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notin

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Everything posted by notin

  1. Well, you can use them similarly, but those Off and Def numbers next to WAR are based on defensive runs above average with a positional adjustment. They're components of fWAR, but not oWAR and dWAR actual numbers. https://library.fangraphs.com/defense/def/ On that page, it looks like it could almost be Def/10 = dWAR, but if you try add them up that way, it doesn't appear to work out perfectly...
  2. Manny was about as extreme as it goes in both directions. The guy could run circles under a routine pop up and misplay it int a 2 base hit for one hitter, and then follow up with a leaping home run grab in the stands where he not only high fives a fan, but then gets off the wall in time to complete the double play at second on the next hitter. (A compilation of two Manny plays that did not happen in the same inning.) He sometimes looked like he didn't care about defense, but then part of me was wondering if he was not trying to decoy runners into challenging him, as one thing he had going for him was a high-powered cannon for an arm. And like a lot of outfielders with great arms, I think he knew it. Overall, I think he was a weak defensive outfielder who did not make MLB for his glove...
  3. It was eye test stuff. Like I said, he couldn't play the wall in Wrigley even after 7 years there. He struggled to catch routine fly balls for a stretch. UZR is a nice stat, but sometimes it also depends on the players around you. If the adjacent OF can take a lot of plays by covering part of your "zone," your UZR can suffer for it, as it's an in=zone play with no putout. Sort of like what we all watched Betts do to Bradley the last few years. So maybe Soriano, who did have some speed, leeched a few plays from his CF? Remember, UZR is a comparison to average defenders. A bad player can look good if everyone else just sucks more....
  4. Where are you finding dWAR numbers on Fangraphs?
  5. Mot baserunners didn't run on them. Some did. Sometimes you have one of those 8-2-5-1-3-1-5 rundown plays that get an outfielder an assist. Alfonso Soriano was one of the worst defensive outfielders and anyone who has ever seen him would agree. In 7 years at Wrigley, he never learned how to play the wall. And he went through a stretch where he kept dropping routine flyballs that go so bad, fans gave him mock ovations for making routine plays. He also had 98 outfield assists. Because, why not run on him? And while that looks like a lot of assists, what that number doesn't tell you is how many base runners challenged him and were successful. A number I assume is closer to 1,000 than it should be, if it doesn't exceed it outright...
  6. Roids. (Or defense, which is part of bWAR)...
  7. And should we also hire AJ Hinch to be the bullpen coach?
  8. Yeah Henry has been soooo cheap. I so get what it’s like to be a Twins’ fan when Pohlad owned the team...
  9. Probably not as much, although the layout of Fenway might be a big factor...
  10. It’s actually not uncommon for lesser defensive outfielders to get a lot of assists. Sometimes it just means runners challenge their arms more often. Alfonso Soriano was a pretty awful defensive outfielder, but he piled up the assists in his career. Because EVERYBODY challenged him...
  11. Well, did his arm throw out more base runners? He gets an assist on a 7-6-2 putout at the plate. It does mean he hit the cutoff man and did his job, but is that really him “throwing out” a base runner?
  12. Go Rays. And welcome to 21st Century Baseball, where the Rays would have as many titles as the Yankees...
  13. While I want him to hit again, I am ok with Benintendi in LF next year. CF is the big question mark that I think goes to ether Duran or a short term vet placeholder for Duran. If the new Sox manager aligns the infield with Devers at 1B and Dalbec at 3B, I can get behind that, too...
  14. The expectations in 2020 were pretty much in line with the results...
  15. I think Benintendi is in LF for the Sox in 2021. His last couple seasons have not made him he desirable trade piece he was a couple years ago. He's signed cheaply and has the ability to turn it around. And the Sox need at least one outfielder already. If any of the current Sox take over CF next season, I would think Verdugo is more likely. Or maybe Duran. Although if they flank Benintendi with two elite defenders (like Verdugo), then maybe he can handle CF. But given their need for a CF and the type of players Bloom has acquired for that position in the past (Kiermaier,), I expect him to pursue a CF who can handle CF regardless of who flanks him...
  16. That happens all the time out here. The vilification for people who DO discuss baseball in terms of economics and advanced statistics and trade values is equally present....
  17. I don't think the ownership is as concerned with how he builds a winner as opposed to that he builds a winner. The Rays are 306-240 (.560) in the past 4 seasons while playing in the same division as two of the biggest annual spenders. Is emulating that approach really so threatening? Rooting for star players is really something I only found exciting to do when the team is not winning and the season is providing nothing else in the way of excitement, and even then it's always rather anticlimactic. The 2014 and 2015 seasons were abysmal for Sox fans, and their mere mention always provokes someone to complain that Cherington "finished last 3 times in 4 seasons". I have never once read a single post that follows up with "but at least we got to watch Bogaerts, Betts and Pedroia."...
  18. One thing about Bloom is he seems to value defensive players...
  19. There is always this test https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vhUSlM6LzcU
  20. So basically... no matter if someone points out the cons of losing Betts or the pros of retaining him, you’ll be there to tell us why we’re wrong
  21. You cannot submerge Panda. But you can watch him beach himself until the tide comes in...
  22. Or even if he doesn’t blow out his arm, since Wayne Garland is like 70 years old...
  23. No. That’s his average days per year on IL...
  24. Well he did leave the Falcons’ secondary for MLB the same year Deion Sanders did, so I thought Deion was the more obvious (re: famous) candidate...
  25. That didn’t take long at all. Yes Brian Jordan made the Pro Bowl his rookie year with the Falcons and played in the 1999 MLB All Star game as a Brave...
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