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Kimmi

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Everything posted by Kimmi

  1. Kimmi
    Nobody is saying to go out and get a so-so closer. I'm saying that great closers can be acquired for much cheaper than what we got Kimbrel for.
  2. Kimmi
    I agree that identifying those guys is tricky. But they are out there. You all need not worry. Dombrowski will overpay for whoever our next closer is.
  3. Kimmi
    Because August waivers are revocable, most teams will put most players on waivers to gauge interest if nothing else. Who is placed on waivers really doesn't mean anything.
  4. Kimmi
    Extremely sad news. I wish him the best.
  5. Kimmi
    Not according to run expectancy. It certainly would have been a less questionable move, but I can't call it a no brainer. I can't recall the exact numbers, but I remember reading something to the point that the batter behind the one being intentionally walked has to be a significantly weaker hitter to make the IBB worthwhile. I guess some people would consider JBJ significantly weaker than Beni.
  6. Kimmi
    I would have to go back and watch the play again, but it seems like the 2nd baseman could have dove for the ball and perhaps kept the run from scoring. I know that Jerry and Eck were all over Torres for a similar play in an earlier game.
  7. Kimmi
    Once again, I do not disagree.
  8. Kimmi
    Ha ha. Well played!
  9. Kimmi
    Per Fangraphs, the Yankees' chance of winning the division is down to 8.8%, despite having the 2nd easiest remaining schedule. The scary news for them is that they still have to play Baltimore 7 more times.
  10. Kimmi
    Why is my argument weak as water?
  11. Kimmi
    Well, the stats don't take into account the injury risks to the players.
  12. Kimmi
    There is some subjectivity built into every stat. I have often used strikeouts as an example. It's probably one of the most, if not the most, subjective stat there is. Just consider all of the complaints there have been in the game threads regarding the strike zone. Yet people don't seem to have any problem with trusting the reliability of strike outs, or walks for that matter. However, when it comes to UZR, the thought by many is that it can't be trusted because it's subjective. Why is that?
  13. Kimmi
    As much as I believe the Sox need to give Pom this start, I hope that Cora has him on a short leash and is not willing to sacrifice this game just because of our big lead in the division. Hopefully, Pom gives us a good outing. Keep the good times rolling! WIN!!!
  14. Kimmi
    Believe it or not, I do not disagree with anything in this post.
  15. Kimmi
    IMO, those other teams are overpaying for their closers as well. That's just me. I'm not spending a ton of money on a bullpen, which is not to say that I don't think they're important.
  16. Kimmi
    I've read a lot of criticism about Boone's decision not to walk Beni to get to JBJ. Intentionally walking a batter, like sac bunting, is almost never a good idea. I wouldn't have done it if it were my call. Once again, just because a decision doesn't work out, it doesn't mean that it was the wrong call.
  17. Kimmi
    I think there's a very good possibility of seeing some restrictions placed on shifting. Manfred is very much opposed to the current shifting. In general, people seem to think that more offense is better for baseball.
  18. Kimmi
    I read a recent article where several players stated that they are usually pitched to the shift, so going the other way is much easier said than done. They also brought up the point that getting players to hit weak singles or bunt against the shift is exactly what the other team is trying to get these guys to do. So, if a hitter allows himself to be taken out of his game, the defense has essentially 'won'.
  19. Kimmi
    Stick with me S5. I won't steer you wrong. I remember clearly that my very first post ever was a post about BABIP to the poster 30 Something, aka Valentine. The man was literally a genius. I miss him.
  20. Kimmi
    IMO, the contract by itself was an overpay, not in terms of what Fangraphs says, but I truly believe that you can get almost the same production out of a closer at a much cheaper rate.
  21. Kimmi
    Even the worst teams tend to win a game after losing 5 in a row.
  22. Kimmi
    We should not play to chase any records. Resting players and having them healthy is far more important. If it came down to it, I would not even chase for home field advantage. Resting players and having them healthy is more important.
  23. Kimmi
    The stats do bear this out. Of course it's more beneficial to the team in terms of scoring runs to have a runner on 2nd than it is to have a runner on 1st, given the same number of outs. That's not what my point was though. My argument was that the batter has a better chance of getting a hit with a runner on 1st than he does with a runner on 2nd.
  24. Kimmi
    I am not suggesting that the Sox should not steal bases. All I said is that stolen bases are overrated. If any runner can steal successfully enough to beat the break even point, then that runner should continue stealing bases. Here's a question for you and anyone else. How many games or runs do you think the Sox have added because of all of their base stealing? The answer is, they are +7.8 runs on base stealing, not even one game, and they are the most successful base stealing team in baseball this year. I'm guessing that most people thought it was considerably more than that. Are those +7.8 runs important? Sure. Base stealing is important and definitely has its place in the game. Saying that it's overrated is not saying that it's unimportant. As a side note, Minn, KC, Texas, and Colorado are all in the (slight) negative for base stealing, which suggests the break even point this year is somewhere around 72%.
  25. Kimmi
    Having any runner on first base gives the batter an advantage due to the defensive alignment. It could be JD on first base, and the batter has a better chance of getting a hit. Here's the interesting thing though. When that runner is a 'distraction' or a high base stealing threat, that advantage to the batter is lessened considerably. Having a speedy runner on first base as opposed to a non-distracting runner on first base actually hurts the batter.
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