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moonslav59

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Everything posted by moonslav59

  1. BLowe is likely not on the market. Jeffers may be having a career year but he has been very consistent, unlike Springer. I could be wrong about him being cheaper than Springer in return prospects, but if they were the same cost, I'd take the catcher. I'd rather have the cheaper G Torres than Springer. I'm not sure how many other nonpitching rentals I'm even considering. Arraez? Meh. Now, talk to me about multi year players and I'd want many over Springer, but all will be overpays to gross overpays.
  2. Nice post. I think the possible return of Anthony makes LF a slot we don't touch. Jones & Yoshida as the 4th/5th OF'er is a bit scary. To me, we will probably get a Catcher or SS (not both) and a pitcher. If we fill all 3 slots, 2 might be rentals.
  3. You are giving the posters who claim we overhype our prospects too much ammo, here.... LOL. Arias for 2.4 years of Abrams would be fine with me, although Abrams is not a plus defender at SS. I might for Francisco Alvarez. We'd be set at catcher for 2.4 years.
  4. Springer will be 37 in September. .719 OPS 2026 & .869 2025-2026 / .790 last 3 years/.772 last 4 years Jeffers: Pretty similar .928 '26/ .802 '25-'26/ .773 last 3/.792 last 4 B Lowe (maybe PIT not selling) .805/ .794/ .791/.786 (very steady) HRs: BLowe 53 in 999 PAs 2025-2026 Springer 44 in 930 Jeffers 18 in 654
  5. I've never been one to believe that "clutch hitting" is a repeatable skill. I'm not trading for Springer based on a small sample size of great playoff hitting and heroics. I'd rather have Jeffers or B Lowe, and I'm not sure they cost any more. They also upgrade positions of greater need than DH.
  6. I think this way. They figured the value of Contreras minus what we traded for him and it came to a value of about $90M/3, so they offer Alonso a comparative offer- knowing he'd say no.
  7. From what I hear about Goodman's defense, I agree. If Goodman is going to be the DH soon, then no. I really like Abrams, but he might be best at 2B, and I'm not sure that works for him or us. Witt is not happening. I think we keep Arias. I hope we keep Eyanson, too, but for the right non rental guy, I'd move him.
  8. Jeffers should not cost more than Springer and is hitting better, so far. I'd rather upgrade our .650 catcher than our .685 DHs. Our DH position has been doing much better the last 4-6 weeks, too. I've soured on Neto and his terrible SS defense, and since we have Mead for 2027>> moving Neto to 2B cause more issues. .926 Abrams (may be worth the poor D for an OPS like this, but very costly) .883 Andrew Vaughn .877 Ty France .872 Goodman (would take a huge offer to get) .866 Pena (good on D but injured a lot and just 1 more year of control) .853 Lopez (.851 Mead- Oooops) .817 Arraez (rental) .810 Soderstrom .809 Bleday .805 B Lowe (rental) .803 N Lowe (rental) .800 Witt (not happening) .798 O'Hearn (might be better than Springer at DH) .793 L Hicks (okay with me) .785 C Schmidt .781 F Alvarez (My top pick) .775 G Torres .765 Paredes .764 Rutschman .757 KMarte & Neto .749 I Herrera .728 Lindor .719 Springer (Why assume he'll be great in the POs?) .710 Adames
  9. Still not worst, though. 1. Story 2. Yoshida 3. Bello 4. Campbell Not long ago, some might have put Sandoval above KC. Duran makes more money this year than KC makes in 2026, 2027 and half od 2028.
  10. Don't fall for that. Name the Sox player with more Ks. Name any Sox player with 230+ PAs and a lower OPS than Duran. While you're at it, name one MLB player with over 400 PAs and a lower BA, OBP or OPS. (Duran is 5th worst in SLG) What's interesting about the RBI numbers is this: Abreu (229) Rafaela (187) Contreras (181) and Durbin (166) have more PAs with Men on Base than Duran's 163. All but Abreu have better BAs (some bu 50-60 points) than Duran and much better OPS: .988 Contreras, .843 Rafaela, .758 Durbin to Duran's .711 OPS. Duran is 3rd in PAs w RISP 121 Abreu (.744 OPS) .232 BA 111 Contreras (1.090 OPS) .326 BA 109 Duran (.884 explains it) but .270 BA is 4th in these 5. 102 Durbin (.824) .289 BA 98 Rafaela (.920) .330 BA
  11. Depending on IKF, Mayer and Story's timetables, I'm not sure KC would be called up before Cheng or Eaton. Hell, maybe Harris gets the call before KC.
  12. When you are on a limited winter spending budget, looking at the balance sheet makes a lot of sense. Instead of signing Cease of Framber, Brez gave a couple mid-level prospects and got a $21M Sonny Gray, Instead of outbidding the O's for Alonso, who apparently wanted to play in BOS, Brez gave up a couple mid-tier prospects for an $18M Contreras. Instead of paying Bregman what the Cubs offered him, Brez traded some pitching depth plus DHam for Durbin and infield depth, and used the Bregman money on Suarez. We could not have afforded Bregman, Cease & Alonso. Some juggling was needed and the nerdy geek brainiac came through. It's easy to just say, ""JH could afford to ____," but that's not how Brez sees it. The do-over trade was the one for Oviedo (Samaniego & Guzman), and maybe Brez regretted it even before he got hurt, once he signed Suarez, but it is what it is. I'm not sure how big a bat we could have gotten for Jh Garcia and Travieso, but maybe adding another piece (like in hindsight Duran or Bello) we could have filled the need. WSH probably takes Travieso and Garcia for Mead back in March.... LOL.
  13. If Goodman is more DH than Catcher, I'm not sure it's worth the expected cost, but a 30+ HR DH is not so bad an addition, either. I'd rather we find a "real" and I mean all around Catcher or SS than someone we plan to DH or move to an easier position in the near future. I was pretty high on some of these SS names being talked about, until I learned about their defensive issues.
  14. I think the hope is a guy like O'Hoppe is just in a short term funk. I'm not for adding a catcher, unless he's clearly better.
  15. Agreed. We might just get a SS OR Catcher (nt both) plus a pitcher. With SSs Arias, Mayer, Story, Monasterio, Cheng and 2Bmen Seigler, Romy, Sogard, Romero & KC in the system, getting a longer term Catcher might make more sense than SS, but getting a longer term SS would allow us to trade an infielder or two. I could see a rental SS and longer term Catcher more than vice versa.
  16. Maybe we can look at it like this... 1. Keep Arias: trade for rental SS. Trade Arias: trade for a longer term SS. (maybe not in the same trade) 2. Trade for a rental catcher (Jeffers?) or a longer term one and include Narvaez or Wong in a trade. 3. Trade for a pitcher- most likely a rental, in hopes we have less injuries next year.
  17. ERA- Leaders since May 27th: 19 Guerrero 20 Whitlock 38 Moran 52 Gamboa 56 Bennett & Gray 69 Chapman & 70 Suarez 76 Sandoval 82 Early, 83 Watson, 86 Bello & 89 Tolle 99 Weissert 104 Coulombe 111 Slaten 184 Kahnle & 217 Rivera
  18. fWAR since May 27th: 2.1 Durbin 2.0 Suarez 1.8 Rafaela & Contreras 1.5 Bennett 1.1 Tolle 1.1 Gray 0.7 Whitlock & Abreu 0.6 Guerrero & IKF 0.5 Slaten, Chapman & Monasterio 0.4 Early, Bello & Sandoval 0.3 Moran, Wong, Jones & Seigler 0.1 Watson, Weissert, Mayer, Eaton & Gamboa 0.0 Yoshida & Cheng -0.1 Sogard, Kahnle & Coulombe -0.2 Romy -0.3 Gasper -0.4 Narvaez & Duran
  19. Sox OPS since May 27th (half of our played games to date) Under 50 PAs is listed 1.467 Jones (15 PAs) .965 Contreras .887 Durbin .869 Monasterio .780 Wong .759 Siegler .750 Rafaela (League OPS since May 27th: .730) .720 Yoshida .711 Abreu .692 IKF .649 Mayer .600 Cheng (44) .572 Romy .563 Eaton (39) .557 Duran .545 Gasper .462 Sogard (14) .413 Narvaez
  20. Because we will overpay to get him, and word is they love Narvaez (LOL)
  21. How about some of the OPS numbers from our farm catchers? 1.105 Primera FCL/SAL .983 Gasper AAA .979 Ro, Hernandez A+ .921 Brannon AA (actually 1B/DH now) .897 Knizner AAA .842 Mussett A- .826 Jo Garcia .808 Rosario .793 Heyman .787 Hudson White ,711 Hickey (actually 1B/DH now) .674 Baez .671 Delay ,651 Ge Rodriguez
  22. I'm going with Lugo (salary dump) and Francisco Alvarez in a big splash deal.
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