Hugh2
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Everything posted by Hugh2
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Exactly kind of have to, not everyone can play ss. Most guys in MLB played SS/C/CF in highschool, many of the pitchers too and vis versa
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Well they can’t all go SS now. Maybe more so this year, but we didn’t get the big lumbering 1B/DH Kavadas type pick this year. Their first three picks were all solid up the middle guys highly ranked
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Exactly, but the Sox went crazy with up the middle this last year
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I don't think that's why they got Franchy and Duran. Franchy was a high reward low risk guy who may amount to nothing but has crazy tools and Duran was a draftee. If anything Duran is worth less as a defender now because he's not a good defender. if anything, this might be why the Sox went back to drafting all up the middle players.
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This is correct. If a team has two great speedy outfielders I could see them do this against an extreme pull hitter. Don’t think we will see a ton of it though.
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Am I 100% wrong on this? I’d love to know for 100% certain. It also appears the most of draft position is gone too. If this is all true, there’s almost no excuse to not at least go right up against the second threshold.
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So far I can’t find anything that even says the new CBA excludes repeat offenders from not receiving revenue sharing
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That’s a pretty big assumption, I’m unclear here but I know in other areas of revenues sharing changes were made. So I think we should get some accurately sourced information here to be certain
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Is that the old CBA? Is one of us going to have to read the whole damn new one lol? Wouldn’t mind doing it but I probably won’t get around to it for a while. It could very well be true that they both still get a partial rebate and it’s an amount high enough to make Henry and most owners want to reset before 3 years.
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Hold on so you’re saying you suspect what was in the old CBA is in the new? You may be right but that’s a horrible assumption to make. I think we need some clarification on this.
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Yeah but it wasn’t just bad results, he looked unready. But now he looks better in AAA, he might be one of those guys better suited to get a longer look elsewhere
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2nd to home and 1st to 3rd allows more room for error because he has time to get going and make up for a bad jump. So yes, he adds value going 2nd to home but don’t expect him to turn into an expert base stealer, yes he’ll swipe some bags. But the kid has a .268 OBP at the majors, if he can’t get on base, he can’t add value. So let’s not make him better than he is. How much value is negated going 2nd to home from a guy who can’t get on base when a much higher premium is now placed on outfield defense? I’d argue at best he’s retained his value, which is pretty low right now. The good news is, he’s young enough to turn it around. But I wouldn’t be planning on it right now, I’d it happens great.
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$318 is the per team amount of total MLB revenue, which now that I think of it I'm not sure if that's total revenue or revenue sharing. I think it may be the former which should be easy to derive since MLB takes 48% of each team's revenue and divides it evenly. So the actual figure may be closer to $150 million. That still likely blows any chance of the Sox every staying over the cap for three consecutive seasons out of the water.
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That just seems like a Bloom type of move.
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This is true, but you could probably pry away one of Miami's arms for taking on Garcia or Soler and still end up paying 1/3 of what you would if you went out and bought a Degrome type...and you're getting a much younger commodity as well. Think of the JBJ trade where we effectively bought prospects to take on their payroll (JBJ) except here we would be taking back a MLB caliber arm instead. You might still have to still send a prospect, but if you're helping them shed payroll it's saving you someone from our top 5, maybe even top 10 from being included. If someone like Soler can stay healthy, well now you have a better outfield too, which would just be a bonus. If he does bounce back he probably opts out his last year which may or may not net you a pick. (probably not).
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Neither do I, which is why I see them getting creative with their cap space to bring in talent. Such as taking Payroll off Miamis books to bring in a starter, and the. They go big next year when you have to for Devers
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That would entail the Sox spending over $273, which they won’t. If they wanted to spend $272 they could easily sign Devers, Bogaerts, and go out and get Judge/Degrom. Resetting in 2024 would be a tall task though. But the pick is nowhere near as big a deterrent as the money. $318,000,000 is > moving back 10 slots.
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That's pretty much my thoughts, I think they could reset after next year but I"m thinking they're going to reset this year.
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considering the Sox generate the 3rd largest revenue they're likely not getting back what they paid out. Still, we know the revenue per team to be $318 million. But I stand corrected, teams have to share 48% of their revenue. I highly doubt JH, or any sensible business owner would ever lose half his revenue and not get back $318 million.
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Well, that's what it would have been this year. If revenues go up next year...it will be even more money. Remember the MLB takes 31% of your revenue and divides it evenly, you don't get any of that money if you stay over the cap for three years. Everything else is peanuts compared to that.
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If anything his speed is going to play more going 1st to 3rd, stretching singles into doubles, going from 1st to home. To get value there, he has to hit more.
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John Henry doesn't care how restless the natives are. Not when hundreds of millions of dollars are involved. If they think it's better to reset this year, they still have the resources to improve the team and that's the direction they will probably go. I could be wrong, but there's a strong chance they do here.
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I think it makes him less valuable. His defense sucks which makes him less valuable on defense, and he can't hit enough to get on base. Despite his speed, he has bad base running instincts and doesn't swipe a lot of bags as someone with his speed should. his value has gone up as a pinch runner. How much value does that really add?
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I think it's a deterrent but not a strong one, this isn't the NFL, the difference between pick number 30 and 40 is pretty insignificant. It's the revenue sharing that is going to cost the Sox. John Henry has to dish over 31% of his income to be pooled and dished back out. If he doesn't receive his portion of the revenue sharing then, for example, this year he lost $318,000,000 dollars. That's the big deterrent, there's no way the Sox stay over 3 years in a row. No way John Henry is leaving $318 million on the table. He's a businessman first. That's the real deterrent.
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I figured that's what you meant. I can speak "I haven't had coffee yet" very fluently.