moonslav59

Anyone joining me on the division win bandwagon?

Blind squirrel on a broken clock right, yes.

The sad thing is you are not joking.

The big hitters cant come through. Yikes!

Yes, but who are the "flops?"

Down to 3.60 in a flash. His ERA dropped from 4.76 to 4.62, tonight. We should stop pushing our luck and bring Bello in next inning.

Now, I'm feeling like turning back against Duran, (Just kidding.)

We often think alike, Max. I thought the exact same thing. He probably could have used some rest, but we got the win.

I think a 1400+ recent sample size makes the hope he can near his upside potential hard to fathom. His 650+ recent sample size is frightening. He's days away from turning 30, and while many players do well from 30-33 or more, many do not. I don't think it's "easy to start" him, except for his recent month of decent batting. The easiest part about starting him is that we have no other LHB option in LF. That's not exactly a ringing endorsement of Duran earning a FT or platoon role, but it is what it is. I'd keep playing him, for now, but I'd sit hi vs all or most LH'd SP'ers, then PH him later in the game. Duran is at .654 in his last 365 days, including this recent warm stretch. .215 BA (.268 BAbip) .279 OBO .375 SLG 179K- 47 BB (30 HBP) 22 SB- 5 CS 9 SH+SF 21 GDP Looking at just this, he looks like a bench guy. He's ,570 v LHPs after batting .600 vs them in 2025. He should be platooned, at best. He should bat 8th or 9th vs RHPs.

I assumed you were talking about recent management. While Jacoby was more about offense than defense, that was largely driven by the 4 year stretch from 2011-2014. He was pretty close to 50-50 on O and D the other years: O/D Years 17.3/13.9 '07-'10 (w BOS) 77.4/19.5 '11-'14 (3 w BOS and 1 w NYY) -6.7/-1.1 '15-'17 (all w NYY) 8 surrounding seasons: 10.6 O and 12.8 D 4 middle seasons: 77.4 O and 19.5 D Other 10 year Sox eras in CF: 2007-2016 71.9/25.3 Jacoby (604 gms) -8.2/28.2 JBJ (308 gms) 1.3/26.4 Crisp (242 gms) 25.2/4.8 Betts 159 gms) The next guys were DMac, Kalish & Cameron who were a combined: -15.4 O and -14.9 D 1997-2006 66.1/-18.9 Damon was all about O Crisp and Kapler not so much.

That is true, and maybe he looks better if the game was 2-1. Anyway, the guy has been a winner, and while I often state that wins are a team stat, the SP'er has more to do with a win than anyone else in most games. It's a major aspect on Vegas setting each games' odds. Gray is 16-3 and the team is 18-6 in his starts. His no decision games: 4 IP/ 3 ER (6-5 loss) 2.2 IP / 1 ER (8-6 win) 4 IP/ 0 ER (5-4 loss in 10) There were 3 unearned runs against Gray. Last 9 games were without any no decisions. He and the team were 8-2. One loss was 6 IP with 2 ERs allowed. This last win might have evened up that loss. FYI Suarez is 5-3 (team 13-9) 3 losses were in games he allowed 0-1 ERs. Tolle is 8-6 (team 11-10) 2 losses were with 0-1 ERs allowed. Bennett 7-6 & Team 7-7 with only 1 loss with 0 ERs.

That's not only the hope, it's probably the plan.

Yes, and even if you add 2B to 3B, we see this... 17 Duran (508 PAs) 35 Rafaela (518) 31 Abreu (545) 23 Monasterio (290) 23 Durbin (462) 23 Willson (483) 22 Mayer+Seigler (386) 19 Story+Sogard+IKF (449) 17 Gasper+Anthony+Romy+Cheng (382) 17 Yoshida (297) 16 Wong+Narvaez (391) Counting HRs, nobody with more than 230 PAs has a lower XB%: 10.1 Contreras 10.0 Monasterio 9.9 Rafaela 9.7 Abreu 7.6 Durbin 7.4 Yosida 6.7 Duran Players over 150 PAs and under 230: 9.5 Seiler 7.2 Wong 5.7 Story 4.6 Narvaez SLG% probably captures this point made best: .541 Contreras .474 Abreu .462 Rafaela .419 Monasterio .399 to .403 Seigler, Durbin & Yoshida .371-.383 Wong, Sogard & Gasper .361-.365 Duarn & IKF SLG% does not tell everything. Someone with Duran's speed could more than make up for the loss of power by getting on base, but.... OBP: .396 Willson .377 Sogard .354 Roman .347 Masa .344 IKF .341 Abreu .332 Wong .324 Durbin .318-.322 Rafaela, Seigler, Gasper, Cheng & Monasterio .282-.286 Mayer & Eaton .267 Duran .260-.264 Romy & Narvaez .244 Story

Well, I never gave Duran the Fred on Ceddane treatment, so there is that.

I was talking about X. Monasterio as looked better to me than is numbers indicate, but I'd be a hypocrite, if I used my observations for him alone. I'm not sure Money is better than Story at SS defense, so I'd probably be okay with Story at SS and Money at 2B (platooned?) but I kinda like Sogard and Seagler better than Story.

34 games to go. Wow! That's all. That's only about 20%. The playoffs look pretty close to a sure thing, but as we saw not long ago, the standings can shift in less than 34 games. The Rays went 33-12 around the same time we went looney tunes, so we barely gained ground on them. While there is no way I'm expecting us to repeat what we did over our historical stretch, I'm still thinking the Rays have a bad stretch in them. I think they have been playing over their heads. Pythagorean agrees and has them 8 wins over expectations. Lo and behold, they are 7 up on us. BTW, Pythagorean as the Yanks and the Sox tied at 75-53. Here is what gives me hop on catching the Rays: 1. Their last 10 games are: 3 v BOS, 4 at NYY and 3 at PHI! 2. While they do have 6 games vs the A's and 3 vs the Mets remaining, their other 15 games look very difficult: 4 at TEX, 3 at DET and 3 v HOU & SDP, plus these next two at the O's, who are playing better. 3. We hear talk of how bad our offense is, just imagine what Fred would be doing if we had these OPS guys in our top 9 players by PAs: .698 Simpson (4th in PAs) .638 Mullins (5th- look what Fred says about Ceddane's O, and who is 150 points better.) .605 Walls (6th) .694 Palacios (7thh) .677 Fortes (8th) .641 Williamson (9th and on IL) That's 6 of 9 batters under .698 and 5 under .694. A third of their batters are under .641. 4. While having 4 starters over 90 IP and an ERA under 3.65, Jax is on the IL. Their pen has been pretty solid with these OPSA vs teir most used RP'ers: .537 Kevin Kelly (215 PAs against) .621 Ian Seymour (203) .476 Bryan Baker (193) .744 Cole Sulser (181) .737 G Cleavinger (160) .717 Casey Legumina (155) .786 Jesse Scoltens (149) .556 Cam Booser (114) Not many household names, but the same could be said about our pen. Can we see this happen? 24-10 BOS 20-14 NYY 16-18 TBR 3 way tie for ALE.

The pen is battered, and I mean ready for the deep frier. Maybe Bello can give us 5.

I hope to God, posters razz me for years and years about how I have treated Duran over the last few months, and even years. We really need someone to step up and do significantly better than the start of their season. Maybe it's an IL player coming back, but I've all but given up hope on that. Abreu as stepped up. Durbin stepped up. Rafaela & Willson have been steady all season long, but one more guy could make all the difference in the world. Speaking of the IL, would this team listed below be a .500 team if all 100% healthy? IL and AAA depth Rotation: Crochet, Houck, Crawford, Oviedo (Valera) Pen: Whitlock, Slaten, Kelly C: Delay/Baez/Montero (coulda been Rogers) 1B: Romy/Casas 2B: Story/Romy SS: Arias/Story 3B: IKF/Romero LF: Mead/Campbell CF: Anthony/Eaton RF: Campbell/Anthony DH: Yoshida/Campbell That's a pretty decent team, to me.

So, true, Larry, and it wasn't like Gray ad only two bad pitches all night. He struggled all game.

There is not much left to "clean up." Brez has turned the roster over- almost completely. The amount of players he added then traded is stunning... Draftees: (pick) Braden Montgomery (12th) Witherspoon (15) Eyanson (87) Ehrhard (115) Clarke (148) Aita (177) Galle (508) Hanson (597) Rule 5: Paez Fajardo, Travieso, Azocar Trade: Harrison, Fitts, Narvaez, Sandlin, Hicks, Newcomb, T Gray, Penrod I'm sure I'm forgetting a few,

If Pythagorean ran things... 81-48 MIL 79-49 LAD (not counting tonight's gm) 76-53 ATL & NYY 75-53 BOS 74-54 CHC (Not counting tonight's game) 68-60 TBR

7 back from Rays. Dont give up hope!

Last winter, Brez made a flurry of seemingly minor deals to free up some roster space right before the Rule 5 draft. (Remember, he add Sandlin, Drohan & Uberstine- all gone now plus nontendered N Lowe and Winckowski.) Here is a look at those 4 trades: Bernardino for Braiden Ward. Ward is 27 and fast. Notin has wanted him promoted several times, but the Sox have never been added to the 40. He's hitting .702, now, but he was a .363 OBP and 53 SBs. This deal may still work into a plus. Chris Murphy for Ronny Hernandez. He's only 21, but will likely be a DH or 1Bman if he ever makes it. He's on GRE, so his numbers are tainted, but not every GRE batter is at .959 with 13 HRs and 22 XBHs in just 191 ABs. This deal could be a plus over time. Alex Hoppe for Luke Heyman. He's batting .800 with 17 HRs & 31 XBHs in 323 ABs. Again, he on the RE team. he's 23 and could improve. Luis Guerrero for Tristan Gray (later traded for Nate Baez) Baez is a 25 y/o catcher in AAA and is depth. He's at .681 but is 8th in farm PAs for POR/Woo. He has 30 XBHs in 323 ABs Not long afterwards, Brez traded Grissom for Isaiah Jackson. Jackson has started to heat up to .793. He's shown some power with 18 HRs and 36 XBHs in 334 ABs. Grissom has done okay, but we were done with him. and a more meaningful deal of J Garcia + Travieso for Oviedo (IL) Samaniego (AAA) and Adonys Guzman. Guzman has been hot. He's over .800 after tonight's 10th HR in 222 ABs The last somewhat meaningful deal (at the time) was Luis Perales for Jake Bennett. This deal speaks for itself--- WOW! It's interesting to note that 4 of the acquired players were catchers or C/1B/DH types. Most trades are clearly TBD, but some nice starts.

Woo was being no hit before Arias cracked a double to bring in 2 runs. Woo later tied it, but lost in the 9th. POR lost but Gonzo keep bashing the ball (2-4 w 3B and at 1.295) Anthony went 1-3 w 2 Ks. Futrell pitched okay, SAL lost 7-5 for the clean sweep, and GRE's game was delayed. Selar wen't o-5 w 4Ks. Primera is a beast 2-4 with a BB (1.020.) Guzman is eating up and homered (.856)

A win is a win is a win. Take it and run.