Hugh2
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Everything posted by Hugh2
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I think both Dalbec and Duran have stock going down, but I don’t think wink, or cutter ever had as of expectations. Maybe Cutter develops into a great bullpen arm. Bello there’s still hope for. Guys at the top of the system have more promise than they have over the last several years roo
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I think if you go over, you go up against the next threshold. I don’t think the Sox want to go over that number. So hypothetically they may have that $110 million of Bogey opts out. Devers already accounts for 11 million of that so even if you lock those two up you’re still looking at somewhere north of 60 million they have to spend (if they want too). I think they need to trade for some cost controlled pitching. I expect big things this winter. I’m sure I’m going to be let down, but they’re probably going to spend big enough to surprise someone around here
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It gets expensive staying over, but do you lose draft picks staying over just the first threshold? Given where they pick and What they get, the Dodgers are phenomenal at drafting. Gotta pump money into scouting too. It’s a crap shoot, but that still matters
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The way I envisioned a small market GM in a big Boston market was the blend the strategy. Use the financial muscle to get some top tier talent on your team but to imply the organizational building philosophy used in Tampa to round out the roster. If that’s the goal, this is the off-season to do that. Blooms pass ends with the 2023 season.
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And then they traded him for Joe Kelly, who was lights out in the 2018 world series. lol
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Lackey was worth every penny for that 2013 season and that game 6 performance.
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IDK, but I'm sure you can figure out, Just take League WAR and League PAs.
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Arroyo has .7 even if his playing time double and you assumed the same level of production that puts him on a path to finish the season around 2 WAR, maybe a little under. 2 WAR is an average to a better player. Not all-star, but not bad. Definitely a step above role player.
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If 2 WAR is just a role player what does that Make Arroyo and Whitlock????
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If there are 5 starters per team (for argumentative purproses, injuries happen and all that) for 30 teams, then ideally out of 150 guys the top 30 are your #1's your 31-60 are your #2's and 61-90 are your #3's so on and so forth. This might be a semantics battle, but I say an ACE is your top pitcher, so hypothetically your top 30 pitchers in baseball are an ACE. Now, maybe there's a difference between the top 5 and top 25-30 that's fine. But I believe that's a fair argument because what's average is completely reliant upon what everyone else is doing. If runs per game go up and the average ERA is 6.00 then all of a sudden a guy with a 4.00 ERA is an ACE. It's all relative to what everyone else is doing. Of course, AS fangraphs has said, league ERA changes from year to year, and I'm just looking at ERA leaders from this year. Maybe next year there are 30 guys in that group. IDK.
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Also, how does one establish what a #1 starting pitcher is? To me, I'd say you'd have to be a top 30 pitcher in baseball. one for each team (I know it doesn't work out that way) but by the metric of an ERA below 3.00 that means there are only 15 #1 pitchers in baseball.
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Without looking it up, how much does that change? maybe that makes an awful season a bad season, or a bad season borderline average to below average. Porcello had two seasons were he was servicable and I wouldn't call bad but I wouldn't call great either, and one as an ACE. In the end he won a cy young here and helped the Sox win a world series in 2018, not going to complain about him but I think I remember expecting more out of him. He was pegged as a guy to buy low on who might develop into an ACE, and then he did....for one season.
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From the beginning of the season that's the jump. Wong jumped 3, Lugo 2 spots, and Perales 4 from the last update. So those guys are still moving up. The biggest droppers were Connor Seabold down 12 spots and Gilberto Jiminez down 13
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I'm man enough to admit when I'm wrong. I withdraw my argument and formally apologize to iortiz.
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I guess ERA varys wildly from year to year by about a whole RUN when you look at it year to year. 4.50 could be above average one year, and below average the next year.
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don't bother, found it. Porcello sucks.
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Can you post a link to that please, I'll concede if wrong.
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Porcello had one great season, two seasons that were borderline good, and two bad seasons. It's what it's.
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Soxprospects Rankings have been updated Mayer Casas Bello Yorke Bleis Rafaella Mata Walter Romero Paulino Anthony Murphy Wong Valdez Gonzelez Jordan Ward Lugo Perales Hickey That's the top 20, the only real change in the top ten was Rafaella jumping over Mata and Walter
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So the average ERA is 4.5 and to you that's a #5 starter. That's just not a realistic position.
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If you know how to use it? how many different way can you use it if you're ONLY using just that. And as I clearly stated even by that metric you're off. In a season where he had an above-average ERA you called him bad. Please explain to me how you can have an above average ERA and be bad. Cocky or not, doesn't change the fact that that's senseless.
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Jumping from AA to the majors in one season isn’t rare, but I wouldn’t say it’s common either. If Bello looks like garbage at the end of next year I’ll start to be concerned. Start. I think we get spoiled with the likes of Devers and Betts and we forget that most guys don’t bust into the bigs as phenoms at 21, Bello isn’t going to be that level of good. But I think he has a very good chance of being a #3 Take a guy like Lester, he busted into the bigs at 22, but he didn’t become a staple above average pitcher in the rotation until his 3rd season at 24. Bellow should be fine. Time will tell
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Well it’s Boston, if you’re not a CY young, or hitting 30 HRs you’re garbage here.
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An ERA lower than the league average by definition is good. If something is better than average then by definition it can't be bad. 2019 was a pretty good season too.
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Let me correct myself, he's pitched at three levels this year. He started the season in Portland.