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Hugh2

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Everything posted by Hugh2

  1. Hugh2
    At the end of the day, an injured pitcher is an injured pitcher. You’re paying for that FA pitcher because you got position players on the cheap. Guys who you won’t have if you start trading them for pitching who guess what? You will have to pay anyways. All the pitchers on the trading block will either demand an extension or will become a free agent in a year or two. unless someone like Logan Gilbert becomes available. I think spending on pitchers is the way to go. think of it this way. Option 1: Soto + arb pitcher = 45-50 million Option 2: Roman Anthony + Fried\Burnes = 27-33 million either pitcher could get inured and with option one you’ll have to spend more money on filling holes in the future
  2. Hugh2
    I wish I could go back in time and predict Soto to the Sox. Now THAT would be bold but we don't like in that world.
  3. Hugh2
    Yes, that would certainly be convenient for any team looking to extend him for him to say so. But most guys who reach this level, unsurprisingly do not have that kind of mindset. It shouldn't be shocking that the best of the best of the best of the best at something are inclined to bet on themselves. Also, look at what guys are getting paid nowadays in FA, even guys who get hurt make bank. If he was going to sign a team friendly deal for the peace of mind he would have done so by now.
  4. Hugh2
    A. Yoshida has never put up 2 WAR, I think that's his ceiling, in that if fully healthy maybe he has one year like that. B. Those guys you listed aren't perennial 1 WAR players either, guys like Giancarlo Stanton and JD Martinez are glimpses of what they once were. C. if he did put up a 2 FWar and he probably never will, the more I think about it his ceiling might be closer to a 1.5 WAR player and if he can't stay healthy he may continue around the 1 mark but he would have been the 8th best DH. Being the 8th best at a position certainly doesn't make you elite, maybe at short stop or starting pitcher it does but certainly not DH. I think our perception of DH is skewed because we were spoiled from years of David Ortiz (ah memories). Most teams don't really even employ a full time DH anymore I think something like only 4-5 guys had over 500 PA's as a DH last year. I could be wrong on that.
  5. Hugh2
    Why would he sign a 3 year extension though? He's slated to hit free agency at age 27 season. Even if he's just a middle of the rotation starter he will easily get 100 million plus. I think if you're buying out the arb years for 3 years in his 20's in his prime you're either paying a lot more for that OR you're offering a lot more than 3 years.
  6. Hugh2
    I think there's a chance he gets more than 3 years to, and but more than 4 would certainly start to surprise me a little.
  7. Hugh2
    A. I'm not 100% certain Anthony starts the year in Boston but he could. B.) If we are struggling to find at bats for REF and Abreu because Anthony and Duran are smashing the baseball then who cares if they're getting less at bats. I have mentioned before that Rafaela could be a super utiliy type, and REF/ABREU could be a full time platoon. I'd like Rafaela to get reps in RF/SS/2B as well.
  8. Hugh2
    I'd prefer to not have a platoon at DH in general.
  9. Hugh2
    $25 million a year isn't what it used to be. If Crochet has a 25' and a 26' like he did in 24' how much would be get in FA? a 4-5 WAR pitcher might be worth 30-35 million a year then. And presumably you're paying him in his 20's and not getting a lot of his later 30 years. I can easily see signing him to an extension that is 25 million per, also coming from a guy who told his agent he would refuse to pitch for any team in the playoffs that traded for him unless they gave him an extension just screams "I'm going to get paid"
  10. Hugh2
    As in we'd still be paying him $12 million a year to play elsewhere
  11. Hugh2
    I do think the Sox can do better than that, but like.......$6 Million. I think that's the most salary relief they get without getting anything of real value in return. I think if we ate the whole contract we'd get a prospect who might slide into the 20-30 range, maybe a hair better. Just my guess.
  12. Hugh2
    I was looking at more of his statcast data, but actually some areas where he declined a little bit he actually ticked back up again in 2024. His FB velo was as fast as ever. Ok, I'm back on the Burnes wagon. Burnes or Fried.
  13. Hugh2
    This will be fun. Lets put ourselves on record with our BOLD....or not so bold predictions. 1. The ghost of John Henrys past posses his body. Sox sign Tanner Scott/Jack Flaherty/Max Fried/Danny Jansen/A.J. Minter 2. The big 4 will not be traded, and two start the year in Boston 3. Masataka Yoshida will NOT be traded. 4. The Red Sox move up in the draft lottery and end up with the #4 pick in the MLB draft. 5. Nick Pivetta rejects the QO and signs with another team.
  14. Hugh2
    Think of it this way, if Yoshida was making the league minimum how much would you be willing to give up for him? you can easily replace what he is. That's his max value if the Sox eat all the money, not worth it in my opinion.
  15. Hugh2
    This is why I've been saying over and over again Yoshida is not getting traded. Yoshida isn't bad, he's a good hitter, he's just not an excellent hitter and has no defense home. Sox are stuck with him, if he's healthy, and puts up a 2.0 War next year, the prospect of trading for 2 years of him might be a little more enticing to a team out there. Honestly, he's a bench bat, he makes good contact, doesn't strike out a ton and seems to be able to hit for average when healthy. He's just overpaid, at this point I think he just stays here. Hopefully he offers good value off the bench and if he can stay healthy he's not a bad platoon DH. Yeah I know, not exactly the sexiest phrase "platoon DH"
  16. Hugh2
    A c level lower prospect
  17. Hugh2
    add. Tell that to nasty Nate
  18. Hugh2
    So he goes about 8 years inbetween TJ? ok sign him to 6 years. If there's damage to that tendon the MRI should show it. He finished the regular season just fine and on a high note. I'd roll the dice with him 1,000X before Burnes whos underlying metrics have gone down consistently the last several years or Crochet who who has never pitched more than 146 and has yet to prove he has the arm to start year in and year out. Max Fried is probably the Sox best bet at getting a true ace.....unless of course you believe Blake Snell is due for another Cy-Young year.
  19. Hugh2
    I don't think this is a zero sum game, I can believe Henry messed up and didn't want to dish out the money AND Covid changed the world and might have influenced Betts to just take the money and not risk going to FA.
  20. Hugh2
    Even if he went to free agency in a non covid world, he certainly still could of ended up signing in LA. Guys like to maximize their value and having teams bid on you can certainly do that. being uncertain about the world and the future can certainly change ones perception.
  21. Hugh2
    No but one can have conjecture. We had an unprecedented world event happened that led to a level of unpredictability we havent seen world wide in almost a century. It's not insane to think someone might of said to themselves "s*** maybe I'll take that 365 million now" Again we'll never know, but I'm comfortable saying it's a good chance.
  22. Hugh2
    You make it sound like he's missed a chronic amount of time, he pitched 174.1 innings this year and was skipped two times in July. Probably just being cautious after coming back from TJ, which is almost assumed every pitcher will have now a days. If anything, I'm encouraged he had it and came back strong. He's pitched at least 165 2/3 innings every year since 2019 save his TJ year. Guys get injured, I don't think that makes them injury prone. Guys who get injured over and over again are injury Prone.....that's not Fried.
  23. Hugh2
    I'd believe it didn't have much of an impact on the money he would have got (give or take) but I think it impacted his decision to sign and not go to FA.
  24. Hugh2
    Does he really have injury concerns? He got injured before but it's not like he chronically gets injured and has missed mulitple seasons. Pitchers get injured, I don't think the risk of injury to Fried is any larger than most FA pitchers. If anything, I'd say the guy who never got injured is due.
  25. Hugh2
    Was it below market? At the time it was the 2nd largest amount of money ever given. It was signed during Covid, when there was a ton of uncertainty in the world and in sports. That might have motivated him to sign that contract. I will always wonder, if in a non covid reality, if Betts would have gone to FA. I think he would have but we will never really know.
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