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Hugh2

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Everything posted by Hugh2

  1. Hugh2
    I thought my earlier off season projection of Bo for 240/8 might have been a little too high, now I'm thinking it might even be a little too light. I don't think he's getting anything out of the 200's but he's going to push high into the 200 million mark. If Bregman can get 175, Bo will command more.
  2. Hugh2
    If that was the hang up....IF it was the hang up, that's a little strange to me. It feels more often than not guys are willing to waive their no trade clause.
  3. Hugh2
    In a vacuum, I can't blame the Sox for not wanting to pay that amount for Bregman. In a vaccum I see merit in setting a value on guys and not getting desperate to overpay for them. But in the aggregate, looking back year over year and missing out on pretty much every higher mid tier to high tier free agent that fits there needs is unforgivable. Maybe Bregman isn't the guy, but at some point you have to move out of your comfort zone a little. Having Bregman for one year was fine, but giving up a high draft pick for a guy is not good business and now they're pretty much in a position of Bo or bust. I get they can still trade for a guy, but you can't build your entire team trading for guys, at some point you're going to run out of ammunition.
  4. Hugh2
    For that contract they can have him. but I don’t buy the pivot to BO. Who is certain to get much more than that
  5. Hugh2
    And how many of those guys have higher upside AND options? I get your concern, but I’m assuming he’s starting the year in AAA. if he hits it works itself out, if he doesn’t you’re in the same position you’re in now.
  6. Hugh2
    I don’t disagree with that at all, but we’d still be selling him at a low, I wouldn’t expect much in return. I think the chance he gets right with Boston has much more value.
  7. Hugh2
    I’m not sure why your trade Casas. If he recovers his value is very high, and right now it’s close to nothing. he won’t hurt you playing in AAA. If he fights his way back he can become your DH or net more trade value. Very little to lose, and an effton to gain by giving him 6-8 weeks in woo
  8. Hugh2
    Or maybe dud to Dude, adding a vowel seems more efficient
  9. Hugh2
    A dud? despite that he still has a career OPS of .800, I thought last year was a slow start, then he got injured and never got a chance to get going. maybe he’ll never be good again, and maybe he’ll never get here but he’s one healthy season from going from Dud to Stud.
  10. Hugh2
    Did anyone actually like the Yoshida signing? besides Bloom that is
  11. Hugh2
    Almost what Soxprospects.com
  12. Hugh2
    That's funny, I own that book and I literally just looked at it last night as I was putting "The Panic of 1907" back on the shelf. Seems like me and you have a simliar interest in books.
  13. Hugh2
    Your opinion is well shared me thinks. That's also one of my favorite lines of all time "the smartest guys in the room" also a great book about the all the "smarties" who ran ENRON into the ground.
  14. Hugh2
    I'd have less of a problem with it if Henry zagged again.....but lately it just feels like he's doubling down.
  15. Hugh2
    Obviously there are many other factors at play, I was trying to avoid a larger in depth conversation at which we could go at ALL day when it's entirely un-neccesary. Apparently I was replying to a point that wasn't even being made and that's ok those things happen. And I'm not a proprietor, we are a coporation I just own 51% of the stock with the rest in the treasury. I'm a finance guy. "deep pockets" means nothing, I want to see financial statements. My personal wealth isn't connected to my business but I did pump some capital into here back during COVID, but I took out a loan against it.....and that was reflected in my financials. But still, the financial advantage the dodgers have over the Red Sox is being entirely pumped into their payroll for the time being.
  16. Hugh2
    I found an old tweet from November, obvioulsy teams have added/subtracted so it's not 100% accurate but the NYY are #1 with 25.4 position player WAR. If they subtracted Aaron Judges proction they would slip to 19/20th If they subtracted his 2025 WAR they slip to 23rd, right behind the Sox at 22. Who I'm sure have taken a small step forward after adding Contreras. My point is.....one signing can heavily sway those projections.
  17. Hugh2
    Exactly in line with MLBtraderumors projections.
  18. Hugh2
    Me as well. Henry always seems to Zig when others Zag, and it's worked in the past. But I do think you leave the door open to FAIL miserably with that philosophy. Which is what I think has happened 2020-2024.
  19. Hugh2
    "It would certainly be nice to have the Dodgers wealth to put into development and international scouting." We do....that was and is my only point.
  20. Hugh2
    I'm not cheering for them on this, I wish they spent even more on it. Into both personel and "THE MACHINES" I'm not sure the A's are comparision. Boston could spend a lot more if they wanted too, as they have a more favorable market.
  21. Hugh2
    I would do signature line bets around here. I am a man of your word
  22. Hugh2
    The numbers are what the numbers are. And as I said, the Soix reliance on computer models over scouting is a philosophical move, if it is $$$$ based, it's not because they have to, it's because they chose to. If me and you each have $100 and you save $50 but I save $75 I don't have the capacity to saving more money than you......I'm just chosing to do so.
  23. Hugh2
    I literally run a business, TWO actually with an accounting base degree. It's not overaly complicated. If I make $100, and you make $50 But you spend $10 on payroll and I spend $75 Then you have $15 more left over than me. As I said before, the extra revenue LAD spends is less than the excess amount the spend on payroll and taxes. This means THEY DO NOT have more cash flow to spend on scouting and development than the Red Sox.
  24. Hugh2
    No it doesn't and perhaps I need to go back further more and read to understand. But the numbers are what they're so as of right now, the gap between Boston and LAD's revenue is smaller than the gap between their payroll expenses. What LA spends on MLB talent completley wipes out the $$ advantage they would have over the Red Sox and a few other teams towards the top of the revenue stream. Personally I think the Red Sox should be a scouting/analytics machine $$$
  25. Hugh2
    Full disclosure, I didn't actually bet any money. I thought I could will something into existence.
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