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Hugh2

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Everything posted by Hugh2

  1. Hugh2
    How many guys older than 24 are just organizational players though? bringing that average up. On the other hand, 21-22 year olds reaching AA and becoming good MLB players is much more normal than phenoms reaching the level at 19-20
  2. Hugh2
    Easy, $23 million was probably much more per year than anyone was offering him for 2-3. He was faced with the decision of taking a one year deal to rebuild his value and possibly making more money on a 3+ year deal in his age 33 season and he got to do it playing for a contender. It looks like his gamble paid off big time. He got a ring, he had a great season, and probably gets a 3 year+ contract now for more money than he got last year and I bet you it's with a lesser team than LA.
  3. Hugh2
    Does it make your back crack, does it put more cut in your strut and more glide in your stride?
  4. Hugh2
    Because you can. I would argue this is the PERFECT time to do so. When you get to pay Roman Anthony, Bryan Bello, and Tristan Casas close to a million dollars a year that saves you the money TO spend it elsewhere and build a super team without going over the luxury tax limit if you choose to continue to stay below. Building young talent and never spending is small market team, Red Sox may not be trying to be a big market team any more but they're still a mid market team, and those guys jump in the water from time to time. You strike when the iron is hot, and that may be either this season, or next offseason. But I agree with your last sentence, which is why I'm a huge advocate of the Sox spending big on FA pitchers (Tanner Scott, Corbin Burnes)
  5. Hugh2
    The thing about Rafaela is how bad his plate discipline is and the underlying data doesn't elude to someone who got unlucky and is going to see higher numbers. He's a got a little pop and gives you something here and there but his value is on DEFENSE. I'm not trying to knock him, I like Ceddanne, but my point is the profile of an elite defensive fielder who offers very little at the plate is not one that gets paid. He wouldn't be heavily rewarded in arbitration, so his contract and extension might not be seen as an asset to a team trading for him, actually SOME teams might view it as a liability. I truly don't understand the decision to extend him so early, but what I'm getting at here is I don't think he's very movable at all, at least if you're expecting anything of value back in return. I think Rafaela is one of those guys, given circumstances that can provide much more value to the Sox than anywhere else.
  6. Hugh2
    Unpopular take, but I can always flex that it was the same take I had 10 years ago. Sox should have gone after Scherzer.
  7. Hugh2
    Also, didn't he only get paid $53.00 because of the covid year? So in essence he actually beat his projection. I think that's winning in free agency, if all our free agent signing over the last five years equaled or beat projections we'd probably have a worse farm system right now (pessimistic take)
  8. Hugh2
    are 3 $10 million dollar seasons more valuable that 1 $30? I suppose that's arguable, but if say.....the Sox won the pennant in 2021 (and they were two games away from doing so) I'd say reverse is true.
  9. Hugh2
    In my book, if you break even on a FA pitcher that's a huge win. Nothing wrong with getting equal value, thats the way it should be. Nate was one of our success stories in FA signings in recent years.
  10. Hugh2
    It's almost as if they've an insanely deep roster because they spend a lot of money on talent.
  11. Hugh2
    I'm specifically talking about Chris Sale the individual and not the Boston Red Sox. It's bad luck, I suppose for lack of a better term because I don't believe in luck that he couldn't string together a long bill of health here and he finally does it after he's been traded.
  12. Hugh2
    Was playing in Boston hurting Sale? because he was always pretty good to lights out here when healthy. He just could stay healthy. Was it the air? was in the dirty water? I think we are just insanely unlucky.....we didn't deserve that, but John Henry did.
  13. Hugh2
    In a vacuum, these things work. Guys who fit the Kluber profile come back and pitch like an ACE, guys who fit the Story profile stay healthy and continue playing full time and well into their 30's, teams hit on guys like Yoshida everyone else was wrong about, etc etc etc. (we can insert many names here) but these things end horribly as well. Good teams, even the Yankees and Dodgers make moves like this as well, despite what the nay-sayers on this board say about every little thing. The difference is, this is ALL we've done the past 5 years in lieu of taking any real risk on premium players.
  14. Hugh2
    When you have big expectations and reduced resources it's easy to see the desperate moves that have been made. For example, Bloom probably put all his hope into a scouting report or two he got from our internal guys telling us everyone else was wrong on Yoshida and he held tremendous value. Knowing he could sign a $30 million dollar pitcher, he got desperate and signed Kluber to one year hoping he could pitch like an ACE again for one more year.
  15. Hugh2
    Exactly, that's whats hurting this team. John Henry's affinity against investing too much money or years into one player, yet 3 $11 million dollar men who fail is just as bad as signing an allstar who fails as well. Just look at the two teams battling it out in the world series (although it hasn't been much of a battle so far) the Yankees and Dodgers haven't been afraid to shop at the top of the market and they find themselves on the biggest stage. Coincidence? I think not. Yoshida isn't hurting this team. John Henry is.
  16. Hugh2
    So how much is a guy who has a .765 OPS and .823 in the second half last year hurting this team?
  17. Hugh2
    Because I don’t think Yoshida is so bad that losing him is going to help you as much as what you give up may potentially hurt you. Teams aren’t just going to exchange contracts and give us pitching for Yoshida, he’s a bench bat being paid like a starter. He’s only getting older, he’s not very movable, and doesn’t really even need to be moved. Regardless, an overpaid bench bat moves you FURTHER away from pitching not closer to it in a deal, so why even entertain these thoughts. i think there’s a larger probability the Sox sign a high value free agent pitcher than it’s they trade Yoshida this year
  18. Hugh2
    You’re not going to, everyone needs pitching, so the market will be high, and adding Yoshida makes the cost higher not below market.
  19. Hugh2
    I’d say more like 5% Yoshida could be worse in a few years. Why get underneath Garvers contract by taking on a longer liability.
  20. Hugh2
    It’s not like only winning a World Series makes money. So does winning every year, making the playoffs, and having that chance.
  21. Hugh2
    I would never in a million years package a distressed asset with a high value asset. I’d rather get the return for Casas all on his rather than throw someone like Yoshida in the deal
  22. Hugh2
    you're not getting peanuts for Mayer, but youre' probably not getting what you think you can for him unless you're packaging him up with a few other high value pieces. Of course, you could package Mayer up with Yoshida and get back peanuts and clear out some payroll.
  23. Hugh2
    Sox seem to have lacked both in recent years.
  24. Hugh2
    Is this a trade? it's an SI article, smoke, nothing but noise. Lets at least let them make the deals before we criticize them.
  25. Hugh2
    Another interesting story line is HOW THEY SPEND their money. Even if we could assume the same old same old song and dance, then knowing they won't spend big we still know they're going to spend in such a manner that brings them close to the luxury tax limit but most likely won't go over. THat's still roughly (give or take) about 70 million of AAV they will add to next years roster. With the position side mostly locked up, how can they NOT spend this money on pitching? Literally, they don't have much else to do. You could say they trade for a guy and THEN lock that guy up adding 25-40 per. That would be a nice slice of the pie, but still plenty of pie to go around. Perhaps they split the difference
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