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notin

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Everything posted by notin

  1. notin
    Campbell has 6 IP so far this year. He’s still an unknown…
  2. notin
    It makes sense Rafaela leads the team in RBIs. He’s come up with more baserunners on than anyone else on the team…
  3. notin
    Is St. Louis really a surprise? They finished 71-91 and came in fifth in the NL Central last year…
  4. notin
    It also helps that the bullpen had no real obvious candidates for demotion. They’re all pitching well, out of options, or both…
  5. notin
    Winckowski to Worcester.
  6. notin
    My bad. At least I don’t accuse him of bad math. At that point we’d be 35% of the way into the season. So I’d let a 40% comment go…
  7. notin
    We’re not anywhere near 40% of the way into the season. Typo?
  8. notin
    Plus basketball games can be dominated by 2-3 players. Teams don’t necessarily need to be as deep…
  9. notin
    I think they will get multiple offers for Contreras, who’s only 24 and makes no money. Gotta make the best offer. With BTV on as a pay site now, not sure what’s considered equal value. Lugo is good, but might not be enough. No idea what positions they’d want or how close to MLB. Soxprospects does list one spot open, so no DFA required. But I hope Breslow goes for him…
  10. notin
    The Pirates DFAd RHP Roansy Contreras. This is a guy you make a move on. Concensus top 100 prospect 2 years ago. No major health concerns. Still throwing 94.7mph. Bres, offer up a non-40 man player (Lugo?), start negotiating, DFA Dalbec, and get this guy in front of Bailey…
  11. notin
    The Sox are in a bad stretch. They’ve scored 2 runs or less in 6 of their last 7 games. But they only scored two or fewer runs nine times in the entire 31 game season before this stretch…
  12. notin
    The NBA playoffs have consistently had the cream rise to the top. If you look and see who is in the finals over the past few decades, the teams that make it were almost always seeded 1 or 2 in the conference. The NHL playoffs are historically a much, much bigger crapshoot...
  13. notin
    The Sox are actually 20-23 in MLB with RISP using most metrics. Batting Average - .238 (20th) wOBA - .299 (20th) wRC+ - 86 (23rd) They're bad, and not where we are used to seeing Red Sox teams. (Even the 2023 Red Sox were ranked 10th-13th in these same categories.) But they are somehow just 14% below league average. The one thing they are not is unlucky, with a .311 BABIP (13th)...
  14. notin
    The metrics do not agree. The Sox outfield is actually one of the better ones, top 8 in DRS, OAA and UZR. And actually #1 by a lot in DRS. 1B is also in the upper third on all 3 somehow. 2B is middle third on all three. I found this surprising. SS and 3B are near the bottom. Especially 3B. I'm guessing Rafaela has added some stability to SS...
  15. notin
    Most felt the Sox would be in last place, a position rarely held by .500 teams. (Twice in MLB history.) If the Sox do lose today, they will be under .500 for the first time since they were 1-2. That’s actually still surprising…
  16. notin
    I wanted Duvall back, too. Both are right-handed power bats with good defensive skills who are not likely to require expensive long term deals, and should easily fit the Sox budget. And any injury O’Neill incurs could give the Sox a chance to break in Roman Anthony without the risk of having too many long term deals in the outfield. They already have one out there…
  17. notin
    I curse Bill Gates and Windows for making the computer so readily accessible and easy to use, even for complete morons…
  18. notin
    Yes. For a 2-3 year deal. He collided with Devers. That’s hardly the same as having recurring elbow issues…
  19. notin
    And this was just talking about games missed. O'Neill had a 1.209 OPS when he sustained his collision (concussion?) with Devers. Since his return, his OPS has been .776. No one expected him to maintain the 1.200 OPS all season (or even for another month), but a drop of .450 since a head injury is pretty alarming, too...
  20. notin
    That's the root cause. If Breslow signed Teoscar, and he got hurt, would we be any better off right now? It was far from a perfect off-season, but at some point this season has really been run by injuries. The Sox projected starting infield of Casas-Grissom-Story-Devers has not and will not play a single game together this season. Their biggest itcing addition will give them 0 IP. Breslow has been somewhat lucky with regards to the depth he has added. It's not often you have a player go down with an injury and another team DFA's a player at that same position that was an All Star 2 years ago. But it has been silly. There's all kinds of unexpected developments based on PA alone. The Sox never at any point in the season expected Enmanuel Valdez to have more PA than Casas, for example. I think Berslow was weak when it came to adding depth, but his overall plan, when uninjured, was not that bad...
  21. notin
    And Lazzeri. But if the goal is the 1927 Yankees, you are always going to be disappointed…
  22. notin
    Think about this bizarre little fact. Ceddane Rafaela, the team’s number 9 hitter, is second on the Red Sox in plate appearances…
  23. notin
    If the Sox put together a lineup with Devers-O’Neill-Casas-Story in the 2-5 spots, that’s not a bad heart of the order. You can’t set the bar at Ortiz-Manny; not many teams have two Cooperstown talents in their batting order at once…
  24. notin
    This isn’t the same O’Neill. In St. Louis, he drove in 13% of all runners on base when he came up. Most good RBI hitters knock in 15-17%, so while below that level, it’s still reasonable. This year in Boston, he’s knocked in 5% of all runners. Granted, small sample so far. But that number is in the range closer what pitchers used to give you at the plate…
  25. notin
    Henry was not just concerned with payroll; he wanted to get under the Luxury Tax threshold for 2020. That would have been impossible to do while extending Betts. It became obvious the Sox were not going to be able to retain Betts when Dombrowski wasn’t allowed to go any higher than he did. And when he said the Sox would NOT be able to retain all three of Betts, Bogaerts and Sale. Once Betts’ price got too high, DD just switched to the players he could extend…
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