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notin

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Everything posted by notin

  1. Any team that strikes out as much as the Sox should absolutely NOT bunt in extra innings of road games. A sac bunt plus a strikeout leaves them needing only a hit or a gift from the defense to score…
  2. Not sure how possible moving Youkilis back to third was. He was OK there before, but the move back in 2011 proved disastrous defensively. We built that team around the wrong Adrián…
  3. LaRoche got 19 at bats for Boston in 2+ weeks because they were set at 1b (Youkilis) and DH (Ortiz) and LaRoche made a lot ($7mill back in 2009). They dealt him for the cheaper Kotchman. LaRoche also had career long battles with ADHD, which made him difficult to keep in as an unegaged bench player. That affliction was a big part in his career ending prematurely and ultimately lead to the Sox acquiring Chris Sale…
  4. Acquiring Hosmer didn’t annoy me nearly as much as Bloom’s attempt to sell to the world that it solved anything…
  5. Everything was better? What about prices? Back in 1975, you could take a family of 4 to Fenway, pay for parking, have everyone gorge themselves hot dogs and drinks and still have enough money left over to get their stomachs pumped. And all for less money than a parking on the green line and buying a single ticket just to ride the train. Today if you tried to do all that, it would cost the 1975 equivalent of 4 years tuition plus room and board at Harvard for students whose names do not end in a Roman numeral…
  6. Lackey for Kelly and Craig was a stupid trade. I’m not giving Cherington credit because Kelly had a good stretch several years later. The Sox were out of it, so they dealt Lackey (who had a full season at minimum wage left) for two veteran players? And then Cherington dealt Lester for Yoenes Cespedes (whose contract made him ineligible for arbitration and went directly to free agency). What was Cherington thinking? Possibly the worst mismanagement of trade deadline assets in MLB history. Even Bloom’s inactivity made more sense…
  7. It’s really hard to think of actual bad deadline moves made by the Sox recently. Moyer for Bragg back in 1996 was the last bad one. Since then we have what? Santiago Espinal for Steve Pearce? Was it really a bad trade? Espinal has had a good career, but we did deal him for a WS MVP, which is kind of the whole point with deadline deals. Beyond that, maybe the worst one was Ty Buttrey for Ian Kinsler, but at worst that one grades out as “inconsequential“…
  8. July 30, 1996
  9. Why? The Sox gave up two players who turned out good, but Boddicker was 39-22 for Boston with 11.4 bWAR in 2+ seasons. Anderson WS worth 1.7 bWAR over the next 3 seasons and Schilling was worth 0.2 bWAR over the next 4…
  10. Every team that makes trades makes bad trades at some point. The trading deadline hasn’t been too bad for Boston. Bagwell for Andersen was 35 years ago. What’s the worst one since?
  11. The reason the Sox are waiting is the selling teams are waiting until all offers are in so they make sure they get the best deal. It takes two to trade…
  12. Ok, but that’s a huge factor. Trade value is a meaningless concept; it’s not like a price tag in a store. Websites like BTV calculate it based on WAR and salary, both current and projected. But that’s a lot of guesswork and future voodoo involved that may or may not come true. While most teases probably use similar systems, at the end of the day, only two real world factors establish the value. 1) How much Team A wants to trade the player and 2)how badly Team B wants to acquire him. If Team A wants to dump him for salary reasons or attitude problems or he whines when asked to play first base, then Team B can probably get him for less. But if Team B wants to acquire a player more than Team A wants to deal him (especially if they need to outbid Team C), then the price goes up. There has been far more buzz about Duran than Bubic. But Bubic is a pitcher, which is always in high demand. But I don’t think that alone puts him so far ahead of Duran and his extra years
  13. How does the KC front office feel about Bubic? Let’s be fair about evaluation criteria. Duran clearly peaked last year and you were not alone in advocating a sell high. But Bubic appears likely headed the same way. If this is a time to sell Bubic high, 3+ years of an All Star outfielder is a pretty good get. And as for Duran’s perception, most of the media feels he will be among the most valuable players traded this off-season - sobering no one has said about Bubic, although that might be related to how many think he could be traded.
  14. 1. LF is harder than RF now? 2. Lefties start 40% of opposing games? (Duran’s OPS vs LHP this year is far below Abreu’s.) I do agree Bubic, whose career before 2025 included a 4.66 ERA and a total of 2.5 bWAR in 300 IP, might be overvalued by some…
  15. It’s a different day. Of course 3+ years of Duran is worth more than 1+ years of Bubic, unless you base their value solely on their performances in 2025 and 2025 alone. The only real question for KC is can they sell their pitching while simultaneously building their lineup and put together a winning team with that formula. They’re not very good, and only made the postseason last year because going 12-1 against the worst team in MLB history masked a sub- .500 performance against the rest of the league…
  16. Huh? You just said this tab lacks hitting, contact, and rub scoring in general. And then followed up with Breslow needs to get pitchers…
  17. Why? They miss Jordan Hicks? Or do they want to put that money towards other large contracts that free agents will then ignore? Devers is off to a slow start, but they have him for eight years…
  18. It is 3+ years of Duran for 1+ years if Bubic. If it’s not 1 for 1, I don’t think the ancillary pieces figure to be too valuable…
  19. Early returns aside, I think the Giants will not regret that trade…
  20. Nomar Mazara. Mediocre outfielder with the Rangers and (I think) White Sox. Never played for Boston, so we didn’t trade him. Maybe the complaint was not trading FOR Nomar…
  21. I wondered if it was hitting breaking balls. If so, and he was ignoring fastballs, it would certainly up his K rate and could even lead to hitting the ball the other way. But it likely doesn’t lead to less pitchers per PA unless other teams have caught on and Hes starting every PA down 0-2 after seeing two fastballs down the middle…
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