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Posted
Napoli with runner on first, less than 2 out: 111 PA, .843 OPS, 33 RBI, 13 GIDP

Pedroia with runner on first, less than 2 out: 141 PA, .865 OPS, 25 RBI, 18 GIDP

 

Napoli hasn't been horrible in that situation. I would guess the GIDP rate is about average for a RH hitter with power. The strikeouts would certainly reduce the number of productive outs he has.

The k's also reduce the number of DPs.
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Posted
All true my friends but what if I told you that I think Napoli is going to heat up within the next two weeks? I have a hunch he is ready to make a big move with the bat, but just to play it safe get him out of the No. 5 hole until he gets really going again.
Fred, you might have been off by a couple of days, but it looks like you were dead on right again.
Posted
Napoli must totally hate the hot weather in a way that is way beyond the norm. Maybe that is why he often looks so exhausted and swings such a slow bat during the really hot days of summer. Sort of the opposite of some of the Latin players that look like frozen popsicles in April and May.
Posted
Fred, you might have been off by a couple of days, but it looks like you were dead on right again.

 

Now this time I give Fred his props.

Posted
Nap won't be back. Not with Corey Hart and Jose Abreu on the open market.

 

Corey Hart is probably going to be just as expensive, he's coming off missing a full year, and isn't an upgrade. His beard just doesn't fit in with the other beards on the team. Unless the Sox are going for Abreu, they should probably give Nap a QO and call it a day.

Posted
I was calling Napoli's hot streak way before Fred, and no one's fellating me ridiculously over the internet.

 

Where's BTR when you need him?

Posted

It was a good prediction.

 

Kind of obvious that Napoli was going to start killing the ball, he always gets hot late in the season.

Posted
Corey Hart is probably going to be just as expensive, he's coming off missing a full year, and isn't an upgrade. His beard just doesn't fit in with the other beards on the team. Unless the Sox are going for Abreu, they should probably give Nap a QO and call it a day.
What about Kendrys Morales?
Posted
Nap has been fine - clearly our strongest hitter (his homeruns have gone the farthest, just rating raw sheer strength). He swings at strikes for the most part and has gotten on base despite a shaky BA. Defensively he has not even been that bad. I'd bring him back if no substantial term upgrade is available at 1B.
Posted
Sox have some decisions to make for infield in the off season. 2nd base is the only one locked down without question. Sox like the players they have I think. May want to start moving them around a little and that might result in Naps being the odd man out if anything.
Posted (edited)
Corey Hart is probably going to be just as expensive, he's coming off missing a full year, and isn't an upgrade. His beard just doesn't fit in with the other beards on the team. Unless the Sox are going for Abreu, they should probably give Nap a QO and call it a day.

 

Napoli is a pretty good bet to accept a QO offer. I don't see any team giving up a pick, plus outbidding 1/14. I think they could get him cheaper. Although, his recent surge is complicating things.

 

What about Kendrys Morales?

 

I think he winds up back in Seattle. They will offer him a QO, and he will accept it.

Edited by rjortiz
Posted
Sox have some decisions to make for infield in the off season. 2nd base is the only one locked down without question. Sox like the players they have I think. May want to start moving them around a little and that might result in Naps being the odd man out if anything.

 

I think the only decision they have to make is who is going to be the 1B. Unless Middlebrooks collapses down the stretch, he probably will be the 3B in 2014. Bogaerts will most likely be the SS. They might bring in a veteran who can play around the INF for insurance, but I don't see them bringing in major competition for those positions.

 

Drew is as good as gone in my opinion. The Red Sox won't QO him.

Posted
I think the only decision they have to make is who is going to be the 1B. Unless Middlebrooks collapses down the stretch, he probably will be the 3B in 2014. Bogaerts will most likely be the SS. They might bring in a veteran who can play around the INF for insurance, but I don't see them bringing in major competition for those positions.

 

Drew is as good as gone in my opinion. The Red Sox won't QO him.

 

Have you look at the Yankees SS situation? jeter is finish. They don't have anyone on their left infield as starter. A-rod is toast once he is suspended. Nunez is garbage and I don't think they like him much.

 

Make Drew a QO to get a pick.

 

Also the Yankees made Drew an offer last winter too. But he didn't want to backup Jeter.

Posted
Have you look at the Yankees SS situation? jeter is finish. They don't have anyone on their left infield as starter. A-rod is toast once he is suspended. Nunez is garbage and I don't think they like him much.

 

Make Drew a QO to get a pick.

 

Also the Yankees made Drew an offer last winter too. But he didn't want to backup Jeter.

 

They have the funds, but they probably have too many holes to fill to be a serious contender next year. I don't think they'd sacrifice the draft pick to sign Stephen Drew. Probably makes more sense to take a flier on Peralta.

 

How much do you think Stephen Drew is really worth? He's been good this year, but looking at his three year totals doesn't inspire a lot of confidence. He's also an injury liability, and entering his decline years. A team would have to outbid the 1/14 on the table for Drew, plus sacrifice the draft pick. A QO would hurt his value on the market pretty badly. I don't see a team giving up a draft pick for a player of Drew's caliber.

Posted
They have the funds, but they probably have too many holes to fill to be a serious contender next year. I don't think they'd sacrifice the draft pick to sign Stephen Drew. Probably makes more sense to take a flier on Peralta.

 

How much do you think Stephen Drew is really worth? He's been good this year, but looking at his three year totals doesn't inspire a lot of confidence. He's also an injury liability, and entering his decline years. A team would have to outbid the 1/14 on the table for Drew, plus sacrifice the draft pick. A QO would hurt his value on the market pretty badly. I don't see a team giving up a draft pick for a player of Drew's caliber.

 

Peralta getting busted will make teams stay away. Melky market collapsed last winter after getting busted for PED.

 

Drew is the top SS FAand he has done what Boras wanted him to do to rebuild his value. I think he gets 2 year at or slightly more than what he makes this year.

Posted
Peralta getting busted will make teams stay away. Melky market collapsed last winter after getting busted for PED.

 

He's going to be appealing to some teams if he's only getting $5 million.

 

Drew is the top SS FAand he has done what Boras wanted him to do to rebuild his value. I think he gets 2 year at or slightly more than what he makes this year.

 

He's getting 1/9.5 this year. If you think he's going to get that AAV for two years, then he's going to accept Boston's QO.

Posted
I go 3/45 with Drew and don't even think about it very hard. A shortstop as solid as he is on both sides of the ball gets paid. THere's no point trying to be penny wise and pound foolish at shortstop.
Posted
Yeah, was already fixing that when you posted I meant $15M/year. The market tends to be very kind to good two-way shortstops since they're really hard to find.
Posted
I think Drew can do better. He's one of the better players at his position now that he's back to playing around his normal talent level. He's no superstud, which is why he isn't going to make 20M AAV, but I really do think that whoever gets Drew is going to pay handsomely for him.
Posted
Who? That's the question. Who has the need and the money to outdo 3/39?

 

You have to realize that roughly 25 teams can afford a 3/39 player. This isn't a huge amount of money in the big picture. Remember when Seattle signed Chone Figgins to a 4/36 deal? Drew isn't only going to appeal to the top spenders. He'll appeal to almost every single team with a gap at SS, and maybe even desperate teams looking for 2B/3B.

Posted (edited)
You have to realize that roughly 25 teams can afford a 3/39 player. This isn't a huge amount of money in the big picture. Remember when Seattle signed Chone Figgins to a 4/36 deal? Drew isn't only going to appeal to the top spenders. He'll appeal to almost every single team with a gap at SS, and maybe even desperate teams looking for 2B/3B.

 

So who are these teams? And Drew's value diminishes significantly as a 3B, and he's played neither 2B nor 3B professionally. Let's stick to viable scenarios here. Give me some teams who would be possibly interested and also have the resources, because your idea that 25 out of the 30 MLB teams can afford to add 13 million on Drew is not grounded in reality.

Edited by User Name?

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