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Hugh2

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Everything posted by Hugh2

  1. I think Theo is going to have his hands involved in more areas where ownership has in the past.
  2. I believe today is the deadline team/player/mutual options to be exercises and for people to opt out. Free agency really starts tonight, but I suspect the first wave of moves will be resigning's and extensions.
  3. Here are my offseason additions. Shane Bieber 2 years $21 million. (he effectively gets paid to rehab and becomes the mid year addition) Max Fried 7 years $195 million. Elite starter. Tanner Scott 4 years $60 million. Elite Closer Danny Jansen 2 years $10 million. back up until Teel is ready, possible long term back up if Wong is traded. 2025 Budget apx, $223 million dollars.
  4. baseball is probably one of the most challenging sports mentally, why wouldn't they have a "mental coach"???
  5. You know who else was 22 when the reached Portland????? Jarren Duran. Yeah.......that's who. And he only turned out to be Jarren Duran.
  6. This is a huge stretch. Years matter because it equals job security and more money overall, it all comes down to the money. at $23 million a year. That means, if he turned Bostons offer down ALL he needed to make was $9 for one year. A bench bat makes that, it was a calculated risk he and many other players in his position make, it's still about the money this ISNT'T a zero sum game, taking less money overall but for one year doesn't null the fact that players primary focus is maximizing money.
  7. His career AWAY OPS is only .033 higher and he actually hits just as many home runs at home than he does on the road. According to Fangraphs Teoscars value went from: 2021 $32.1 2022 $23.3 2023 $15.6 You can't look at hose number and not say one good year substantially rebuilds his value after having a good season in 2024.
  8. There's plenty of information out there providing the contrary, although it also largely is due to the fact that his market collapsed, Boston offered 14 million per year, LA 23. You can't compare the two, unless boston was offering 2 years 45. But only player of his caliber would have taken the one year deal and assumed he could make more than $9 million per year the next year. La offered more money in retrospect, assuming he didn't get injured this year and could never play again. Assuming he could get more than 1 year $9 million LA offered more money to Teoscar. That's why he signed with LA, not because he didn't want to come to Boston. I'm sure he was much happier to go to LA and win but he would go to Boston in a heartbeat if we offered more money. It often comes down to money.
  9. How many guys older than 24 are just organizational players though? bringing that average up. On the other hand, 21-22 year olds reaching AA and becoming good MLB players is much more normal than phenoms reaching the level at 19-20
  10. Easy, $23 million was probably much more per year than anyone was offering him for 2-3. He was faced with the decision of taking a one year deal to rebuild his value and possibly making more money on a 3+ year deal in his age 33 season and he got to do it playing for a contender. It looks like his gamble paid off big time. He got a ring, he had a great season, and probably gets a 3 year+ contract now for more money than he got last year and I bet you it's with a lesser team than LA.
  11. Does it make your back crack, does it put more cut in your strut and more glide in your stride?
  12. Because you can. I would argue this is the PERFECT time to do so. When you get to pay Roman Anthony, Bryan Bello, and Tristan Casas close to a million dollars a year that saves you the money TO spend it elsewhere and build a super team without going over the luxury tax limit if you choose to continue to stay below. Building young talent and never spending is small market team, Red Sox may not be trying to be a big market team any more but they're still a mid market team, and those guys jump in the water from time to time. You strike when the iron is hot, and that may be either this season, or next offseason. But I agree with your last sentence, which is why I'm a huge advocate of the Sox spending big on FA pitchers (Tanner Scott, Corbin Burnes)
  13. The thing about Rafaela is how bad his plate discipline is and the underlying data doesn't elude to someone who got unlucky and is going to see higher numbers. He's a got a little pop and gives you something here and there but his value is on DEFENSE. I'm not trying to knock him, I like Ceddanne, but my point is the profile of an elite defensive fielder who offers very little at the plate is not one that gets paid. He wouldn't be heavily rewarded in arbitration, so his contract and extension might not be seen as an asset to a team trading for him, actually SOME teams might view it as a liability. I truly don't understand the decision to extend him so early, but what I'm getting at here is I don't think he's very movable at all, at least if you're expecting anything of value back in return. I think Rafaela is one of those guys, given circumstances that can provide much more value to the Sox than anywhere else.
  14. Unpopular take, but I can always flex that it was the same take I had 10 years ago. Sox should have gone after Scherzer.
  15. Also, didn't he only get paid $53.00 because of the covid year? So in essence he actually beat his projection. I think that's winning in free agency, if all our free agent signing over the last five years equaled or beat projections we'd probably have a worse farm system right now (pessimistic take)
  16. are 3 $10 million dollar seasons more valuable that 1 $30? I suppose that's arguable, but if say.....the Sox won the pennant in 2021 (and they were two games away from doing so) I'd say reverse is true.
  17. In my book, if you break even on a FA pitcher that's a huge win. Nothing wrong with getting equal value, thats the way it should be. Nate was one of our success stories in FA signings in recent years.
  18. It's almost as if they've an insanely deep roster because they spend a lot of money on talent.
  19. I'm specifically talking about Chris Sale the individual and not the Boston Red Sox. It's bad luck, I suppose for lack of a better term because I don't believe in luck that he couldn't string together a long bill of health here and he finally does it after he's been traded.
  20. Was playing in Boston hurting Sale? because he was always pretty good to lights out here when healthy. He just could stay healthy. Was it the air? was in the dirty water? I think we are just insanely unlucky.....we didn't deserve that, but John Henry did.
  21. In a vacuum, these things work. Guys who fit the Kluber profile come back and pitch like an ACE, guys who fit the Story profile stay healthy and continue playing full time and well into their 30's, teams hit on guys like Yoshida everyone else was wrong about, etc etc etc. (we can insert many names here) but these things end horribly as well. Good teams, even the Yankees and Dodgers make moves like this as well, despite what the nay-sayers on this board say about every little thing. The difference is, this is ALL we've done the past 5 years in lieu of taking any real risk on premium players.
  22. When you have big expectations and reduced resources it's easy to see the desperate moves that have been made. For example, Bloom probably put all his hope into a scouting report or two he got from our internal guys telling us everyone else was wrong on Yoshida and he held tremendous value. Knowing he could sign a $30 million dollar pitcher, he got desperate and signed Kluber to one year hoping he could pitch like an ACE again for one more year.
  23. Exactly, that's whats hurting this team. John Henry's affinity against investing too much money or years into one player, yet 3 $11 million dollar men who fail is just as bad as signing an allstar who fails as well. Just look at the two teams battling it out in the world series (although it hasn't been much of a battle so far) the Yankees and Dodgers haven't been afraid to shop at the top of the market and they find themselves on the biggest stage. Coincidence? I think not. Yoshida isn't hurting this team. John Henry is.
  24. So how much is a guy who has a .765 OPS and .823 in the second half last year hurting this team?
  25. Because I don’t think Yoshida is so bad that losing him is going to help you as much as what you give up may potentially hurt you. Teams aren’t just going to exchange contracts and give us pitching for Yoshida, he’s a bench bat being paid like a starter. He’s only getting older, he’s not very movable, and doesn’t really even need to be moved. Regardless, an overpaid bench bat moves you FURTHER away from pitching not closer to it in a deal, so why even entertain these thoughts. i think there’s a larger probability the Sox sign a high value free agent pitcher than it’s they trade Yoshida this year
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