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notin

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Everything posted by notin

  1. For you, denny
  2. Well, that's only if we pretend Walker Buehler, Mike Soroka and Trent Grisham were not still available...
  3. Unlike Lin, Chatham has options remaining. But if Lin is back, I'd be surprised if it was anything except a minor league deal. And if the Sox have a roster spot available, it probably goes to an outfielder, and probably someone capable of playing CF in a pinch...
  4. Yes but it's a stat encompassing his year long accomplishments. To say "he pitched 100 less innings allows someone else to generate more WAR" is a ridiculous reason. Does it mean he pitched better in his 100 fewer innings? Yes. But using outside "Not David Price" factors, like how well someone else might have pitched, as an evaluation of Price is just flat out wrong. But his durability as measured in IP is a factor when looking at the two of them...
  5. So what you're saying is that when giving Price a contract, a GM might think "Well he does not throw as many innings as other pitchers, but that means he gives better opportunities to the relief pitchers to pick up the slack. Hey, that is worth $17 mill per year!!" Just imagine how much Price could get if he stopped pitching altogether!!!
  6. Maybe they're the same person. A little CGI to adjust the build. Use a mirror to make it look like he's throwing with the other arm. Boom - Nathan Sale...
  7. What? It's a really, really safe bet that any reliever contributing positively would have had ample work opportunities. Even the managers you don't like manage their bullpens that way....
  8. I would avoid LeMahieu, since there is no way to tie him to an improved pitching staff. Not like anyone playing 2B for Boston is great trade bait. I would avoid Turner, while it does create a logjam with Devers and Dalbec, I think the Sox are better off with their current corner infielders. Brantley is an interesting thought. Excellent hitter who frees up Benintendi. My only concern is how much field he will be able to play over the next 3 seasons, since the Sox are likely to have DH filled for 2 of them. Forget Yates, Minor, Greene. Hendriks and Schoop have promise in my eyes. The reliever market is one the Sox relly need to look in to, but the bet option is a tough call. Springer and Ozuna figure to be among the most expensive, and the money is probably better spent on Bauer or Realmuto. Tanaka is a Yankee, so pass. Stroman is a possibility, as is Robbie Ray...
  9. But only 3 of the top 10 have, and only 2 were traded (Realmuto and Jorge Alfaro)...
  10. I'm very ok with that...
  11. It's not like the NBA draft where you need a top 3 pick to get very high odds on getting anyone good. I don't see any real difference between picking 5th and picking 10th in he MLB draft...
  12. Yes, which is why I am down on Eovaldi as a starter. Lackey did turn it around after 2 awful years, but not many pitchers will give you that on long term free agent contracts..
  13. I'm ok with that. As long as they don't go overboard with the years...
  14. Ok, but then he combined for 0.9 fWAR in the nest 2 seasons. His 4.2 fWAR from 2010-2012 is certainly a far from impressive run...
  15. Bullpen would manage them very easily...
  16. Honestly, he probably won't get to spend that much more time with her. Unlike him, she is still able to perform her high profile job that requires a lot of travel. What this surgery means is he probably dials back on his nanny's schedule...
  17. Certainly possible. But by the time Sale gets back, I don't think it's realistic to expect everyone else to be either healthy or effective. Safe bet Eovaldi is already injured by then...
  18. And I mentioned them both as possibilities. In fact, I only included Lin if Chavis gets dealt, which is not the highest probability...
  19. Pivetta does have the advantage over Houck in that he has pitched as many as 164 IP at the MLB level in a season. Houck has never pitched more than 119 IP in a season, and that was in High A ball. Houck only has 119 carer IP above A ball. Expecting him to pitch 130-150 IP in MLB seems like a major stretch in 2021...
  20. I would consider that a very likely possibility, even if they bring him back on an MiLB contract. I only mention him as a possibility because he has the singular advantage of already being here...
  21. Lackey gave the Sox 3 awful years (counting the one he missed) up front, but managed to have a great year at exactly the right time, including some stellar postseason work....
  22. So did John Lackey and RA Dickey. Are they worth $48 mill for 3 years too? I think for MLB starting pitchers, the seasons 2014 through 2016 can be considered a long time ago...
  23. For the IP he was available. That Bumgarner alleviated 100 more innings from relievers and sixth starters has significant value, too. Bottom line is both contributed equally over a 3 year stretch. And at 4 years younger, Bumgarner is more likely the greater value going forward...
  24. From 2017 to 2919, Price was worth 6.2 fWAR in 358 IP. From 20178 to 2019, Madison Bumgarner was worth 6.2 fWAR in 458 IP. From 2017 to 2019, Kyle Gibson was woth 6.2 fWAR in 514 IP From 2017 to 2019, Zack Godley was worth 5.8 fWAR in 425 IP. Bumgarner, 4 years younger than Price, received a 5 year $85mill contract for a $17mill AAV. Gibson, 3 years younger than Price, received a 3 year deal $30 mill offer for a $10mill AAV. Godley, 5 years younger than Price, received a minor league contract. Price was the oldest and least durable of these pitchers. He has a big name, and an excellent resume. But to think he would get the same AAV as the other big name in Bumgarner is probably a bit of a pipe dream, especialyl given the differences in age and IP. It's hard to say exactly where the market would have placed him, but a 3 year $16-17mill AAV is absolutely best case scenario if it was possible at all. The only reason to pay that much for Price is if a GM thinks his name still carries significant PR weight so as to bolster ticket sales...
  25. LOL I’m guessing it’s time to retire if you’re missing those easy lobs by that much. Might be time to consider shuffleboard...
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