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JoeBrady

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Everything posted by JoeBrady

  1. JoeBrady
    I don't know that to be sure. I would argue that we need more OBP (and less Ks) than we need HRs.
  2. JoeBrady
    Fans speculate about every player. He's very unlikely to be available, as are most players. But Pitt and Cincy should part with some pitching, imo.
  3. JoeBrady
    Great saying. I will lay claim to owning it at some point. I won't try to convince anyone that believes that HRs are the only way to score runs. The correlation of OPS to runs scored is extremely high, and much higher than HRs. As a person that tries to attach math to as many things as possible, I'm at a loss trying to understand why people believe believe things that mathematically unlikely. FWIW, of the top-10 teams in OPS, 9 of them were in the top-10 in scoring. The only team that missed was the Athletics, and they finished 12th. The most interesting of the HR teams were the Angels. They finished 4th in HRs, but 25th in scoring, by virtue of being 28th in OBP, which itself was due to being last in Ks, and 29th in K/W.
  4. JoeBrady
    Are they not both both part of the Fellowship of the Freds?
  5. JoeBrady
    You either predict, or you don't. If someone wants to predict 85-88-91 wins,. then they they stand, or fall, with their predictions. But the Freds will NEVER predict a number.
  6. JoeBrady
    They were at $249M last year. So long as they get to the level this year, then they've spent the money. And they are already at $239M.
  7. JoeBrady
    You could still put your faith in Mayer and start him at 2nd. But I'd be fine starting him at 3rd and winging it with Romy/DHam.
  8. JoeBrady
    I think not. 1-If the author had solid insight, I think he'd have included at least some details. He doesn't even mention the number of years. 2-The price tag would put them at an all-time high. 3-And the fit is weak. If think they really want to start Lawler. If they add Bregman, then Lawler has to go to 2B, where he doesn't have a lot of reps, and then move Marte, with teams knowing they have no leverage. My guess is that this is just Boras trying to invent interest.
  9. JoeBrady
    I often wonder if adversity softens up their payroll demands. Mayer is just starting out, so no biggie. But Casas might be starting to be seen as damaged goods. The eclectic outlook is only tolerated when you mash. If I were him, I would surely be looking to lock up some guarantees. He probably hasn't made $6M yet, including the signing bonus and his 2026 salary.
  10. JoeBrady
    Hamilton.
  11. JoeBrady
    We are borderline desperate for OBP. I'm not a fan, mostly because he is lefty, but Donovan has a career OBP of .361. Our OBP's include .306, .308, .332, .295 and .317. Anthony has a .396, but that includes a BABIP of .404.
  12. JoeBrady
    I appreciate the leadership angle, but Bregman might only have two good years left. I wouldn't pay for four extra years, unless the AAV was low. $100M/4 dressed up to look like $150M/6.
  13. JoeBrady
    Donovan gets ~ $400k less in salary.
  14. JoeBrady
    The article doesn't say we might make that trade, only that we are still talking to StL about Donovan. IRT to saving money, the difference in salary this year is less than $500k. That's couch cushion change. And finally, Bello is #110 out of 127 in K%-BB%. That's not good. The IPs he puts up are important, but do you really think that the addition of Donovan would not out-weigh the departure of Bello? Bello's slot would like be taken by Early of Tolle.
  15. JoeBrady
    I both predicted and projected that he would say that. I told you that past events can predict future events.
  16. JoeBrady
    I like to see the kids as well. But you will always need other players. Every team seems to need pitchers, and Contreras is likely only here because of Casas' injury.
  17. JoeBrady
    I mean, some of these people sold their houses, bought a house in FL, and sold their house 6 months later.
  18. JoeBrady
    I find these things useful exercises. It keeps fans grounded in reality.
  19. JoeBrady
    It's funny, but people moving down to FL, and moving back to NY 6 months later because of the heat, is a real thing.
  20. JoeBrady
    I was just making fun of the idea that someone will project one team to have a better record that another team, but also claims that you cannot project anything.
  21. JoeBrady
    He also said that you had to treat your pool water every single day. I remember a long discussion we had They had summer attire and NY did not. I said they went from an air-conditioned house to an air-conditioned car, to an air-conditioned office. NY goes from a walk to a bus or subway, with subway stations often 100 degrees, back to walking to the office. NY suffered much more from the heat.
  22. JoeBrady
    They would enough for approximately the best record in BB. That would rank us ~ #2 on offense and about #5 in pitching. Philly most closely approximated those numbers and had the #2 record and #5 Py.
  23. JoeBrady
    So, if projections don't count for anything, then all 30 teams are identical, right?
  24. JoeBrady
    One of my co-workers told me that the difference between NY and Houston was that, in NY, it is almost always nice in the morning, even if it could get unbearable in the afternoon. In Houston, it never cools off in the summer.
  25. JoeBrady
    I wouldn't do it for Rafaela. Duran or Abreu, maybe. It's all guesswork. We don't know if the RS consider Campbell as someone who is about to drop out, or as someone that's only a half-step behind Anthony. Minor league player of the year is not so very long ago. For all I know, Campbell could be untouchable.
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