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moonslav59

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Everything posted by moonslav59

  1. I listed him as one of 3 possible demotions. As long as Murphy and Alcara keep getting guys out more than Hicks does, I think his name on the list is valid. Houck is going to get another look. It is likely someone goes on the IL to make the choice easy, but I listed Hicks first, because I see him as more likely, as of right now. That's not to say he stays in AAA to end the season, but the guy needs to show he belongs. Maybe Bernardino could earn a demotion, if he keeps going like he has the last month or so. I have I Campbell going down when Dobbins returns, so who do you demote for Houck and then Sandoval? As bad as our staff has looked, at time, suddenly, these choices don't seem so easy, anymore.
  2. Romy made some key adjustments, last season. Being a platoon hitter vs LHPs, makes the sample size smaller and harder to judge as long-lasting, but this is two years in a row now, so maybe not the flash in the pan you allude to. He hit .879 v LHPs in 2024 (110 PAs.) TOP BATTERS in MLB vs LHPs with 200+ PAs since 2024: 1.300 Judge 1.032 Alvarez 1.031 J Ramirez 1.016 K Marte 1.004 ROMY at #5! .988 H Ramos .985 Schwarber .976 Rooker .973 Goldschmidt .972 Teoscar .955 Vladdy .942 Refsnyder at #12. The Sox seem to have the knack for finding great weakside platoon batters, and when you have batters like Abreu, who s truggle vs lefties, it works out very well. I'm a solid Romy and Ref believer that this is not luck. The Toro train is slowed to a crawl, and although he's a switch hitter, he's not good vs LHPs. Toro: .830 v R (.675 career) .608 v L (.602 career) I think it is safer to view him as a "flash" than Romy or Ref.
  3. I agree, but a month or two or three ago, we were saying Story, Gio, our pen and others were "weak links." Maybe Wong comes around. He looks totally lost, now. I'd still like to see us get a solid #2/3 SP'er, a solid pen arm, a 1Bman and a back up catcher, but I'm not for trading away very nice prospects for rentals. We have a lot of players coming off the IL in the next few weeks, but we have to plan on others getting hurt, and we can't afford a major injury at catcher. That's for sure.
  4. SP's moved Tolle to #3. Jh Garcia, my man, up to #6 from 14. They got Tibbs at #7 and jumped Clarke from 18 to 8. Sandlin & Romero slipped down a bit. Bleis, Soto, Gonzales all moved up, some. Azocar from 51 to 20. Jordan from 32 to 19 and Nelly Taylor from 26 to 18. Other big jumps: Uberstine 54 to 21, Fajardo 40 to 22 & Ehrhard 47 to 28. Big falls: 9 to 16 Cespedes, D Reyes 21 to 43, Nunez from 33 to 48 & Tygart from 31 to 49. Zanetello 37 to 53 6 pitchers in top 11. 16 in top 31. Other than Tibbs at #7, here are the other newbies to top 50: 33. Holobetz & 42. Y Rod (Preister trade) 45. J Bello (Devers trade) (NR) 35. McShane , 39 Travieso , 44 Jorge Rodriguez, 46 Anderson, 47 Encarnacion
  5. Starters: Tolle, Perales, Clarke and maybe Valera/Early Pen: Early. Valera, Sandlin and maybe Paez, Monegro, Mullins Maybe Delzine, Cason & Rivera move up.
  6. When Bregman & Dobbins return, we'll probably see DHam demoted to AAA (finally) and I Campbell demoted or DFA'd. Sandoval and Houck may get Hicks, Murphy or Alcara demoted. How does this roster look? SP: Crochet, Giolito, Bello, Dobbins & Sandoval (Buehler, Fitts) RP: Chapman, Whitlock, Wilson, Houck, Buehler, Fitts, Weissert, Bernardino/Alcara/Murphy 1. L Duran LF 2. R Bregman 3B 3. L Abreu RF/ R Refsnyder DH v L 4. R Story SS 5. L Anthony DH/R Romy 1B v L 6. R Narvaez C 7. L Yoshida 1B/ L Anthony RF v L 8. L Mayer 2B/ Rafaela CF v L 9. R Rafaela CF/ Mayer 2B v L (Maybe Romy some) (Wong as 2nd C and Toro 1B/3B depth) Gotta say, this looks much nicer than a month or so, ago.
  7. I'm really not for trading top prospects for rentals, but I gotta think if AZ decides to sell, a nice duo pick-up would be Zac Gallen (not having a good year, but last 2 gms: 13 IP, 10 Hits, 1BB, 19 Ks, and 1 ER) and Eugenio Suarez (29 HRS & .883 OPS)
  8. Last 30 Days: HRs: 7 Story, 6 Rafaela, 5 Abreu, 4 Romy & Duran, 3 Mayer, 2 Anthony & Narvaez RBI: 24 Story, 20 Abreu, 16 Rafaela, 14 Romy, 13 Duran, 11 Anthony, 8 Narvaez & Toro, 6 Mayer OPS (40+ PAs) 1.167 Romy .999 Abreu .977 Rafaela .911 Story .795 Anthony .790 Duran .785 Narvaez .754 Refsnyder .661 Mayer, .624 Toro, .481 DHam
  9. The last 30 Days... Rotation: 0.70 Giolito 39 IP 2.18 Bello 33 IP 2.51 Crochet 32 IP 3.55 Fitts 13 IP 3.60 Dobbins 10 IP (8.49 Buehler in 5 GS and 23 IP) Pen: (5+ IP) 0.00 Chapman 9 IP 0.00 Murphy 6 IP 0.96 Alcara 9 IP 2.84 Kelly 6 IP 3.38 Wilson 5 IP 3.86 Whitlock 12 IP 4.86 Bernardino 10 IP 4.91 Weissert 11 IP (10.13 Guerrero 5 IP) WOW!!!
  10. Look at some of the views we had on some Brez choices, before this season began, and how we view them now: The Gio signing. The Bello extension. The Rafaela extension. The faith in Story at SS and keeping Mayer at AAA, then calling him up for 3B. The Narvaez trade, in lieu of adding another more known catcher. The "neglect" on pen additions and signing a 78 year old closer in Chapman. The Wilson signing. The Toro signing. Of course, some of these moves can go south, at any moment, but these all look better now than they did a few months ago- some even just a month ago, like Story. The Buehler and Hendriks deals still look bad, and Sandoval is very much TBD, but I gotta say, "KUDOS to BREZ!"
  11. I know you gotta give to get, but I'd avoid giving up any or our 5 rookies (Anthony, Mayer, Narvaez, Campbell & Dobbins) or Tolle to get him. They may hang up, if we deny them one. Twist my arm and it might have to be Dobbins from these 6 names. I might even want to trade Campbell before Tolle, but that might take more thought. His lack of position worries me. We have enough DHs. How about this: To PHI: Duran To MIN: Abel To MIN: Fitts, Arias, Early & Monegro To BOS: Ryan We keep all our top prospects, except Arias and maybe our top 3 pitching prospects, but MIN gets Abel & Fitts, a top SS prospect and two decent pitching prospects, too. Is that enough? If the Sox do this trade and extend Ryan, we'll look very well set up for a pretty long window, including several younger players at relatively low costs with upcoming arbs and reasonable extensions.
  12. I Campbell looked bad, tonight, but maybe he's just shaking off some rust. The guy was pretty good in 2023 and the talk was he had some pretty good stuff. Let's give him a few more looks.
  13. Great game by Gio! He's making the signing look like it was just bad luck for 2024. It doesn't really come close to a balance on the Sale trade, but many viewed the savings from that trade as helping the Sox afford to sign a $19M x 2 pitcher not a $10M/1, or less, like we had been signing for years. Now hearing much fire Brez and Cora talk, anymore.
  14. You are always wrong, you fool! LOL!
  15. Off to Cancun for 5 days. Go Sox!
  16. Ref is a top 10 bat vs LHPs over 3 years. It's not easy to find that. Romy's sample size is shorter, but nearly as good as Ref's.
  17. All the best managers can predict who will have the best month and move them up in the line-up. DAMN! I hate when you are right!
  18. Had we spent it all on one pitcher on a 5 year deal, maybe we'd have done better.
  19. Until the Crochet extension, not a single "new" dollar was spent on anything but reclamation projects. From the Sale/Nate deals to Crochet, unless you count the Bello extension.
  20. With all the talk on Campbell, maybe Romero solves our 2B issue: 3B Mayer SS Story 2B Romero
  21. Indeed, and they think going up a notch in spending will make a difference. $6M Perez $16M Richards & Perez $15M Kluber & Paxton $17M Wacha, Hill, Paxton $18M Giolito $48M Gio, Sandoval & Buehler
  22. Chapman was cheaper than Jansen in AAV ($16M to 12) and years (2 to 1.) The recent Buehler ($21M/1 highest SP AAV since Sale) and Gio ($39M/2 largest and longest since Nate) plus Sandoval ($18M/2, 2nd largest and longest since Sale) does show a significant increase on the rotation. That's $78M for 3 pitchers. Before that, It was about $10-12M a year, tops. The Bregman signing broke the Sox AAV record, and the Crochet extension was a breath of fresh air, and I didn't even count his contract towards money spent on the rotation, recently. It seems like an obvious uptick in spending, despite the Devers cash dump.
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