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harmony

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Everything posted by harmony

  1. harmony
    Seattle's luck was bound to turn in securing the No. 2 seed despite the American League's third-best record. Since the start of the 2021 season the Mariners have the league's third-best cumulative regular-season record but have landed only two postseasons berths in those five seasons. That's bad luck. Sometimes bad luck and good luck even out over time.
  2. harmony
    Roman Anthony has shown great promise en route to a likely productive MLB career. But nothing is guaranteed. Compare the stats line for Anthony's first 71 MLB games with that of the first 70 MLB games of a one-time No. 1 overall draft pick: RA 71 G, 303 PA, .292/.396/.463/.859, OPS+ 140, 3.1 bWAR, 2.7 fWAR RL 70 G, 280 PA, .307/.364/.549/.913, OPS+ 148, 2.7 bWAR, 2.8 fWAR Since those first 70 games Minnesota infielder Royce Lewis has posted the following line over two seasons: RL 184 G, 713 PA, .236/.290/.420/.710, OPS+ 95, 1.6 bWAR, 2.3 fWAR Over the next two seasons Anthony should top Lewis' 2024-25 production ... but nothing is guaranteed.
  3. harmony
    The postseason-bound Seattle Mariners have won 15 of their last 16 games after starting the month with four straight losses that dropped the M's record to 1-6 on an East Coast road trip. Baseball is unpredictable.
  4. harmony
    At Baseball Trade Values, Marcelo Mayer's surplus value has dropped from $64.9 milliion a year ago to $47.9 milliion this week: https://www.baseballtradevalues.com/trades?q=marcelo&page=1 Could interest in Mayer be dwindling? Will the Red Sox be fielding low-ball offers?
  5. harmony
    To acquire Eugenio Suarez and Josh Naylor, the Mariners traded away five prospects ranked between No. 9 and No. 17 in a deep Seattle farm system that still has nine prospects in MLB Pipeline's Top 100 and seven prospects in Jim Bowden's Top 50. https://www.mlb.com/news/mlb-trade-deadline-2025-transaction-tracker The traded prospects would have ranked among the Top 10 in many MLB organizations.
  6. harmony
    What big bat did the Red Sox miss out on at the trade deadline? Perhaps many contending clubs seeking upgrades were willing to offer packages the Red Sox were unwilling to pony up.
  7. harmony
    Sunday's loss notwithstanding, Red Sox fans should be celebrating their favorite team's return to relevance with the first winning season since 2021 and a likely berth in the postseason.
  8. harmony
    Is this close enough? "Bello sucks. Lots of potential. Crap pitcher." https://talksox.com/forums/topic/89615-braves-schwellenbach-vs-red-sox-bello-51825-135pm/page/2/#comment-3007776 Or try: "Just leave Giolito in there until his arm falls off, He’s useless anyway." https://talksox.com/forums/topic/89564-rangers-eovaldi-vs-red-sox-giolito-5625-645pm/#comment-3005237
  9. harmony
    FanGraphs currently gives Seattle the highest-percentage chance of winning the World Series: https://www.fangraphs.com/standings/playoff-odds ... probably cursing the Mariners in the postseason month this poster turns 70 years old.😁
  10. harmony
    Indeed the Seattle Mariners have underperformed for much of the season. That “good” pitching has produced an ERA+ of 98.
  11. harmony
    Going into Saturday's games, among American League qualified hitters in wRC+, Seattle's had Cal Raleigh at No. 2, Jorge Polanco at No. 11, Julio Rodriguez at No. 15 and Randy Arozarena at No, 22: https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders/major-league?pos=all&stats=bat&lg=al&qual=y&type=8&season=2025&month=0&season1=2025&ind=0&sortcol=17&sortdir=default&pagenum=1&pageitems=30 Among qualified hitters, Jarren Duran topped the Red Sox at No. 35 with 114, the same wRC+ as Seattle's J.P. Crawford, who ranked No, 34. Raleigh, Rodriguez, Arozarena and Crawford remain under team control next season but Polanco is unlikely to exercise his player option for 2026. Seven Red Sox players, including Rafael Devers, had posted wRC+ above 114 but lacked the requisite plate appearances to qualify for the rankings: https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders/major-league?pos=all&stats=bat&lg=al&type=8&season=2025&month=0&season1=2025&ind=0&sortcol=17&sortdir=default&pageitems=30&team=3&qual=20
  12. harmony
    FWIW Seattle posted its 86th win Saturday evening and would have a first-round bye if the season ended at midnight. Of course the season does not end at midnight ...
  13. harmony
    Bryan Woo may have been the Seattle starter least likely to be traded last offseason. Rumor was that the Mariners declined an offer of Triston Casas for Woo or Bryce Miller. The Red Sox reportedly declined an offer of Luis Castillo for Casas and that the Mariners declined a counteroffer of Casas and Masataka Yoshida for Castillo. https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2024/12/details-on-mariners-red-sox-trade-talks.html
  14. harmony
    Seattle also has team control next season over rightfielders Victor Robles and Luke Raley. Raley and Dominic Canzone are somewhat redundant as late-blooming, lefthand-batting power hitters out of Ohio. The Mariners may trade one this offseason, perhaps Raley, who is three years older than Canzone, who slugged three homers among his five hits Tuesday. Last offseason the Mariners were in no position to trade starting pitching and are in an even more dire position today. The health of the Seattle pitching staff has improved in the second half but the Mariners still rank 11th in the league with an ERA+ of 96 (the M's are second in OPS+ at 112).
  15. harmony
    Rafaela has an impressive full name: Ceddanne Chipper Nicasio Marte Rafaela https://www.baseball-reference.com/register/player.fcgi?id=rafael001ced
  16. harmony
    Many, if not most, MLB teams have used at least 30 pitchers this year, excluding position players who made mound appearances.
  17. harmony
    Seattle was 1-6 on an East Coast road trip before a 10-2 victory in Atlanta ignited the current nine-game win streak.
  18. harmony
    According to Spotrac, this season the Red Sox rank fifth among the 30 MLB teams in total days missed to injuries: https://www.spotrac.com/mlb/injured/_/year/2025/view/team
  19. harmony
    So far this season the Red Sox rank fifth in days missed to injury: https://www.spotrac.com/mlb/injured/_/year/2025/view/team
  20. harmony
    According to FanGraphs, Seattle's strength of remaining schedule ranks the third-easiest among the 15 American League teams: https://www.fangraphs.com/standings/playoff-odds However, anything can happen.
  21. harmony
    Masataka Yoshida pinch-hit for leadoff hitter Romy Gonzalez in the ninth inning of an August 22 game against the Yankees: https://www.baseball-reference.com/boxes/NYA/NYA202508220.shtml Yoshida pinch-hit for leadoff hitter Rob Refsnyder on July 20, 2024, in the 11th inning of a game against the Dodgers: https://www.baseball-reference.com/boxes/LAN/LAN202407200.shtml
  22. harmony
    Does that suggest that Franklin Arias does not belong on the list?😉
  23. harmony
    From the column: (Note: Players promoted to the major leagues before Sept. 1 were not eligible for this list.) Payton Tolle was called up on August 29. Seattle catching prospect Harry Ford, who was called up on September 1, landed at No. 37 on Jim Bowden's list.
  24. harmony
    Columnist Jim Bowden at The Athletic ranked Franklin Arias No. 32 on his Top 50 prospect list: https://www.nytimes.com/athletic/6587372/2025/09/03/top-mlb-prospects-rankings-griffin-wetherholt-mcgonigle/ Subscription required. Arias was the only Red Sox farmhand on the list.
  25. harmony
    Are the Red Sox good enough? Probably. But are we fans good enough? Is that even important?
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