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Hugh2

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Everything posted by Hugh2

  1. Hugh2
    I know but Casas went down. I was asking what his plan was once Casas went down.
  2. Hugh2
    I rest my case....
  3. Hugh2
    So what was Coras plan for 1B then?
  4. Hugh2
    You don't know? They moved him to DH because it was open and they had an opportunity to get an all star level defender there. And it worked, Bregman was great.....then Casas got hurt and Devers (who it had been said for a while was destined for 1B) was asked to move to 1B. We can argue all day about who is to blame, and what is what but it is very knowable what happened. The plan was for Raffy to DH, then Casas got hurt and the plan changed.
  5. Hugh2
    I know BTV isn't the end all be all but it's a usefull tool none the less. One thing I've looked at there the last couple years is how actual trades that happened were valued. And for the most part the BTV was very close to equal on both sides of the vast majority of trades. What is interesting, and not surprising at all, is where I saw larger discrepencies in value. Trade deadline trades where prospects where traded for MLB talent. Pretty consistently. So if you're putting together a prospect package that matches the value of a proven quality mlb player on BTV......odds are you're probably way too light. It makes sense....a bird in hand is worth two in the bush.
  6. Hugh2
    https://www.baseballamerica.com/stories/mlb-farm-system-midseason-talent-rankings-for-july-2026/ BA mid season rankings places the Sox farm system at #9 considering what they have gradauted the last two years this is pretty good.
  7. Hugh2
    How about Anthony Eyanson, Yoeilin Cespedes, and Brooks Brannon to Houston for Jeremy Pena?
  8. Hugh2
    This is my general thought as well. I'm not in buy mode yet, but I'm so much closer to it than I ever thought I would be a month ago. The one thing I think we all don't want to see is this hug the line bull poop. At least if you get a guy with multiple years of control you can address a long term need they'd you'd look at in the offseason anyways. Sure it's going to cost you more, but it would have cost you more in the offseason anyways and you're getting more. I want a premium player with 2.5+ years of control.
  9. Hugh2
    He had a .970 OPS vs. LHP last year. Feels like a 2 week flier to see if he can recreate that. If not he will be cut. A lot of sellers are still going to be holding out and he got DFA'd so it makes sense with Nate Eaton struggling and going down.
  10. Hugh2
    Thank you. fixing now.
  11. Hugh2
    .440 OPS negative war guy. Whoopity dick dah doo. No in all seriousness, while this may not be the move to fire up the duck boats this guy did hit .970 last year vs. LHP. A lot of the big names being traded will probably still stay on the board for another week or two. It makes sense to roll this guy out against LHP as our DH for the next couple weeks and see if he can find that 2025 magic. If not.....he won't be here long.
  12. Hugh2
    He put up a 3.9 WAR last year and a 6.8 War the year before. Even if any team thought he was the 3.9 guy and nothing else he's easily worth that contract. $7.7 isn't a lot of money to even small market teams. I really don't think 15-18 teams is accurate. Maybe closer to 1-2 teams wouldn't want him for the money only. Did we hear specific names being thrown out for Abreu, or Rafaela??? doesn't mean they weren't discussed either. We know the Sox were shopping outfielders, the fact that we don't have specific names means nothing, I'm pretty sure if a name gets thrown out there and deal never moves past "you want him? uh no" that stuff doesn't get reported, but rather the deals that come close and fall apart; those are the ones I think we are more likely to hear about. The fact that we don't know specific names means a deal never became serious......which is exactly what you would expect from a team that is overvaluing their players.
  13. Hugh2
    I'm not sure you go from a 6.4/5.5/7.7/6.3 to a .5 WAR guy because of just regular decline. He had offseason surgery and was rushed back and has suffered from it. His mechanics are off, the fact that he's playing is fine enough for me. The bat and defense will follow if he's healthy.
  14. Hugh2
    Pure 100% conjecture on my part, but Lindor just strikes me as the type of guy who is going to play well into his 30's and still put up 4+ war seasons. I know he's having a down year this year but I'd happily take him as a come back candidate.
  15. Hugh2
    I don't remember specific names being thrown around, but a lot of people on the radio, and soxprospects were mentioning that people around the game were talking about Duran being shopped in the offseason. I think all the outfielders were so they just weren't overvaluing Duran but rather all their outfielders.
  16. Hugh2
    By all accounts the Sox overvalued Duran, and it wouldn’t be such a bad look this season if he wasn’t awful at the plate this year
  17. Hugh2
    I'm not proposing Story for Lindor straight up. The ideal would be the money would equal out enough this year to allow the Sox to not cross the next LT threshold, and in return they could give the Mets a real piece for Lindor. and I know you DON'T CARE but I ran it through BTV anyways and they accept. Trevor Story and Henry Godbout for Lindor. Although I'm sure it would take more moving pieces than that.
  18. Hugh2
    Why wouldn't they take Story back?
  19. Hugh2
    Lindor
  20. Hugh2
    Any system that graduates a Mayer/Campbell/Anthony one year and then a Tolle/Early is going to take a massive hit. The fact that they're still technically in the top half of rankings is an amazing statement for their scouting and development department. I did compare Phillips to Tolle, that doesn't mean they're perfectly comparable. But they both had profiles of guys who could be anything from a #2 starter to a reliever. I'm not really sure how comparable they are other than that but now that I'm looking at them they both were highly regarded pre-draft MLB/BA/ESPN PT 87/82/72 MP 61/67/40 Payton Tolle received a 2 million dollar bonus, Marcus Phillips received a 2.5 million dollar bonus. So Phillips was ranked higher but Tolle definitely had a better first year. But I'm competely unconcerned with a guy struggling his first 1/2 season of pro ball. We have no ideal what their development plans are and what they are working on with these kids, and it doesn't really matter because that's not what I was comparing with them either. The raw talent exists in their system which was the point.
  21. Hugh2
    That's been a Red Sox thing for a while though, I think even under Bloom they liked pitchers with elite extension
  22. Hugh2
    Yeah, I get all that, but I'm not getting all hung up on small sample size stats for teenagers. Guys this young are just as often working on things, making mechanical changes etc etc etc. You just as often see the opposite, guys in FCL levels putting up .900 OPS and never even get out of the minors. I get they have a long way to go and a lot can go wrong between here and the majors, but I like betting on athleticism and talent and the Sox seem to do as good of a job as the rest of them at developing those guys. Phillips might be a reliever, he also might be a #2 starter one day. Payton Tolle had high reliever risk too. I just don't understand how those warts make the Sox system worse than 1/2 of them. Other organizations have guys like Phillips and if they didn't have high reliever risk they'd be a top 25 prospect.....heck even those guys end up being relievers often.
  23. Hugh2
    ADD: I think a lot of prospect rankers weight proximity to majors heavily. Guys like Sadbiel Delzine, or Harld Rivas might show immense potential and could be top 100 prospects in a few years......but every system has a few guys like that and a lot can happen between now and then. I think the Sox have a lot of those guys, and they seem to do better than most at developing those guys up the ladder.
  24. Hugh2
    They drafted 11 pitchers and 9 position players. But their top 3 picks were position players and it is clear that the bulk of talent they're banking on here is on that side of the ball. I didn't mind the overstocking of arms, but it was obviously time to shift.
  25. Hugh2
    I mean they have roughly 160 guys in their system, as do other teams. How do all those players stack up against the sox 15 and below???
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