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Hugh2

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Everything posted by Hugh2

  1. Hugh2
    I’m sorry, were you holding out for Skubal?
  2. Hugh2
    I think you hit the nail on the head here, and it’s why the Sox have a chance to have a really good offseason if the make a big move at 2B/3B. But they’re going to have to be willing to pay the cost. Which continually seems to be an interesting theme around here
  3. Hugh2
    Sox obviously fumbled with Bregman, they could literally go out and get a few guys who will probably be better than Alex over the next several years but are unwilling to pay the price. it really feels like a move HAS to be coming, and it’s hard to fully grade the offseason until we know what that move is. if I could split things up I’d say. pitching A- (minus because no relief help) hitting - incomplete. If no moves are made I’ll give them a D- a big name added like Marte to Shaw could compel me to move that grade up to an A. The other names being mention is c-b territory
  4. Hugh2
    Sox getting back Gage Ziegler. A 2024 4th round pick. fastball up to 94, does not miss bats. Does have a lot of pitches he mixes in with good control.
  5. Hugh2
    We are all sending $8 million to Chicago. i call this a win, and it clears out two roster spots. And this is before the return is announced
  6. Hugh2
    Jordan Hicks + David Sandlin traded to the white Sox. Return is unclear. prediction, Sox probably eating some money, getting back a low a kid and clearing out some roster space
  7. Hugh2
    I believe Devers is going to be the Giants starting 1B in 2026 so we will all get our chance to see how they’d go. the Sox might have jerker him around, but any team player in his position, looking at what the team is going through, would have picked up a first baseman mitt. you can’t tell me he’s not a s***** teammate. He might be a cool guy who is liked, but you can’t tell never tell me he’s a team first guy. That’s my lane, and it’s smooth sailing over here.
  8. Hugh2
    No, if healthy they’ll all be fine. Projections aren’t crystal ball readings.
  9. Hugh2
    That’s what I meant. The odds of at least one of them going down is high, both? Decent. A Sogard, Romy, Hamilton IF would be disastrous
  10. Hugh2
    What is the second full season? maybe his first full season? A career high 91 games in 2022 doesn’t change my level of concern at all for the Sox lack of infield talent and depth
  11. Hugh2
    I really like Mayer, I’m super high on him. But the fact is like you said he’s unproven and I’ll reiterate has injury concerns and platoon concerns. im fine rolling the dice with him starting, actual I’ve been advocating it. But doing so with Story and a collection of platoon players around him is malpractice. the Sox need a proven, productive, MLB starting caliber infielder. It was arguably the Sox biggest offseason need and they’ve completely neglected it to date.
  12. Hugh2
    He finished every season on the IL, it’s really not that misleading. There’s serious injury concern with him.
  13. Hugh2
    I’d trade him for an infielder of equal value right now.
  14. Hugh2
    Games played by year Mayer: 91, 78, 77, 87 Story: 94, 43, 26, 157 even before one of them goes down you’re running a platoon out at 2nd. not sure any “but” is making me feel better when you add up all those games you get some full seasons. In 8 potential full seasons you have 1. the capacity for things to get ugly is sky high
  15. Hugh2
    Trevor Story and Marcelo Mayer. Two guys who have one full season between the two of them the past 4 years. theres a real chance your infield at some point this season is Romy Gonzalez, Nate Eaton, Nick Sogard and Wilson Contreras. A very high chance of that infield minus one plus one of Story/Mayer. spring training is 3 weeks away and this is starting to feel like roster malpractice with what they’ve spent prospect capital and money on this offseason and to have nothing to show for it up the middle.
  16. Hugh2
    What I think would be interesting, is if Bregman would have taken the Sox offer, as is with the cash and PDV if they only added a full no trade clause.
  17. Hugh2
    Yes but my point was Ohtani was telling other teams the same thing. That he wanted the deal structured in a such a way, he would have had a similar deal whether he signed in LA, or NY or Toronto. His motivation was largely about the team acquiring him to be able to work the luxury tax for competitive reasons
  18. Hugh2
    I don’t think it has anything to do with CA law because reportedly Ohtani was asking other teams to structure the deal the same.
  19. Hugh2
    If you take the payments it’s often more in principal, but if you want an apples to apples comparison you have to discount those cash flows back to a present day value using a discount rate, I know with financial instruments they often use the risk free rate or something like that [LIBOR was standard back in the day]. So if the principal of future payments is equal to principal in present day the payments are never enticing so they HAVE to be higher. you literally just made my argument. How many pro athletes f*** up in life and go broke? That crap happens. There is a lure to taking more money in the future. That was my only argument, I was never trying to say the NPV of Boston’s deal was superior. just because pro athletes are already paid, doesn’t mean that they don’t make financial decisions like that too.
  20. Hugh2
    I meant the cash, the Sox are paying out or would be paying out more Cash to him in the future. I never once said the NPV of their deal was more, obviously the Cubs offer was superior.
  21. Hugh2
    I’m sure no one else out there wanted to offer Ohtani money. The bluejays offered $700 million, but it’s known that Ohtani SPECIFICALLY requested that any team paying him structure it with massive amounts of money deferred because he wanted whatever team he played for to have the financial flexibility to build a team around him.
  22. Hugh2
    I thought it was implied that if you’re taking money later, rather than sooner there is a premium attached to it. That’s how it works the majority of the time, but there are certainly times like this that make sense for a lot of people. it’s like the age old question of taking the monthly payments or the one time payout when you hit the jackpot. We can math this all day but fact is there are people choosing one and some the other.
  23. Hugh2
    Net present value can easily be higher taking more money in the future if it’s a lot more money. You’re not the only person who understands how to discount back cash flows to present day.
  24. Hugh2
    And I gave you A reason to, I didn’t say that’s what people always do or even that it was optimal. It’s just a fact. Some people take money spread out, they usually get compensated for waiting.
  25. Hugh2
    So the only reason people invest in 401k? (Lets disregard every other financial instrument) is because the employer matches? people take more money all the time to receive it in the future. It’s like saying I can give you $5 today or $10 tomorrow. you act like what I’m saying absurd or non existent but yet we live in a world where contracts are signed everyday that are backloaded and or have deferrals. So if what I’m saying is wrong why is everyone else wrong too? Riddle me that.
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