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Everything posted by notin
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True . That’s why many are gambles. And not every gamble pays off. Kopech threw even harder and he was traded. Anyone regret that? Bautista’s control was probably a big reason he never made anyone’s top100 prospect list. The Orioles once had a prospect named Kris Foster who was supposedly throwing 104mph in the minors. Ever heard of him? Probably not. His MLB career consisted of 10 walk-filled innings and he’s been out of baseball for like 15 years. Some gambles don’t pay off. Dombrowski probably figured Bautista to be one of those...
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There are plenty of pitchers with 100 mph fastballs who don’t amount to much and the reason is almost always the same - control. Bautista is a mass producer of walks. Since Rookie Ball, he’s always averaged at least 4BB/9 in any season in which he’s had more than 15IP. He might get some control one day, but that was why he was a high upside gamble for the Mets. A high upside gamble, however, is still a gamble...
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Gerson Bautista was not one of those minor leaguers. Nor will he be missed as badly as the post implies. The Sox farm system doesn’t suffer from a lack of pitchers and players who might be mediocre major leaguers one day. And apparently to get some decent prospects, the Mariners are willing to pay $60mill of Cano’s deal and take on some bad Mets’ contracts. The end result is the Mets will get Cano for 5 years and only pay about a $26mill increase in that timeframe. And they get Diaz as well. That new GM they hired is off to an interesting start to his career...
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I never heard of any serious suicide attempts by Buckner, although there were jokes about his trying. “Did you hear Bill Buckner tried to commit suicide? He stepped in front of a bus but it went through his legs.” But Buckner’s legend always seemed larger than deserved. He came back to the Red Sox in 1990 and hit that memorable inside-the-park home run and was welcomed by many fans despite the ignominy. He stuck around baseball as a coach for another several years before moving to Idaho and working as a real estate developer. And he named his first development “Fenway Park.” True story. I’d say he coped well...
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But that article represents a largely theoretical argument. Sure there is a limited amount of money to go around, but it’s not like teams also don’t target specific players. For example, did Boras really misrepresent JDM last year by telling the Dodgers and Yankees to hold out for Harper and Machado? Or did those teams make that decision on their own and Boras did his best to get the best offer possible for JD? And given the lack of league wide interest in JD, did he get him a good offer despite falling well below expectations?
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The simplified approach is to think Familia will be the free agent target. Dombrowski has a reputation for liking harder throwers and Famili is the hardest throwing closer available in free agency. But I know he’ll look at more than just radar gun readings. Ottavino has minimal closing experience, which might make him the cheapest option of these (as well as the most questionable if no one else is acquired). If money is the issue, sign a starter (Eovaldi? Pomeranz? Sanchez?), sign Ottavino or Kelly, and trade for a closer (Colome? LeClerc? Kela? Knebel? Yates?) using either Chavis or Dalbec, and Johnson as the starter package of trade bait...
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No. It’s a coincidence of interest. It would be a conflict if he had some vested interest in teams as well. I might imagine he would influence a player to take a lesser offer from a team in a market where there were other marketing opportunities (TV commercials, etc), but this isn’t typically a big deal for baseball players. Generally he tries to get them more money and/or more years and he gets paid better for doing so. Now if he was a part owner of a team and had interest in getting them better players for less money, that would be a conflict. But as he only seems interested in getting more money for players, there is none...
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Has he ever done that? He doesn’t seem to care who signs where....
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That’s not a conflict of interest at all. It’s an incentivized program. Players who hire Boras have interest in their finances. He gets them as much as possible. They pay him more for it. No conflict of interest at all...
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The problem happens almost every year regardless of age, what with the average MLB career being one season. But when it comes to Betts, the peak looks so high that the first couple years of decline still leave him performing like an All Star...
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Three names and growing. I nominate Bellhorn to chair the chapter meetings...
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But at some point, it turns into a survivor pool. You can’t disprove a decline with a dataset that eliminates most of the declining data...
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I can elaborate. How does this sample account for retirees? The problem is, you’re trying to show the decline over aging, but at some age on there, the worst samples that declined the most retired and were removed from the next year. Simply put, this data could be removing every point that disproves your conclusion...
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There could be major flaws with this data that are very misleading...
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Kelenic’s name has reportedly been mentioned, but that doesn’t mean it was the Mets who brought him up or agreed to include him.
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While I see why you and others do, in the end it is their careers and I don’t blame them for having the business aspect handled in their best interests...
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Ultimately they’ll take what they can get. But if I think Kimbrel for 5 years $80-90 mill is too risky, no way I want any part of Cano. Just pass on Diaz and bring Kimbrel back...
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And on the short Clay Buchholz Needs to Come Back List...
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He hired Scott Boras as his agent, unlike Kershaw. I expect most players who hire Boras know his MO, and his track record and those are big factors in that choice. Don’t you think so?
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He never does. But they do retain him for his advice and negotiating skills. And he typically doesn’t advise them to sign an extension without seeing every possible offer...
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That doesn’t sound like something Scott Boras would do...
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They should probably trade them all, since that trio received roughly $48mill last year and were only valued at a total of 6.7 fWAR, which is worth about $53.5 mill. It’s a break even venture to get rid of them all...
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Such as Dave Bancroft and Ross Youngs (although Youngs might get some sympathy votes)...
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The big mysteries for the Sox this off-season are who will close and who joins the rotation st the back end? It’s possible both questions are answered by returning players. If the Sox had not won, maybe we would see something drastic like trading Bogaerts. But as defending champions, the status quo is more likely...
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Pretty much. That and my undying hope this off-season isn’t anywhere nesr as slow and boring as last off-season...
