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moonslav59

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Everything posted by moonslav59

  1. moonslav59
    The one thing I kinda got right about the off season and this season, so far is the point that the AL is not strong, this year, and maybe we could still make the playoffs without being all that good. That's not something I cheer for or am happy about, but it is more fun watching any of my favorite teams knowing they have a shot at making the playoffs, where to some extent, it's a crap shoot. (Note: I'm not a big believer in the crapshoot philosophy, but longshots do get hot at the right time, occasionally.)
  2. moonslav59
    Four batters in today's line-up are in the .500s, one is at .619 and another was at Woo a few days back. It's hard to muster up any feeling of hope, but I'll be watching again, tonight.
  3. moonslav59
    I fully realize top prospects don't always turn into stars or super stars, but we'd seen quite a few decent snf some nationally ranked prospects graduate since 2024 and have 5 in the top 100, now! 2024: Abreu & Rafaela (plus Slaten) 2025: Anthony, Mayer & Campbell (plus Narvaez) 2026: Early Now: Tolle, Arias, Eyanson, Witherspoon & Gonzales That's 11 + 2 honorable mentions
  4. moonslav59
    Wow. I did not expect 5, especially since Early grduated. I thought Tolle might be 20ish, Arias right behind and maybe Eyanson 75th for just 3.
  5. moonslav59
    I do agree, Devers should have been moved to 1B long before the Bregman signing.
  6. moonslav59
    Apparently, he's still better than Bogey.
  7. moonslav59
    I'm not sure Bennett is better than a pen game. I was just saying who coulda started. I might have gone with Gray on 1 extra day of rest.
  8. moonslav59
    Okay, but Bennett is starting today for Woo- it coulda been for BOS.
  9. moonslav59
    Maybe I could have worded it better, but his numbers since 2025: -7 DRS -11 OAA For a SS, these numbers call for replacement. He was fine on defense before.
  10. moonslav59
    So, only use WAR on certain payers?
  11. moonslav59
    If it works out, it may still have been "needless" or help a little, but it's not bad, if it works. All these deals are still TBD. With what we know about JHY, any deal that "works" and saves something, is a good think- assuming the money saved goes to another addition and not JH's pocket. This only matters if the guy sucks or does great, and the break even range is neutral.
  12. moonslav59
    If he breaks even of better, then the extension was "fine" or better. All of these deals are TBD, so far- some look worse than others, and the worse off ones are being discussed, so I felt it was fair to brig up one that seems to be working, so far. It can still go bad or really bad.
  13. moonslav59
    Are they easing Gray back into the every 5 day rotation? I think Bennet could have started today and been his 5th day, so they might be babying him.
  14. moonslav59
    The Yes man corner.
  15. moonslav59
    I think many GMs would view Ceddanne's contract as a plus or as something they would give something of value to get. Cheap teams might trade him in 3-5 years.
  16. moonslav59
    If he does better than his contract indicated, it should be called "fine." It still is very much TBD, but he's already "earned" a big chunk of "value," especially if you use WAR as an indicator.
  17. moonslav59
    Yes, as I said, he might hit .650. (He could be worse.) Others have written off KC already. Most have written off Bello. My point was that of Ceddanne continues as is until his contract ends (still before age 32,) he will be worth the contract or even more.
  18. moonslav59
    Of course Rafaela might hi .650 or worse the rest of the way, but i's been .714 over his last 194 games. It's been .704 since this time 2024 (2 years and almost 1200 PAs)
  19. moonslav59
    That is basically the underlying point being made, and we "put up with it" for years too long. The idea that the worst defensive 1Bman in recent memory was "blocking" 1B was an absurd point, and back then Casas had trade value or could have DH'd. Story is now going on year two playing SS while being a clear negative on D. It's arguable we have someone better, so at least there is a case to be made on why he's still there, but I'd try Mayer at SS.
  20. moonslav59
    Gray last pitched on May 6th, so he should be fine to start. (Extra day of rest) Bennett pitched on the 7th, so today would be his normal 5 day start. Bello pitched okay on May 5th.
  21. moonslav59
    The league OPS has been about .715 since the start of 2015. Rafaela is at .714. Assuming he's still an average hitter, the day he would have been a FA, he'd likely get $80M/4. He's got a 4.6 fWAR and 5.6 bWAR since 2025, and I thought you respected WAR. You seem to bending over backwards to not have to admit you might have been wrong about his extension. It certainly looks like breaking even is a near lock.
  22. moonslav59
    LOL.
  23. moonslav59
    Yes, with Mayer, his health is the first hurdle to get over. If he can be a plus defender and OPS over .725 to .750, he'll be a huge improvement over a decade of our 2B history. Campbell has a ways to go, but he's got time. Anthony seems like the best bet of all, but he's got issues to work through, too, and his injuries are starting to pile up. Bello looks like a lost cause, despite his last decent game. Rafaela looks like a plus, but it's a long contract.
  24. moonslav59
    The arb part can be projected and comp'ed after his arb years would have run out, but he was still pre-arb when they extended him. How many years did he have before free agency? He may beat out what his pay would have been, but probably not by a significant amount. $50M/8 (Let's say he'd have 4 year after control runs out '29-'32. IMO, he'd get $50M/4 easily- maybe $80-100/4 from someone.) 24:$1M, 25:$1M, 26:$2M, 27:$3.5M, 28:$5.5M, 29:$7.5M, 30:$10.5M, 31:$13M, 32:$16M club option ($4M buyout)
  25. moonslav59
    Yup. I'm hopeful with Cora gone, maybe moving Story off SS has a slightly better chance at happening a bit sooner.
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