The pen has the potential to be good by the end of the season, with additions like Schreiber and now Whitlock.
At the same time, so far it has ranged between adequate and awful.
That defies the laws of probability.
Under the previous system, the two Wild Card teams in each league had only 50% as good a pure statistical chance as the division winners.
The flip side of this brilliant armchair strategy of "riding the hot hand" is that a guy like Duran who's cold would be buried on the bench, ensuring that he's basically dead meat by the time he ever gets to play again...