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notin

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Everything posted by notin

  1. notin
    You really love that Bill James quote as if it was his actual opinion and not something he said on an episode of The Simpsons and was not even written by him. Context might matter. Al Gore also played D&D in that episode with Gary Gygax and Nichelle Nichols (aka Uhura from Star Trek), which might not be the activity neither Gore nor Nichols are best known for. (But Gygax is)…
  2. notin
    After over 200 IP, lots of pitchers fade…
  3. notin
    One before anyone gets the label. But even a dozen late season fades can still be fatigue
  4. notin
    Even if we had three young stud arms all in BAs top 25 prospects, pitching depth is a good thing…
  5. notin
    It is open to debate, but for a long time especially among fans, it was largely ignored. Unless the player made a highlight reel catch. But even then, it was rarely asked “was that effort necessary? Would another player have made that same play more easily?” Even early defensive metrics like Range Factor didn’t consider this. (Unless the players in question were teammates.)
  6. notin
    Exactly. And fans think pitching in Boston is tough because of the media (despite many of these chokers speaking little to no English). MLB is tough anywhere, but the real pressure IMO is in the minors. Because if you fail there, you stay there. In MLB, sure someone labels you a choker (or chocker), but you still get to keep your paycheck. Outside of some negative press, what exactly do these players lose?
  7. notin
    You might not need metrics to know guys who lead the league in multiple offensive categories are great, but they sure do highlight the impact of a player like Andrelton Simmons, despite his .265 BA and 7 HRs per year. And they help make it way to see why the Red Sox do think Jackie Bradley is an upgrade over Renfroe, despite the disparity in RBIs…
  8. notin
    You do realize the Sox still have Groome, Mata, Seabold, etc, right? If Hill doesn’t work out or gets hurt, then we give those guys a chance. What would be dumb would be just counting on the younger guy and hoping it all worked out…
  9. notin
    We could have brought Martin Perez back!!! Or Vince Velasquez!! Or Danny Duffy!! I’m guessing you haven’t seen what $5mill buys these days. (Also, younger doesn’t always mean better. Do you think 29yo Chad Kuhl is better than 38yo Max Scherzer?)
  10. notin
    This is all not a new concept. One of the most basic formulas in physics is F=ma. I am willing to bet you learned it but have never seen it proven. Does this mean all of Newtonian physics should be doubted?
  11. notin
    Did you read any of Bill James’ books?
  12. notin
    By showing he’s over the hill?
  13. notin
    Oh I admit I don’t understand all aspects of WAR and DRS and numerous other metrics, but that doesn’t mean I think they should be invalid or whatever. I also don’t understand how my cell phone works, but I can accept that it does…
  14. notin
    Well we can’t mirror Devers into LF
  15. notin
    They also yell at Belichick when he makes a questionable play call on third and long, apparently thinking his headset links directly to microphones at Clancy’s…
  16. notin
    Verdugo to RF Bradley to CF E Hernandez to 2b Story to SS Bogaerts to 3b Devers to LF There you go…
  17. notin
    My experience with most “athletic marvels” is confidence is not their problem. Humility, maybe? But not confidence...
  18. notin
    Defensive Runs Saved and its computed by people at Fangraphs...
  19. notin
    That’s actually better evidence that it’s a durability issue...
  20. notin
    Ditto. I might feel differently if I actually knew Barnes and knew he was a stress case. But I don’t. I do think most of the players who can’t handle the mental aspect get weeded out in the minors...
  21. notin
    Wow. You admitted an error to me? I’ll take it despite completely recognizing the sarcasm.
  22. notin
    There was nothing mathematically incorrect in 694. The same cannot be said about 706. And “on average” isn’t always best applied to every individual. Me, you and Bill Gates have an average net worth of over $10 billion. That’s a true statement (assuming I correctly guessed his net worth). Does it feel accurate when applied to just you?
  23. notin
    It could have just as easily been the increased workload over his ridiculously light 2020. Fans like to label every slump as mental far too fast, like we did with Price until it suddenly didn’t apply any more...
  24. notin
    Again, please read post 706...
  25. notin
    The formula that I (tried to) write is total bases times the sum of hits and walks. Etc. The point is “hits” alone don’t equate to runs and ultimately wins. Total bases are a very big factor...
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