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harmony

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Everything posted by harmony

  1. In a swap of 27-year-olds, the Brewers might not trade Andrew Vaughn, and his 2025 wRC+ of 43, for David Hamilton, and his 2025 wRC+ of 30.
  2. Would the 48-38 Milwaukee Brewers, currently holding the second NL Wild Card slot, trade their starting first baseman to a sub-.500 club for a 27-year-old utility player who this year has posted a 30 wRC+ and a negative 0.4 fWAR?
  3. Alex Bregman is accustomed to playing for winning teams, experiencing his only losing campaign in the shortened 2020 season. Since Bregman entered the league in 2016, the Astros have posted MLB's second-best record, advancing to the World Series four times, winning twice. Bregman may listen to the Red Sox but how interested should Bregman be in an franchise that is currently struggling to post its first winning season since 2021? Does this year's Sox drama increase or decrease Bregman's interest in a long-term commitment with the Red Sox? How likely is a Scott Boras client to sign an extension in season?
  4. Two of the three wins on the West Coast trip came by two-run margins when the opponent went a combined 1-for-14 with runners in scoring position. The Sox won that three-game series despite scoring only five runs. That opponent scored 47 runs in its next five games. . The Red Sox had some good fortune to offset their bad fortune.
  5. Jarren Duran entered the season as a projected 4-win player at ZiPS: https://www.fangraphs.com/players/jarren-duran/24617/stats?position=OF#zips-3-year-projections ... but has posted only 0.7 fWAR to date with a ZiPS projection of 1.2 WAR the remainder of the season: https://www.fangraphs.com/players/jarren-duran/24617/stats?position=OF Baseball Trade Values still assigns Duran a surplus value of $54.1 million as Duran approaches his 29th birthday in September: https://www.baseballtradevalues.com/trades?q=jarren&page=1
  6. In a rare extended pitching dual, Robbie Ray and Kansas City left-hander Kris Bubic each tossed seven shutout innings in the last game I attended at Oracle Park in San Francisco: https://www.mlb.com/gameday/royals-vs-giants/2025/05/19/777855/final/box For today's game, we had to settle for standing-room-only tickets.🤨 Unrelated, but a Boston fan and YouTuber offers his thoughts on the spiraling costs of following sports: https://www.nytimes.com/2025/06/16/opinion/sports-nba-mlb-leagues-streaming-fan.html?unlocked_article_code=1.Q08.gpwq.uZyXb3clGzgI&smid=url-share
  7. The Seattle outburst came on the heels of going 1-for-14 with runners in scoring position in two losses to the Red Sox this week. The Mariners lost the series despite outscoring the Sox 9-5 (just as the Sox lost the earlier series at Fenway Park despite outscoring the M's 16-15).
  8. Let's not forget that last season Cal Raleigh won the Platinum Glove as the best defensive player in the American League at any position. https://www.mlb.com/news/cal-raleigh-brice-turang-win-2024-platinum-glove-awards And who leads all catchers in stolen bases this season ... by a significant margin?
  9. Seattle would be unlikely to trade Mitch Garver for that Red Sox package. BTW Cal Raleigh and Garver combined for four home runs and eight RBI in today's 9-4 win over the first-place Chicago Cubs. With his 28th and 29th roundtrippers, Raleigh now has the most home runs in MLB history for a catcher before the All Star break.
  10. FWIW this year Seattle prospect catcher Harry Ford has posted a .313/.425/.483/.909 line with a wRC+ of 138 and `17.7 percent strikeout rate in 55 games at Triple A Tacoma. The 22-year-old Ford may be the top Mariner trade chip at the July 31 deadline. Or not.
  11. Rafael Devers stood out as the best hitter on mediocre teams the past three seasons.
  12. The Mariners should win many series when they limit their opponents to five runs on nine hits over three games.😏 Gorgeous day at the ballpark, though.
  13. In his start against Seattle earlier this season, Garrett Crochet surrendered four runs on five hits and five walks over five innings in a 4-3 Red Sox loss.
  14. I attended a game in Yokohama on April 9 when Trevor Bauer had been removed from the active BayStars roster for undisclosed reasons. Bauer has since been reinstated.
  15. https://talksox.com/forums/topic/88909-a-realistic-view-of-the-2025-red-sox-part-i/page/46/#comment-2985935 The train to today's Garrett Crochet game awaits.
  16. Last offseason Seattle was highly, highly unlikely to trade five years of Bryan Woo for four years of Triston Casas: https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2024/12/mariners-turned-down-triston-casas-trade-offer-from-red-sox.html Entering Tuesday's game with an ERA+ of 93, the 2025 Mariners may hinge their fate on the recent returns of starters Logan Gilbert and George Kirby from the injured list. The M's were second in the league with an OPS+ of 111.
  17. The article lacks attribution when it reports that "Devers was reassured that he would be the third baseman." Was the author privy to that conversation (or conversations)? How do other parties to those conversations view the exchanges (likely in two languages)? Does any party have anything to gain by going public with the details of those conversations? From the outside we can only speculate that Rafael Devers and the front office experienced a breakdown in communications.
  18. Seattle won't win many games going 1-for-9 with runners in scoring position. The Red Sox were 1-for-1 with runners in scoring position.
  19. The Red Sox traded Rafael Devers after Devers had posted 24.9 bWAR in 1,059 games with the Sox. The Red Sox traded Mookie Betts after Betts had posted 42.5 bWAR in 794 games with the Sox. The Red Sox traded Nomar Garciaparra after Garciaparra had posted 41.3 bWAR in 966 games with the Sox. Devers is a good but not great player who has never finished in the Top 10 in American League MVP voting since he entered the league in 2017. The Red Sox probably were offered far better returns in trade if the Sox would pay down some of the $235 million remaining on the Devers contract. If word was out that the Sox were unwilling to eat some of the contract, the market for Devers was significantly limited. Baseball Trade Values deemed the Devers trade a decided overpay by the San Francisco Giants: https://www.baseballtradevalues.com/trades/190454
  20. This will be Logan Gilbert's first MLB start since going on the injured list on April 26.
  21. Perhaps the Red Sox had been shopping Rafael Devers since May 9 when the club's top officials met with Devers in Kansas City. Perhaps after five weeks of testing the market the Sox took the best offer. Or not.
  22. This past week James Tibbs III went 9-for-23 with five walks for the Eugene Emeralds in a six-game series at the Hillsboro Hops: https://www.milb.com/player/james-tibbs-iii-696486?stats=gamelogs-r-hitting-mlb&year=2025 This poster worked guest services at four of those games.😉
  23. When (and how) did Rafael Devers learn of the trade? https://www.youtube.com/shorts/pOxpfZ5jXNw
  24. I don't have a paid subscription to many BTV features, but could access these values without paying: Jordan Hicks: negative $18.5 million Kyle Harrison: $10.9 million James Tibbs $9.1 million Jose Bello: $400,000 TOTAL: $1.9 million Rafael Devers: negative $40.3 million
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