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Bellhorn04

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Everything posted by Bellhorn04

  1. Bellhorn04
    There is one other factor with keeping Xander, which is that there's a chance 2022 doesn't go as well as expected for him for one reason or another, and the opt-out becomes less certain.
  2. Bellhorn04
    Personally, I would: -Keep Xander for 2022 and take the draft pick. -Sign Devers for 8 years @ whatever it takes.
  3. Bellhorn04
    Ha ha here we go again. Dombrowski was by no means fully responsible for that quarter of a billion. And a lot of the dead money came from Ben.
  4. Bellhorn04
    Personally I don't think either Bogey or Devers should make $30 million. That's what Mookie makes.
  5. Bellhorn04
    The Recency Effect suggests Stanton is a lot less injury-prone and more productive than Hicks.
  6. Bellhorn04
    It's pretty much a lateral move. Would you rather have that 1 WAR player or the draft pick?
  7. Bellhorn04
    Richards' total cost was $10 mill - $8.5 mill salary plus 1.5 mill buyout of option. You do need to be an accountant to figure out some of this stuff.
  8. Bellhorn04
    We were already on the hook for 16 mill to Price, so it would have been an additional 15 mill.
  9. Bellhorn04
    And you do more homework on this stuff than I do.
  10. Bellhorn04
    Pretty much a wash?
  11. Bellhorn04
    I can see that. But who plays shortstop for us in 2022?
  12. Bellhorn04
    You get $30M of talent that may or may not perform up to it.
  13. Bellhorn04
    Right, so you gain $25-30M but you lose Mookie Betts. Whether that's a good thing depends on how Mookie holds up.
  14. Bellhorn04
    Urquidy has a projected 2022 fWAR of 1.5. Not very exciting. His peripherals, especially FIP, don't look that good. There are reasons he's only equal value.
  15. Bellhorn04
    And Cole's deal looks a little shaky right now. Which raises the question, what are the biggest money deals that have actually turned out as wins for the team? Max Scherzer 210 million (with deferrals) Derek Jeter 189 million Manny Ramirez 160 million
  16. Bellhorn04
    The reason I said that is it was one year of Betts for six years of Duggy.
  17. Bellhorn04
    Good question. When it's equal value, picking which is better is like trying to beat the Vegas NFL point spreads...
  18. Bellhorn04
    One could say that, but Verdugo's price goes up too, so I don't think it's quite that simple. And it tends to diminish the loss of Hall of Fame talent.
  19. Bellhorn04
    Yes, but as I've said, I don't think Bogaerts would bring back talent resembling Verdugo. I think we actually got more than equal value with Verdugo. If you get back truly equal value, by definition you haven't gained a thing.
  20. Bellhorn04
    He's a good golfer though. And his gal pal is, or was, Tiger Woods's niece Cheyenne. And she is smokin'.
  21. Bellhorn04
    And even if you do get equal value, it's a sideways move, nothing gained. And you lose the draft pick. So what's the point?
  22. Bellhorn04
    It's not just the "measly draft pick". It's the draft pick plus one year of Bogaerts. We're a contending team, so we don't want to make ourselves worse just for the sake of getting more than the draft pick.
  23. Bellhorn04
    You're talking about a limited field of teams to trade with. $20 mill is a chunk of change for a rental. If it wasn't for the Dodgers we might not have been able to trade Betts.
  24. Bellhorn04
    BTW, I'm pretty sure JD just set the all-time pro sports record for most opt-outs declined in a single contract.
  25. Bellhorn04
    It would, but how much talent do you think you'd get back trading him? He's a 4-5 win player with an AAV of 20 million. What does BTV say about it?
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