwin Darville (2nd best)

151 Louis Andujar (3rd)

(Anthony was 4th at 146)

144 Franklin Primera (5th)

131 Jostin Ogando (8th)

128 Miguel Welch (9th)

116 Hector Ramos (21st)

110 Harold Rivas (27th)

 

 

[moonslav59]

Top ISO on the farm (110+ PAs)

.321 Brito (He is also 4th in BB/K at 1.3!)

.244 Andujar (8th in BB/K at 1.1)

.207 Romero

.204 Jo Garcia

.203 Anthony & Jh Garcia

.200 Mayer

 

[moonslav59]

Soxprospects.com has these estimated arrival times for their top pitching prospects:

2026:

1. Tolle

3. Peralez

5. Early

13. Sandlin (RP?)

20. Uberstine

22. Mullins (RP?)

25. Drohan

(Maybe E Rivera)

 

2027:

7. Valera

8. Clarke

21. Holobetz

17. Paez

33. Monegro

35. Aita

(Maybe Tygart & Neeley)

 

2028:

4. Witherspoon

11. Fajardo

14. Phillips

15. Eyanson

(Maybe Jose Bello, Y Ruiz, B Morgan, D Brown)

 

2029:

23. Travieso

28. Delzine

32. Cason

(Maybe M Bido, Y Chirino, M Frias)

[Behindenemylines]

On 10/31/2025 at 11:18 AM, mvp 78 said:

Zero chance Bleis is protected. He wouldn't see time in BOS until late '27 at the earliest and then would be out of options in '28. Waste of a roster spot. 

Bleis has been a disappointment so far in his minor league career,  but his tools keep him in top prospect status. This is why the Sox will protect him unless he is part of a trade package for a number 2 starter

[moonslav59]

4 hours ago, Behindenemylines said:

Bleis has been a disappointment so far in his minor league career,  but his tools keep him in top prospect status. This is why the Sox will protect him unless he is part of a trade package for a number 2 starter

I have to strongly disagree. No team will put him on their 26 man roster for a full season in hopes that he fulfills his "5 tool" promise. He's had 5 years in the minors and never topped .746 after FCL. Instead of getting better, he's declined at every level and failed to get to AAA.

.687 A-

.672 A+

.554 AA

I'd say the odds are less than 2% we protect him and less than 1% anybody takes him. (I'd say less than 1% on protecting him, if I felt we had a roster crunch, but I don't.

Sandlin 80% chance of protection: 60% chance selected.

Mullins 40% chance of protection: 10% chance selected.

Paez 10% and 1%.

Bleis 2% and less than 1%.

[mvp 78]

19 hours ago, moonslav59 said:

Soxprospects.com has these estimated arrival times for their top pitching prospects:

2026:

1. Tolle

3. Peralez

5. Early

13. Sandlin (RP?)

20. Uberstine

22. Mullins (RP?)

25. Drohan

(Maybe E Rivera)

 

2027:

7. Valera

8. Clarke

21. Holobetz

17. Paez

33. Monegro

35. Aita

(Maybe Tygart & Neeley)

 

2028:

4. Witherspoon

11. Fajardo

14. Phillips

15. Eyanson

(Maybe Jose Bello, Y Ruiz, B Morgan, D Brown)

 

2029:

23. Travieso

28. Delzine

32. Cason

(Maybe M Bido, Y Chirino, M Frias)

I don't think Valera gets to BOS in late '27. Monegro is out after TJS so I don't see that either.

That '28 group seems like it could beat a few of those '27 guys for sure. I like Aita, but he seems like a one level at a time guy. Maybe the '28 guys get adjusted after they see them pitch this spring? 

[mvp 78]

18 hours ago, Behindenemylines said:

Bleis has been a disappointment so far in his minor league career,  but his tools keep him in top prospect status. This is why the Sox will protect him unless he is part of a trade package for a number 2 starter

If someone was going to offer me an average MLB reliever for Bleis, I'd take that offer right now. You need to produce on the field at some point. He isn't hitting for power and the low line drive rate is concerning. He either hits a groundball, or just pops it up. He's projected to have a low hit tool, but lots of power and it's just not there. He's fast and looks good in warmups. 

'25 685 OPS

'24 657 OPS

'23 607 OPS

He hasn't had an OPS above 750 for a partial season since he left the complex league. I just don't see him as a top prospect. 

[mvp 78]

6 minutes ago, Hugh2 said:

Meant to post this on another thread, and I can't delete it now....I give up.  Sorry for exposing you all to this porn

I deleted it for you. If you ever want something deleted, just message or @ me. 

[mvp 78]

1 minute ago, mvp 78 said:

I deleted it for you. If you ever want something deleted, just message or @ me. 

Wait, I'm dumb and deleted the wrong one. Please repost the other one. @Hugh2

[moonslav59]

11 minutes ago, mvp 78 said:

I don't think Valera gets to BOS in late '27. Monegro is out after TJS so I don't see that either.

That '28 group seems like it could beat a few of those '27 guys for sure. I like Aita, but he seems like a one level at a time guy. Maybe the '28 guys get adjusted after they see them pitch this spring? 

I wondered about Valera & Monegro, too.

They have Valera as starting the season as the A+ ace. He'd probably have to be promoted to AA in '26 to be on track for a shot at '27, but late '27 could be the time.

Monegro might have been a close Rule 5 call had he not had TJS, and yes 2028 seems more likely.

The chart does show a pretty even flow of prospect pitchers ML ready times. Of course those due in '28 & '29 are not as highly ranked, but much of the is due to lack of evidence, experience and rawness. 4 of our top 15 prospects (5 if you count Valera) are pitchers due in 2028. 

With Tolle, Early, Dobbins & Fitts getting a taste of MLB, this season and Perales due very soon, we should expect 3-4 of them to make considerable contributions in 2026. Maybe two from Holobetz, Clarke, Paez or Aita make some contribution in '27 and then that class of '28 provides a bigger boost than '27. Maybe a couple college kids jump up by a half season or full one.

[mvp 78]

48 minutes ago, moonslav59 said:

I wondered about Valera & Monegro, too.

They have Valera as starting the season as the A+ ace. He'd probably have to be promoted to AA in '26 to be on track for a shot at '27, but late '27 could be the time.

Monegro might have been a close Rule 5 call had he not had TJS, and yes 2028 seems more likely.

The chart does show a pretty even flow of prospect pitchers ML ready times. Of course those due in '28 & '29 are not as highly ranked, but much of the is due to lack of evidence, experience and rawness. 4 of our top 15 prospects (5 if you count Valera) are pitchers due in 2028. 

With Tolle, Early, Dobbins & Fitts getting a taste of MLB, this season and Perales due very soon, we should expect 3-4 of them to make considerable contributions in 2026. Maybe two from Holobetz, Clarke, Paez or Aita make some contribution in '27 and then that class of '28 provides a bigger boost than '27. Maybe a couple college kids jump up by a half season or full one.

Valera has a little injury concern to me. He may be in AA by the end of the year, but it doesn't mean he's necessarily on the doorstep. 

Valera and Clarke could also blow the doors off this season and beat expectations. 🫠

[Hugh2]

4 hours ago, mvp 78 said:

Wait, I'm dumb and deleted the wrong one. Please repost the other one. @Hugh2

I didn't even realize you're a moderator now hahaha.  I'll repost it shortly, it's a highlight reel of Rafaela....and it's glorious. 

[mvp 78]

40 minutes ago, Hugh2 said:

I didn't even realize you're a moderator now hahaha.  I'll repost it shortly, it's a highlight reel of Rafaela....and it's glorious. 

I saw. It was cool. 

[Larry Cook]

I am excited about the pitching we have coming through the farm system! 

dobbins - is ready now. But coming off the acl injury, maybe he starts the year at Worcester and gets the command and control tightened back up after the layoff! 

early - really close to being ready. Had four decent pitches but no out pitch per se. 

Tolle - he needs time in Worcester. The fastball is elite! The secondary pitches are works in progress. Future closer? 
 

fitts - UCL injury waiting to happen! When he has velocity, he can get any major league hitters out! When velocity decreases he becomes very hit table. Bullpen guy to me, 

Mullins - none of his pitches make you say “wow” like Valera’s do, but he strikes out guys and he does not give up many runs!  
 

holobetz - when he has command and control, his stuff is good enough to get guys out. Needs to sharpen the secondaries! Talk about ending the year on an upward trajectory 

 

 

[moonslav59]

Article on Jo Jo Ingrassia...

https://www.mlb.com/news/red-sox-prospect-jojo-ingrassia-proving-value-in-arizona-fall-league?t=arizona-fall-league-coverage

[mvp 78]

Salem changed their name to the RidgeYaks.

[moonslav59]

2 hours ago, mvp 78 said:

Salem changed their name to the RidgeYaks.