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notin

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Everything posted by notin

  1. notin
    I would be surprised if any were considered for DH. But if they dealt Yoshida (and $13mill) for Garver, the Sox save $27mill over three seasons - equal to paying half of Yoshida’s contract. If Garver struggles, he’s a DFA candidate with no impact on the payroll beyond 2025. At that point, you can bring up Anthony/Campbell/whoever to replace his vacated spot and it winds up being exactly like your scenario…
  2. notin
    What’s your point? BTV never says any team would make a trade. And if anyone turns down Casas/ Yoshida for Arozarena, it’s probably not Seattle. But it if they do like Yoshida, I would think unloading Garver would certainly be Seattle’s preference, especially with Boston chipping in 25% of Yoshida’s contract. I think the Mariners like Arozarena more than you do. Not to mention, in your proposal, Seattle pays for all of Yoshida and Garver and then has to fill a vacancy in LF as well. And Garver becomes a $13mill backup 1b/DH coming off an abysmal season…
  3. notin
    Now I admit my source was questionable, but it seems like you’re arguing against the Sox re-investing and investing. I know it’s more complicated than my simplified viewpoint, but there usually is something to simplified viewpoints. For a little clarification, are the Sox re-investing in this franchise or not? Sometimes it seems to me like their spending splurges are more related to PR than to actual baseball…
  4. notin
    MLB payroll sites on the Internet are more variable than weather sites. So who knows what the actual numbers are. But according to Sportrac, per Baseball Prosoectus, Sox payroll dropped $65mill from 2019 to 2024, using opening day payrolls. (Final numbers from 2024 are not in, but will go up due to adding 3 players plus any incentives, etc.) Henry is clearly not investing like he used to, but that’s not exactly news…
  5. notin
    f*** Bregman, that whiny little prick. (I call him a “little prick, but he’s much bigger than me.) Problem is, however, finding better options. Free agency has little else besides Eugenio Suarez… Hamilton is the Sox best defensive 2b. And he did hit surprisingly well.
  6. notin
    How much of a salary dump is it if the Sox are still paying? And who are all these internal options? If the plan is to pay for the bulk of Yoshida only to give more playing time to someone who spent last year behind Yoshida, I’m not sure what the benefit is. Especially since I have my doubts about Henry spending the savings on a decent solution to fill a need…
  7. notin
    If Plan B is Valdez, just keep Yoshida. At least his late season collapse might be related to a shoulder injury.
  8. notin
    A Casas/Devers 1b solution would be ideal, but we both know it’s a long shot, and that’s the optimistic viewpoint. Plus it probably only happens if the Sox sign the loathsome Alex Bregman. And Garver is only one year removed from an OPS+ of 138. He does have a bizarre tendency to keep his OPS+ north of 130 in odd-numbered years and south of 100 in even-numbered ones. Not sure why. But if he can keep that trend going for one more year. And if Seattle really does think Yoshida is a viable buy-low solution, Garver is probably on the short list of potentially useful players the Sox can get back for him. And certainly carries the lowest risk of any of them. Valdez is a bad choice for strong side DH. He’s a streaky hitter prone to long slumps, and if the Sox only carry 4 bench players (3 non-catchers), dedicating a spot to a backup DH is unwise. Plus I suspect if Abreu is here, Refsnyder will remain in his platoon role. His UZR numbers are awful, but he’s roughly average in DRS and OAA. And I’m sure that’s enough for Cora and his frequent disregard for defense to trot Refsnyder out to RF vs LHP.
  9. notin
    At best he’s a mild step up from Wong. Like going from meningitis to influenza…
  10. notin
    Garver should never catch again. Ever. He’s bad at it. But he hits lefties well and has hit well at Fenway through his career. And if he does continue to stink, he’s only on a one year deal right now…
  11. notin
    Jeffers is among the worst defensive catchers in MLB. His skillet is remarkably similar to that of Connor Wong…
  12. notin
    Were you posting here in March?
  13. notin
    BTV says Yoshida + $13mill for Mitch Garver is a fair deal. And it’s one that could make sense for both teams. But I imagine the uncertainty with Yoshida’s shoulder surgery complicates things…
  14. notin
    BTV tells us Ray’s contract is a bigger albatross than Yoshida’s. But SF needs SP more than DHs. Yoshida actually matches up nicely with Jordan Hicks on that site, and I noticed Hicks was bumped out of the rotation at the end of the season. Of course, one Google search later and I learned Hicks was bumped because of a team-imposed innings limit, not due to performance. The bottom line to me is if you hate Yoshida’s contract, why do we think it can be dealt for another contract we don’t hate? There are absolutely worse contracts out there. Some even belonging to contributing players. But what team could use Yoshida? I don’t think SF is the right fit from a baseball standpoint…
  15. notin
    It’s a safe bet SF has plenty of players equal to Valdez and Sogard, and might be reluctant to waste valuable 40 man roster spots on the redundancy. Other than Larry’s pipe dream, is there any reason SF would be interested in Yoshida? They likely view Ray as the more valuable contract. And they have internal options at DH…
  16. notin
    Without looking into it, I bet some of those 6 were openers…
  17. notin
    Of course that also might impede his return should he prefer not to DH…
  18. notin
    I wouldn’t agree Yoshida’s contract is preventing the Sox from getting a frontline starter. I think that ship has sailed. The Sox payroll is down some $50mill or so from its peak. You don’t drop that much payroll if you’re continually re-investing…
  19. notin
    As position players go, that should be top of the list. And if said catcher can bat right-handed and frame pitches, even better. Jansen is a perfect fit, but Higashioka feels much more likely…
  20. notin
    Ok bad math on my part. No idea what I typed in. But case closed? Getting desperate to be correct here? The difference is about 4 games worth of plate appearances. Players who are platooned don’t sit out only 4 games…
  21. notin
    The low flying fruit is the bullpen. Moving Yoshida might make some happy, but it’s no guarantee of getting better regardless of how easy it is…
  22. notin
    You said Cora was induced to bench him against LHP. Isn’t that a straight platoon?
  23. notin
    No doubt, as far as final results go. But BABIP data does suggest he hit the ball a bit better than his numbers indicate, given his GB/FB/LD splits. His .302 BABIP should have been closer to .314, the upshot ring his .280 BA should have been closer to .299, with corresponding adjustments to his OBP and SLG, and ultimately to his OPS, which should have been .038-.040 higher. He is very likely to be the Sox DH again next year, and while he won’t make you forget about Ortiz, he is capable of doing an adequate job of his shoulder holds up…
  24. notin
    Bottom line is when he played, he faced LHP at the same rate as any non-platooned lefty in the lineup. Yoshida had more PA vs LHP than platooned players who played more games, like Abreu. The notion that Cora platooned him appears to be rooted in myth…
  25. notin
    It doesn’t appear he sat that often as he was facing them with the same frequency as Duran, and Duran had 735 PAs. That percentage is small enough that it can be explained away by Yoshida batting further down in the lineup…
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