moonslav59

MLB and Sox Pitcher Rankings (130+ IP) 73 qualify fWAR: 17 Suarez (3.4) 19 Tolle (3.3) 31 Gray (2.7) ERA-: 10 Gray (66) 16 Tolle (75) 24 Suarez (80) ________________ 90+ IP (137 qualify) fWAR: 17 Suarez, 19 Tolle, 32 Gray, 47 Bennett (2.4) 114 Early (0.7) 120 Bello (0.5) ERA-: 13 Gray (66) 23 Tolle (75) 29 Bennett (78) 33 Early & Suarez (80) ____________________________ Other notables: 3 Sale 5.4 15 Baz 3.5 26 ERod 3.0 35 Dustin May, Joe Ryan & Wacha 2.6 63 Drohan 1.9 70 Harrison 1.7 75 Buehler 1.5 135 Springs -0.7

Last 14 days: 2.84 Bennett (4.45 last 28 days) 3.60 Gray (3.00) 3.60 Sandoval (5.40) 3.63 Suarez (3.90) 4.91 Tolle (3.38) 8.68 Bello (5.50) & 19.64 Paez 28 Days OPS Against .649 Tolle .658 Bennett .715 Suarez .720 Bello & Gray .825 Sandoval 1.472 Paez

I was fine with the trade at the time. We overpaid, but deadline deals for the better players, especially those that are not rentals is expected. I was very high on more than just Eyanson, but their value was and still is speculative. We needed a bat. Catcher was our weakest offensive position and not great on D either. The trade is still TBD. Even if AR gives us a 2 WAR next year and something of value this year, it might be a plus. His playoff numbers might override averything else. What the return package does might end up being the deciding factor, and those results are 2-5 years away. I'd rather see deals like this than the non-Schwarber Bloom deadline nonsense. I've also argues that winter roster construction should be designed to avoid needing to make massive summer overpays to fill holes, but on this one, I give Bloom a half pass. I thought Narvaez & Wong were fine for 2026 and beyond. I was wrong, so I can't blame Brez for agreeing with me. I did think we came up a big bat short, last winter, but I felt the overloading of pitching could/would make up for it. I also think the Mead trade should have met the bat need we fell short of. That was a sort of overpay, too but not massive. His first game injury forced the AR deal. Half pass.

Plus Paez 19.64 ERA (3.2 IP)

Sox have 3 pitchers in the top 30 in ERA- (130+ IP) T9. Gray 66 T16. Tolle 75 T26. Suarez 83 3 in Top 25 in xFIP 3 in Top 32 in fWAR (Gray T 32) _______________________________ 3 in top 30 Pen arms fWAR 14. Whitlock 1.7 16 Chapman 1.5 29 Bello 1.2 (Guerrero in 40th) ERA- 15. Whitlock 20 Bello 24 Capman (55 Moran/ 75 Guerrero)

Yanks lost Rays keep winning

Godbout went 3-4 in POR's loss. e's up to .899. Shaffner is over .800 with GRE after going 2-4. GRE is tied 2-2 late. Hull is 1-4 (.964) SAL won 11-4 as Salazar is red hot. 4-4 (.871)

Holobetz threw his hat into the ring with a nice game, tonight. 6IP 3H 0ER 3BB 4K Arias 4-6 (.860) Hickey 3-4 w HR, Cheng 3-5, Ward 2-6 w HR in 10-0 win. Woo won the delayed game, too- thanks to a 3 run R by Capra in the 10th.

I'd be okay with bringing Gray back, assuming he stays healthy to end the year. I'm not sure whatever options there might be, but I'm not sure we have the trade capital to get the next Gray. Another Oviedo maybe.

Whit with the lockdown DP.

This wasn't a prediction, but damn- it happened!

As of this very minute, MLB OPS leaders in last 30 days (20+ PAs) 1.554 Jones 1.495 Gasper 1.409 Anthony TOP THREE!!!! Drop the PAs to 15, and Story is 8th at 1.126

47 pitches. Can Suarez go 7 IP for once?

2028 SP: Crochet, Tolle, Bello, Suarez, ______, Bello, Crawford (Wehunt/Holobetz/Paez) RP: _____, Miller, Slaten, Moran, Weissert, Kelly, Rivera, Samaniego (Phillips, Mullins) C: ______, Wong (GasperJo Garcia) 1B: Contreras, Romy (Gasper, Casas, Gonzales) 2B: Mead, Seigler 3B: Durbin, Romero SS: Arias, Story (option)/Monasterio/Cheng LF: Anthony, Jones CF: Rafaela, White RF: Abreu (Gonzales) DH: _______ Gasper,Duran, Campbell (Brannon/Cespedes)

Okay, this is hyperbole, but how did Gasper become MLB's best batter?

Yup, and not all Brez;'s adds worked. We cycled through Watson (56 IP is 2nd on team in RP IP) and Coulombe (22 IP is 10th) Whodathunk Bello would lead the team in IP with Watson 2nd. Last year, Bernardino, Murphy & Kelly had 35+ IP. Some Sox pen numbers: 2024: 18t in fWAR/ 24t in ERA- (Kinda letdown seasons from carry-overs Jansen, Martin & Winck (153 IP combined) 2025: 2nd in fWAR/ 2nd in ERA+ to SDP 2026: 2nd fWAR to SDP/ 1st in ERA- 2025-2026 combined: 1st ERA- at 78 (next is 82 SDP) 2nd fWAR at 13.1 (SDP at 15.4) 3rd in FIP (3.66)

It seemed HOU knew Duran was too much of a gamble. I', kinda glad we got Durbin (and Suarez) over Breggie, but I suppose we could have gotten Durbin (3B) & Paredes (2B/1B/DH.)

I was kinda setting the bar at .790 with hopes he might do better but a liklihood he'd probably be .725-.775. I expected Narvaez to be .550-.600 and Wong maybe .625-.675, post trade. Combined, maybe .600-.650, so even .700 to .750is 100 points better plus very good defense.

If Paez gets rocked again, does Wehunt get added? He is Rule 5 eligible, so maybe... Last 3 starts: 15.2 IP 14 Hits 14Ks 7 BBs (just 3 in last 2 starts) 3 ERs 1.72 ERA

Time for Suarez to earn his pay. His IP last 3 years (Regular + Playoff) : 161 2025 165 2024 168 2023 124 this year, so far. He's never been a "horse," and we need one, now.

I'm worried about Bennet reaching his wall. Maybe Tolle, too.

I think we are set up pretty well. We have 2 major slots to fill for next season and 2 for 2028. We have a solid bench. The pen always will need infusions, but that is true for every team, and Brez has done an admirable job for 3 years- often with no names or reclamation projects that work out. We don't even lose than many big players after 3 years. We have some slots looking solid for 4-5+ years. Granted, some may go south or sideways, but with the depth we have, we should not get burned at any position. (Catcher could get scary. Closer, too. We'll need a SP'er but look to have decent depth, if Houck, Crawford & Oviedo return and Bello loses the yips.)

True. Maybe 1 or two work out okay or well, but there are only 4 slots needed in 1-2 years.

Yup, and Crochet, Tolle, Bennett & Suarez have 5 years of control. We have 7 of 9 line-up slots filled for 1-2 more years and 4 rotation slots filled for 5. Those are the high priced slots. We'll need a SP'er next year (Houck/Crawford/Oviedo?), a closer (Whitlock?) and catcher after 2027 (Jo Garcia/Wong?) and 1Bman after 2028 (Gonzalez/Casas/Romy/Brannon/Jo Garcia?) That's not much.

Great points One reason I'm not overly concerned is the years of control we have for our very best pitchers, especially starters. Only Gray, Chapman and to a lesser extent Houck, Sandoval, Guerrero & Oviedo need to be replaced after this year or next. 2 yrs: Whitlock & Crawford 3 yrs: Slaten, Weissert, Kelly & Moran 5 yrs: Crochet, Suarez, Tolle & Bennett (THIS IS AWESOME!) Does anybody else have 4 SP'ers like this locked up for 5 years? (Valera, Wehunt, Paez, Holobetz, Delzine and others.)