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JoeBrady

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Everything posted by JoeBrady

  1. JoeBrady
    Is Lodolo a #2? I think he is, and I think they could swap Duran for Lodolo. Past that, you can't think in terms of a #2. 3 years of Duran should get about the best one-year #2 in BB. Or 2 years of a decent+ #2. Or three years of a weakish #2. Control counts.
  2. JoeBrady
    But that was not a stipulation of Randy's assessment. Many teams might have signed FAs, but not many have signed any important FAs. Of the top-50 FAs, only a very few teams have added an outside FA. A couple of teams have FAs that accepted a QO, and a couple of teams have re-signed their own FAs, but maybe only 8 teams have signed a top-50 FA from another team.
  3. JoeBrady
    I have no idea why people are obsessed with 2026. If I can get 2% better for 2027-2031, at the expense of being 2% worse in 2026, I'll make that trade every time.
  4. JoeBrady
    might've ranked #12 in our system,... Priester was unlikely to have ever been given a shot. Hmmm, that does sound familiar.
  5. JoeBrady
    They signed FA Vinnie Capra.
  6. JoeBrady
    Sure, they are no sure things, but that's how you get players like that. Vientos had a 134 OPS+ in 2024, higher than Alonso. Tong was ranked #75, and had 162 Ks in 102 IPs in AA before getting promoted to AAA and then the pros. IMO, that would be a pure theft, lack of certainty not withstanding.
  7. JoeBrady
    It almost doesn't matter. We gave up someone that we had given up on, for a semi-failed prospect. Then traded that prospect, who might've ranked #12 in our system, for other prospects. Priester was unlikely to have ever been given a shot.
  8. JoeBrady
    I still agree 100%. We got Priester for Yorke, and after 48 IPs, traded him for a nice return. That's a slam dunk.
  9. JoeBrady
    I think that's the RS taking advantage of a strange set of circumstances. Booser cost us nothing, had a few good months, and we traded him for a decent prospect. Then traded Fajardo for a decent pro.
  10. JoeBrady
    The addition of Contreras makes the addition of Vientos less favorable, but that would still be a good trade for us. Just using Duran 2025, he is worth 10.7. Vientos projects as 1.9 fWAR * 4 is 7.6. Tong is maybe 2.5*6 is 15.
  11. JoeBrady
    I don't disagree. But there are some GMs that'll make bad deals knowing they won't be there at the end of the contract. Same as in real life, there is no reason to outbid those people.
  12. JoeBrady
    But that has nothing to do with reality. I raised the question about a week+ back about a $260M payroll. No one commented.
  13. JoeBrady
    1-Absolutely positive that JH is not cheap. 2-Absolutely positive that JH knows, to the penny, the marginal revenue, marginal expense. He will weigh the chances of us making the playoffs, the WS, etc.,
  14. JoeBrady
    Some of these GMs are desperate and will overpay for anyone.
  15. JoeBrady
    It's not, and there is -0- doubt about it. Money counts. It's like someone's house. If you have unlimited income, then it makes no difference. If you have a cap, sometimes you have to maker a choice. -0- doubt about it.
  16. JoeBrady
    It's good for him. I'm not sure he'd even be getting many ST starts. He actually has a shot at the rotation now.
  17. JoeBrady
    The trade suggests that Casas is gone. My guess is that he'll need rehab in AAA. Once healthy, he should have trade value, and probably has trade value even with the injury.
  18. JoeBrady
    I understand that. You only look at BB card numbers, and only at two of the numbers on the back of the card. Some people think there is more to BB.
  19. JoeBrady
    I heard someone on MLB-R phrase it similarly. It's cherry-picking the numbers, but Alonso and Contreras have about the same fWAR over the past two seasons. You'll be slightly happier with Alonso over the next two seasons, but much happier with Contreras over the following 3 seasons. IMHO.
  20. JoeBrady
    I agree with the spending thing. It is his #2 superpower. That said, the marginal revenue/expense works differently. Philly added a million additional ticket sales. That extra $100M in revenue fuels the extra $100M in payroll. At Fenway, maybe you sell another $25M in tickets. IRT to the pitching, Mr. Walker says hello.
  21. JoeBrady
    They are well-run. But could've easily have lost to the Phillies, and probably should've lost to the Jays.
  22. JoeBrady
    Assuming the Phillies re-sign Realmuto, they will be in the $320-325M range. That extra $100M would sure come in handy.
  23. JoeBrady
    Busts = 11 Negatives = 4 Positives = 8 Too early or too close for the rest.
  24. JoeBrady
    Not all of those are "real" FAs by some RSN standards. Certainly Papi, Millar, Mueller, and Napoli were probably considered dumpster diving by some fans.
  25. JoeBrady
    And they averaged 88 wins between them.
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