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moonslav59

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Everything posted by moonslav59

  1. moonslav59
    It's hard not to tie grades with expectations. Here are my grades: B+ Story (His D kept him from an A-) B+ Romy (He did well enough vs RHPs to warrant this grade.) B Bregman (The missed time and slump near the end kept him from an A- B Lowe (He did what we needed and fixed the 1B position for the end of 2025.) C Mayer & Sogard (Both showed some promise, but .... meh.) D- Campbell (He sucked on D and but for about 10 days out of the gate, sucked on O, too.) F DHam, Toro & Casas (These three did ZERO to help the team win. Anything they did okay was more than made up for by their extreme faults.)
  2. moonslav59
    He may not have time to prove this with the Sox after batting .618 v R, this season. Very short leash, if he gets a chance. His glove is a plus at 2B ONLY, so his utility value is minimized by that. It could force shuffling around infielders so he's at 2B. His baserunning is top 5%, and he has some PR value.
  3. moonslav59
    Of the series, yes.
  4. moonslav59
    Nobody is untouchable or should be, IMO. Offer me more than they are worth, and presto...
  5. moonslav59
    Vladdy coming alive after a kinda rough season.
  6. moonslav59
    If there was some way we could trade Yoshida or have the nerve to bench or demote him, we could go with Duran at DH, Anthony in LF, Rafaela in CF and Abreu in RF. This takes away an opportunity to trade an OF'er for a pitcher, 2Bman or corner IF'er, but one or two FAs should be possible, and we'd probably still need a significant trade to fill one of the 3 priorities. #SP2 1B 3B or 2B (Mayer or Story fill the other.) We aren't fill one of these needs with a high quality player by trading DHam, Wink and Sandlin, so it's going to take someone else to headline the deal, like maybe _____? Campbell plus one from... Crawford, Dobbins, Fitts, Harrison or Perales (or Jh Garcia) add ons.... DHam, Sandlin, Mullins, Wink, Guerrero or Kelly I'm not sure we get what we need with an offer like this, but we get to keep Duran and Abreu.
  7. moonslav59
    I've always thought the other talking heads in the Sox organization that spin our heads- not so much Brez (or Cora.)
  8. moonslav59
    I'm not worries about Anthony's initial GB%. The guy can hit. He may never become a 40-50 HR guy, but he might reach 30-40, at some point. I think he's our best hope at a .900 batter in 2026. Abreu, Duran, Yoshida and maybe Casas are the three with the best odds at reaching .800, but .750 to .775 is their likely projection. (Romy and a possible returning Ref can hit ,800+ in a strict platoon.) Story, Narvaez, Mayer and Rafaela are probably looking at .750 as a max. Wong, DHam and others might struggle to get close to .700. As for power, these were the HR per 650 numbers: 35 Abreu 28 Refsnyder (may not return) 25 Story 21 Narvaez 20 Mayer & DHam 18 Anthony & Casas 17 Romy 16 Campbell 15 Duran 13 Yoshida 7 Eaton 0 Wong & Sogard
  9. moonslav59
    This could be an interesting winter for Japanese player signings. There are two 3Bmen with differing profiles: Munetaka Murakami & maybe Kazuma Okamoto (29- 2 time GG winner who averaged 34 HRs since 2018, but some say he's 1B only in MLB.) Sung Mun Song may be posted as well. He's played 2B, 3B & 1B. Kona Takahashi (RHP) is posted and maybe RHP Tatsaya Imai will be, too. He's 29 and has had an OPS above .900 for two straight seasons (45 HRs/1248 PAs)
  10. moonslav59
    Who was the 1Bman who won the GG award when playing mostly DH?
  11. moonslav59
    Replacing an 18-22 HR Bregman with an 18-22 HR Bichette looks like a sideways move that may be even more expensive.
  12. moonslav59
    I totally get that and agree. As the season moves on, we may have to adjust and fill needs anyway we can, and that might mean using Tolle and or others in pen roles. He should start the season in the AAA rotation, unless he wins a rotation slot of the Sox. He also has options, so others may make the 26 due to control issues- someone like the undeserving (for now) Hicks. Others out of options: Wink, Criswell, Moran and the easy to DFA/Trade DeLeon & I Campbell. I don't see a 40 man roster crunch, this winter, unless we add 5-6 players, but there will be a 26 man roster crunch, that may lead to needing to put guys in AAA that are better players.
  13. moonslav59
    Soxprospects.com summary on Arias: Potential everyday regular at shortstop. Ceiling of a quality regular who provides value with his glove and contact ability. Hit tool is a standout tool, but lack of power and speed limits upside. Defensive profile provides him a solid floor. High baseball IQ; actively seeks to learn more and improve. Needs to get stronger and continue to physically mature to reach his potential.
  14. moonslav59
    Yup. Agreed. If some were before he was called up, then they are not really ST'ing games, but I'm not sure about that 2023 season.
  15. moonslav59
    I agree. My point was that the best spot for him to help the 2026 Sox win starting on opening day would be the MLB pen.
  16. moonslav59
    Bichette has been very consistently between a 121 and 129 OPS+ since 2020, except for the outlier 2024/Kapow 68. He would be a nice RHB addition to replace Bregman's bat, but he doesn't have the power we need and that Breggie did not give us, either. If we got Bichett for 3B, we'd need Suarez/Alonso/Schwarber for 1B- not Yandy Diaz as notin suggests. Diaz at 1B and Suarez at 3B would be fine, also, except for the 3B defense
  17. moonslav59
    They said, "We're not quite dead, yet!"
  18. moonslav59
    It's 75 GS, if you count the 4 farm starts in '23 and another 4 in '25, but those were rehabs, so...
  19. moonslav59
    Yes. I pointed that out on my last post. He may be similar to Crochet in some ways, but Crochet did not miss as much time due to injury. It was just because of not being a starter for so long. I'm not sure I want to tie so much into another oft-injured pitcher. This guy is damn good, though. I know Hunter Brown is not on the market, but he'd be a get. Lodolo is probably a safer (and cheaper) get. I'm not as high on Ryan as I was before. I'm getting a bit hooked on the Merrill Kelly idea, because I doubt he will cost much and won't get 3-4+ years. Trade for K Marte.
  20. moonslav59
    Castillo will pitcha gem.
  21. moonslav59
    TOR and Vladdy with a big statement game, tonight!
  22. moonslav59
    If Mayer is better at SS and Story at 2B, that would help the team win more, right? I'm fine with Mayer at 3B. I'd rather have Story at 2B than Mayer. I'd like Bichette, but he'd be too costly and his D is sketchy at SS. Mayer is probably better on D than he is.
  23. moonslav59
    The claim was offensively. It's close, but edge to S & O OPS+ 126 Suarez 125 O'Hearn ____________________ 128 Bregman 114 Duran
  24. moonslav59
    I guess we can't count on Cora to knock some sense into Marte, but I'd roll the dice on him. He just turned 32, and he's had 2 of his best 4 seasons in the last 2 years and 3 of his top 5 in the last 3 seasons by OPS+ (3 of his top 4 bWAR seasons.) We'd go from easily the worst 2B position for nearly a decade to maybe the best in one stroke. We'd add a power bat and improve the defense. Add a corner IF'er via free agency, the only strong category of this FA class and then maybe sign a Merrill Kelly or make a second trade for M Keller and call it a winter.
  25. moonslav59
    Real Facts: Narvaez was a decent batter on the farm and di very well his rookie year. He did not fade. His OPS up to AUG 28th was .719. It was .756 afterwards. You love to bash Cora for absurd things like not playing KC at SS and Duran in CF, but overlook the fact that Duran should have been platooned- not Abreu. Yes, Mayer is injury prone, but why overlook that Greene is, too? 24, 22, 26 and 19 GS the last 4 seasons. (Only 19, this year. He missed about 1/3 of the season- same as Mayer.) I'd love to get Greene and would overpay to get him., but facts are facts are facts.
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