Kimmi
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Everything posted by Kimmi
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Even the worst teams tend to win a game after losing 5 in a row.
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We should not play to chase any records. Resting players and having them healthy is far more important. If it came down to it, I would not even chase for home field advantage. Resting players and having them healthy is more important.
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The stats do bear this out. Of course it's more beneficial to the team in terms of scoring runs to have a runner on 2nd than it is to have a runner on 1st, given the same number of outs. That's not what my point was though. My argument was that the batter has a better chance of getting a hit with a runner on 1st than he does with a runner on 2nd.
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I am not suggesting that the Sox should not steal bases. All I said is that stolen bases are overrated. If any runner can steal successfully enough to beat the break even point, then that runner should continue stealing bases. Here's a question for you and anyone else. How many games or runs do you think the Sox have added because of all of their base stealing? The answer is, they are +7.8 runs on base stealing, not even one game, and they are the most successful base stealing team in baseball this year. I'm guessing that most people thought it was considerably more than that. Are those +7.8 runs important? Sure. Base stealing is important and definitely has its place in the game. Saying that it's overrated is not saying that it's unimportant. As a side note, Minn, KC, Texas, and Colorado are all in the (slight) negative for base stealing, which suggests the break even point this year is somewhere around 72%.
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Having any runner on first base gives the batter an advantage due to the defensive alignment. It could be JD on first base, and the batter has a better chance of getting a hit. Here's the interesting thing though. When that runner is a 'distraction' or a high base stealing threat, that advantage to the batter is lessened considerably. Having a speedy runner on first base as opposed to a non-distracting runner on first base actually hurts the batter.
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Statistically speaking, they are right. But at this point, it's close enough that I'm no longer willing to say that the Astros are the team to beat.
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The Sox can't get over confident or get ahead of themselves. They have to stay grounded and take it one game at a time.
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For most of the season, I have said that Houston remains the team to beat base on their outstanding run differential. I'm not sure that's the case anymore, even though they still edge us out in that statistic.
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As I've said before, we didn't need Sale. Seriously though, this gives the Sox the luxury of holding Sale out for another start.
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Isn't that the truth? I know several of us said that if we split, we'd be happy. I never imagined that we'd sweep the series. Awesome. Simply awesome!
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And oh, I never got a chance to say Woohoo! for the 4 game sweep. Let's go!
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The book on Swihart is too short as of now, but you absolutely have a valid point. I prefer defensive catchers, but you have to go with the best overall catcher. If Swihart plays well enough defensively to be better overall than Vaz or Leon, than you have to go with Swihart. I still really like the idea of keeping all three on the team once Vaz gets back.
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+20
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The fact that Cora did not play Swihart behind the plate until he absolutely had to is rather telling, even when both of our other catchers were reeling offensively. I don't think that's necessarily a knock on Swihart, but the confidence and trust that Cora has in the other two. That confidence and trust is being relayed to him by our pitchers.
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That is crazy. It's the kind of thing that makes baseball the best sport in the world.
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That is quite possible. In which case, better news for proponents of 10 years for Mookie.
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On the whole, the distraction factor hurts the batter in the box more than it hurts the pitcher and the defense.
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All of that stuff is taken into account Oldtimer. The stat geeks are very good at what they do. They understand all of the advantages versus the disadvantages, and they study all of that in depth. Having a runner on 1st base is more beneficial to the batter than having a runner on 2nd base.
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Or perhaps the Yankees just graduated a bunch of prospects, some of whom are on the DL, and the next set of top prospects are one or two years away.
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I have given Dombrowski credit for signing Cora since day one. For picking up LaRussa shortly afterward, not so much.
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These are the types of comments that are made when one knows the other person has a valid argument.
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For pulling a good move without blowing up the farm.
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FTR, I was completely on board with re-signing Masterson.
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Sometimes, but that's the job of the FO to be able to find the Beltres, Napolis, etc. You can also spend a lot of money and end up with the Crawfords and the Sandovals. At least with the Mastersons, it's usually only 1 or 2 years for a much smaller amount.
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Absolutely. Kimbrel was most definitely an overpay, in double whammy form. Both prospects and money.
