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Bellhorn04

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Everything posted by Bellhorn04

  1. Bellhorn04
    Has to be a good limerick in there somewhere.
  2. Bellhorn04
    They're not signed by us yet, needless to say. Apparently a bunch of teams are interested in Kluber.
  3. Bellhorn04
    It would depend on how fortunate we are with health and performance, wouldn't it.
  4. Bellhorn04
    Wow, MLB is saying everything should start on time this year and a full schedule played. Finally some good news.
  5. Bellhorn04
    Yes, they traded Scott to Milwaukee so he could have his prime years with them, then traded Cooper to Milwaukee to get Scott back for his post-prime years. Absolutely brilliant.
  6. Bellhorn04
    Especially with Malpeque oysters.
  7. Bellhorn04
    Dennis Eckersley
  8. Bellhorn04
    The other premier trades were deadline deals. Dave Henderson Cabrera Eovaldi and Pearce
  9. Bellhorn04
    I think those 4 are Mount Rushmore.
  10. Bellhorn04
    Later to earn immortality with the Yankees as American Idle.
  11. Bellhorn04
    Plus he's a dope.
  12. Bellhorn04
    German was hardly awesome in 2019. He was a little above average.
  13. Bellhorn04
    Sanchez is toast. Judge and Stanton can't stay on the field. If they lose LeMahieu and don't do much about the pitching, I think there's a good chance they suck.
  14. Bellhorn04
    Everybody (except San Diego) is waiting on everybody else. Too many vultures and not enough predators.
  15. Bellhorn04
    WAR is actually a counting stat, so on average, the more you play, the higher your WAR. As a result, an elite WAR for a reliever is only around 3 or so.
  16. Bellhorn04
    FIP is the big difference-maker, I think. In 2020 Porcello's FIP was 3.33, his actual ERA was 5.64. He gave up 74 hits in 59 innings, but only 5 of them were homers. His BABIP was a fat .373. Basically he gave up a ton of singles.
  17. Bellhorn04
    Porcello would make an interesting case study for the differences between fWAR and bWAR for pitchers. His career fWAR is 50% better than his bWAR. That's a hefty difference!
  18. Bellhorn04
    But it's quite possible, even probable, that Porcello's physical makeup, preparation and pitching motion are the reasons for his durability.
  19. Bellhorn04
    I think MLBTR said Springer has a couple of offers in hand over $100 mill, but that he's looking for something like $150 mill. We'll see where he settles.
  20. Bellhorn04
    I'd go with Porcello because of his durability.
  21. Bellhorn04
    You've gone into areas that don't exist in Old School. There's another one too: ERA can depend on the manager's philosophy on when to hook.
  22. Bellhorn04
    Post-Prime Porcello is projected (say that five times fast) to have an fWAR of 1.9 in 177 innings in 2021. That's a dollar value of about $15 mill. I would gladly take him for $8-9 million.
  23. Bellhorn04
    Post-prime = gradual regression, not instant death.
  24. Bellhorn04
    From 2008 to 2012, Dempster's fWAR was never lower than 2.6. How did that make him project as a 4-5 starter? C'mon, go ahead and admit it: you think the FanGraphs values are bunk.
  25. Bellhorn04
    The only good shuffleboard is the table version you find in drinking establishments, and best played while drinking copiously.
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