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moonslav59

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Everything posted by moonslav59

  1. moonslav59
    I think there are injury concerns with Gio.
  2. moonslav59
    On paper, the Durbin deal looks like a steal. I still think Duran as a LF'er for HOU (or some other team) should be worth more than he is as a DH for us, but since we did not upgrade the offense anywhere but 1B, I'm fine with keeping Duran & Abreu. Paredes at 3B and Durbin at 2B would have worked, too.
  3. moonslav59
    I think that is exactly why other GMs are leary of trading top talent for Duran- not to mention his defensive issues.
  4. moonslav59
    I'm talking about signing Skubal, next winter. Same with the trade.
  5. moonslav59
    ATL extends "freakin'" Chris Sale to $27M/1 with a $30M club option for 2028. Sale turns 37 next month. Cubs to sign Conforto to $2M/1. Gio & Littell remain FAs.
  6. moonslav59
    $50M for Skubal minus $36M for Gray, Sandoval and IKF. Trade Duran ($9M) and Bello ($9M) for a cheap big bat and we have a lower AAV in 2027. We'd have lost Gray, Bello & Sandoval and added one SP'ers, so we'd be counting on Tolle, Early and Crawford to take up the slack in the rotation. Skubal Crochet Suarez Tolle Early Oviedo/Crawford Uberstine/Bennett Witherspoon/Phillips/Eyanson/Holobetz/Mullins/Valera/Ziehl
  7. moonslav59
    It seems that other teams do not value Duran as highly as Brez & Co. Otherwise, I think he'd be traded by now. Take the Astros: they have a glut of infielders and need a LHB OF'er. We have a glut of OF'ers of which all 4 hit RHPs better than LHPs, even Rafaela. I'm sure we had talks centered around our OF'ers. Word was, HOU wanted Abreu NOT Duran, and I'm not sure it was all about his extra year of control. Of course GMs value players differently, and they assess their needs differently, too, and the HOU-BOS situation is a fine example of how just how hard it is to come to an agreement on a trade. I'm pretty sure HOU would want Duran, but just not enough to give up Paredes and _____. I suggested King or Janek or even Sousa or Abreu, but I'm not sure that was ever discussed, or if both sides would agree to any combination listed. We got Durbin without having to part with Duran or Abreu, so maybe Brez made the right call.
  8. moonslav59
    Contreras has a 2027 contract year at $21.3M, of which STL pays $4M. It's 2028 that is the option at $17.5M with a $5M buyout.
  9. moonslav59
    Yes, but with 1 HR in 87 PAs. He did slug .506, though.
  10. moonslav59
    It should be noted, I've spoken of Yankee age-related regressions for a few years, and it hasn't happened, except that one year. That '23 season saw 37 yr old Donaldson hit .659, 34 yr old LeMahieu .718, 33 yr olds Stanton, Rizzo & Hicks all hit under .706 I'm sticking to it. tough. NYY Wins in last 5 seasons: 92>99>82>94>94 They've made the playoffs in 8 of 9 seasons and 9 of 11.
  11. moonslav59
    We'd still have to pay him all or most of it.
  12. moonslav59
    True, but standing pat is not usually a good plan, even for great championship teams. Ages: 38 Goldschmidt 36 Stanton, Hill 35 Cole (begins year on IL), Cruz 34 Yarbrough 33 Judge, Rodon (begins year on IL) 32 Fried, Blackburn 31 Bednar. McMahon 30 Bellinger, Bird, Bido, Escarra I see about 8 or 9 of their top 12-14 kep players who are over 30.
  13. moonslav59
    Maybe not. We are set to lose this AAV after 2026: $21M Gray (and we'll need another top SP'er to replace him) $9.1M Sandoval $6M IKF That's $36M AAV We could judge to let Houck & his $4.1M arb in '26 walk, or we could trade Bello $9.2M, K Campbell $7.5M or Duran who is looking at his last arb contract or over $10M. They may also look at the fact that Yoshida's deal is over after 2027, so the long term aspect of a Skubal deal could be partially covered by his loss. There would likely be no "big bat" plus Skubal, unless we trade for one.
  14. moonslav59
    If there ever was a time....
  15. moonslav59
    Maybe WAPM lacks in age regression calculations.
  16. moonslav59
    27th among those with 300+ PAs (out of 67) .826 7/1/25>
  17. moonslav59
    How can anyone be proud of an offseason mantra of "Run it back," especially when it's not a ring year.
  18. moonslav59
    Big action in the 9th, after 8 scoreless innings. Tough loss.
  19. moonslav59
    I had no idea how much those two play. I think Casas can hit .800 if healthy. I think KC will bounce back and be over .725.
  20. moonslav59
    How they come up with projected PAs is questionable, and also a big part of someone's projected WAR and HR/RBI totals.
  21. moonslav59
    This looks more like the B or C team.
  22. moonslav59
    Look at my projections: 700 Anthony .875 > Uptick 675 Duran .790 = about the same as last 3 years 650 Contreras .800= about the same as his last few years 650 Story .730 < lower than 2025 650 Abreu .800 > career high, but he's been close 625 Durbin .750< not much higher than '25 625 Rafaela .720< not much higher than '25 500 Mayer .740 <stab in the dark 450 Narvaez .725 < lower than 2025 400 IKF .675 = about career avg 350 Romy .800 > worse than '25 250 Yoshida .780 = about career 200 Wong .675 = close to career 200 Monasterio .690= under career 100 Sogard .690 = same
  23. moonslav59
    It looks that way, especially with Romy out.
  24. moonslav59
    Good point, and what happens if Durbin gets 638 and Bregman 437?
  25. moonslav59
    That's what gets me. Just admit you flubbed and come u with a more believable scenario.
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