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notin

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Everything posted by notin

  1. notin
    I will openly predict he goes to the Cubs for a package featuring 24yo corner INF Jonathon Long….
  2. notin
    Yes. He only needs 19.2 IP, I think. Will he get that many if he stays in Boston? I think the option kicks in and his 2027 is guaranteed. For the Cubs. They desperately need a closer and the last time they acquired him, things went well…
  3. notin
    Bear in mind we did get Contreras for a respectable but unexciting package of Hunter Dobbins, Yhoiker Fajardo, and Blake Aita. I know some folks were enamored of Fajardo, but he was acquired in a trade for the extremely replaceable Cam Booser. Set your prices accordingly. At the trade deadline, Tyron Guerrero might be more valuable than Contreras, which is why I don’t expect a trade….
  4. notin
    … which is exactly why no one took your two game evaluation of Mayer seriously, presumably because we knew all it meant was he had 0 RBIs in two games…
  5. notin
    I did say earlier on this thread it many teams will be looking for 1b/DH types, so he most likely stays put. But let’s not go comparing Contreras at 34 years old with one year left to Betts, Bogaerts, Devers, etc. Those players had potential futures in Boston. Contreras has one year left here and is likely to decline towards retirement afterwards…
  6. notin
    So you think optics are a concern?
  7. notin
    Youre kidding. Chapman could be gone anyway; why not trade him? And Contreras is 34 and having a career year. He’s not very likely to be the same hitter in August/September of 2026, let alone 2027.. If they get a good offer for Contreras, take it…
  8. notin
    That’s exactly why I said “at this point just let him play SS every day” and compared his timeline to Rafaela’s. I only said to demote him when asked “which of these three would you demote?” Youre clinging to that part like your screen stopped displaying the second sentence of each post, which makes me wonder why I’m typing this sentence…
  9. notin
    From a guy who refers to all prospects as suspects until they sustain performance in MLB, I wouldn’t expect anything positive from you about any minor leaguer…
  10. notin
    Some fans are unreasonable. I remember talking to some guy who watched 20yo Xander Bogaerts go 0 for 4 and told me there was nothing to see here. Apparently the expectation was Bogaerts should dominate every game like he was a division 1 college player playing Little League.
  11. notin
    Honestly, I really didn’t even want him in AAA either.. So far it’s 10 IP, but I’m glad he’s making me wrong…
  12. notin
    That is a valid argument. But I had to make a choice among the three, and of those three I demote Mayer. At this point, I prefer Mayer just play SS and learn to hit in time. Rafaela is in his third full season and he’s just learning now. Mayer might take a similar timeframe…
  13. notin
    Abreu?
  14. notin
    And that is why your not in charge. The only “sell high” candidate on the Sox is Tyron Guerrero. Why would someone who has no faith in Breslow making good trades suggest trading away good, controlled players? It seems you want this team to be bad. I mean it is obvious since you blatantly cheer for them to lose…
  15. notin
    You think Chapman isn’t going to be dealt for similar names from prospect ranks? To me thr most interesting Sox reliever is Tyron Guerrero. He’s been flat out amazing, granted for only 10 IP….
  16. notin
    Thank you for your insider input, even though you clearly didn’t understand the question…
  17. notin
    Demote Mayer if anyone. Was he ever really ready? If Bregman never got hurt, we wouldn’t have even seen him last year….
  18. notin
    Depends. Is he actively working on things or just playing the game?
  19. notin
    Chapman, Gray, IKF, Weissert, Coulombe, Kahnle, Kelly, Slaten, Guerrero, and Watson should be the focus. Open to Duran but he’s not exactly making himself marketable. But dump the bullpen. Relievers move easily in July.
  20. notin
    A “like” isn’t sufficient for this…
  21. notin
    That would be my plan. But the Sox never use my plans. If they did, we’d have Andrew Vaughn and Miguel Vargas and a more expensive bullpen…
  22. notin
    Some stats are less open to variations than other. Would Bregman have more home runs because of Fenway than Wrigley? Fair question. Impossible to answer. But StatCast data is a little less open. Stuff like exit velocity, hard hit rate, strikeout rate, walk rate, barrel %. You might argue it varies due to facing a different set of pitchers, but how much does that matter? The collective talent level of the pitchers multiple players face pribably evens out to some degree, and this becomes more true with each passing game. OTOH, ballpark and league are not really factors in exit velocity or hard hit rate. A 97mph line drive at Fenway travels the same speed as a 97mph line drive at Oracle. But after that, the variation kicks in…
  23. notin
    Of course you listen on Contreras. And if someone hits your price, sell. But don’t bother looking for big bats now. Not many options will be available. Let’s say any team more than 3 games out of the WC will sell. Right now, that leaves the Giants, Mets, Royals, Tigers and Angels. Which of those teams has the “big bat” you want? We do know none of them will have any interest in Chapman, Gray, or Contreras and maybe not Duran. Some here like Adames, but even if SF wants to deal, he has an NTC. And hreally, Hes a younger Trevor Story with one less hernia. Jo Adell has been mentioned. Spencer Torkelson is a nice match. Jorge Soler? Is this the talent pool to fix this team? Get prospects. Deal them this winter when everyone is making moves…
  24. notin
    I think it’s time the Sox used the Notin Approach to Analytical Hitting. It starts with a simple Q-A format.consisting of 3 simple questions Q1: Do you own a torpedo bat? Q2: Why not? Q3: Go buy a torpedo bat. Now.
  25. notin
    And no one said they’d all be immediate impact players on the level of Fred Lynn and Dustin Pedroia….
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