Been doing this, too.
I do admit when stumped, I have a few well-travelled players to try, including Edwin Jackson, Octavio Dotel, Rickey Henderson, Chad Gaudin, Mike Morgan, Claudell Washington, Nelson Cruz…
It’s not an offer; it’s a blogger’s opinion.
I plugged it into BTV and my phone actually laughed at me.
Mayer alone has more trade value than 2 months of Ohtani. The deal involves the Red Sox giving up $153mill in surplus value to acquire a player with $57mill in surplus value.
Using the BTV system, a fair offer for Ohtani would be Bello and Bleis. Or Casas and Rafaela plus a lesser piece.
And I don’t expect either of those to happen…
College pitchers are to more likely to sign, as they have fewer options available. The Carter Stewart Plan of seeking opportunities in Japan in lieu of the minors is likely to remain a very obscure minority…
But…. Bat Marnes.. wasn’t exactly lighting it up out there. He pitched 3 of the Sox first 6 extra IP games and allowed 4ER plus 3 ghost runners to score and lasted all of 2 innings.
I would have been ok using Bat Marnes against the bottom of the order, like he did against Anaheim (who absolutely crushed him). But Cora kept using him against the middle of the order in these situations.
And maybe Cora would have had other options if not for the foolish piggyback strategy on Houck…
Positions don’t matter. Did Cincinnati flop on drafting Matt McLain because they already had Elly De La Cruz in the system? Did the selection of McLain mske it a bad move to acquire Noelvi Marte (BA #63, MLB. com #29, BP #29) as the centerpiece of the Luis Castillo trade?
It’s hard to say what Oakland would want. During their last fire sale, they prioritized quantity over quality. But Sears has 5+ years of control and they’re probably not so likely to move pre-arb actual talent so readily worthy being blown away. Per BTV, a package of Romero, Walter and Perales works. But a lot depends on their evaluation of those players, and how readily they even consider trading Sears.
That’s why I think Blackburn is more likely. He’s not as good but only has 1+ year left. He’s only making $1.9mill per B-R, which seems a little low and he’s not a guy that excites anyone. But he’s far easier to get without really breaking the bank. I think he at least checks a couple boxes and like it or not, actually represents an upgrade. I mean, if he keeps Kluber out of the rotation, he’s more than done his job…
“Different game” has been your take all along. It went from “there was no one else left” to “how bad was he really?”
The facts are simple; Barnes had been struggling since mid-August the year before, and Cora repeatedly kept using him as if he wasn’t. He pitched almost exclusively in the 8th inning or later last year.
We all wanted him to bounce back. And a couple outings in his old role just to see made sense. I know as a fan we are going to give up on a role for any player quicker than a manager should. But Cora just never seems to until it costs multiple games. It’s like Kike at shortstop this year…
And yet it was his second lowest WPA of that year, just behind the previous extra inning game.
The way you retell it, he was an innocent bystander and just in the wrong place at the wrong time…
1. Find a media outlet that attracts people who agree with you.
2. Listen until Confirmation Bias kicks in.
3. Proclaim the entire world shared your viewpoint.
It’s a 3-step plan worthy of Special Agent Oso…
The ghost runner isn’t an excuse. It’s not like the existence of the ghost runner should have been a surprise to Cora. He chose the less effective pitcher for a tougher spot.
And given how Barnes pitched in the second half, I don’t even think right-handed hitters offer much justification. Just because Barnes is right-handed doesn’t make him the right guy to face Guerrero, Kirk, etc. with the winning run in scoring position…
But you think they are DFAing Arroyo?
I think they DFA Reyes because he does stand a decent chance of clearing waivers unclaimed and cannot refuse assignment..