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Bellhorn04

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Everything posted by Bellhorn04

  1. Bellhorn04
    5 back in the division though.
  2. Bellhorn04
    According to FanGraphs, 1 WAR costs you about $8 million on the free agent market. So for $10 million, you should expect to get about 1.25 WAR. That is way below the average WAR of 2.0. For starting pitchers, that's a #4, tops. For one season.
  3. Bellhorn04
    Now somebody go pore through Garrett Richards's numbers for the 5 years before Bloom signed him and see what looks good.
  4. Bellhorn04
    OK, "dumpster dive" is a mild exaggeration for $10 million. It's a touch hyperbolic. You got me.
  5. Bellhorn04
    OK, let's make it $175-200 million as top level. That still leaves $10 million as low level. The Red Sox guaranteed $38 million to a guy who got lit up like a Christmas tree for the last 2 months of 2023. They even threw in an opt-out.
  6. Bellhorn04
    OK, so there's a fun little spectrum of options for bargain hunters, from the thrift store to the dumpster behind the thrift store. The highest contract ever given to a starter is $325 million. $6.5 million is exactly 2% of that.
  7. Bellhorn04
    Yes, you get lucky with some of them. With some you get Klubered.
  8. Bellhorn04
    Physical discomfort is part of the Experience.
  9. Bellhorn04
    Are we really trying to make Garrett Richards out to be a big signing?
  10. Bellhorn04
    Yes, I've seen Canha mentioned elsewhere.
  11. Bellhorn04
    It's a lot of money in the real world. For an MLB starting pitcher, it doesn't get you much.
  12. Bellhorn04
    Yes, Justin Turner would be a realistic trade with the Jays.
  13. Bellhorn04
    Can't decipher.
  14. Bellhorn04
    I guess you could call Kluber/Richard types bargain bin or thrift store purchases.
  15. Bellhorn04
    None of us really know what the eff we're talking about.
  16. Bellhorn04
    I would vehemently dispute that as midlevel, especially when it's only one year. I mean the top level now is $325 million. Midlevel would be more like a Kevin Gausman deal IMHO.
  17. Bellhorn04
    I think "after Betts" would be more accurate.
  18. Bellhorn04
    Of course not. Like I said, there's no room for Vlad with the Sox.
  19. Bellhorn04
    He's got 8 guys with AAV's of $18 million or more. He didn't sign all of them. But he's had some pretty nice budgets to work with.
  20. Bellhorn04
    It's certainly not black and white. I think the main point with the Sox is that $10 million was the MOST they signed a starting pitcher for in the years 2020-2023.
  21. Bellhorn04
    Some people think Devers is fat too, though. These are guys with big bodies no matter what they do. You made me look up Vlad's season log, and he's not really doing much different than he did the last 2 years. 2021 is looking like a big outlier.
  22. Bellhorn04
    Yeah, I'm not really disagreeing. I'm just guessing that if he hooked up with a good hitting coach he might do better. There's no room for him with the Sox.
  23. Bellhorn04
    By today's standards, a guarantee of $10 million or less seems close enough to a dumpster dive.
  24. Bellhorn04
    Attendance has been picking up recently if I'm not mistaken. Have to remember that a lot of those tickets are purchased a long time in advance, which is one reason the team's play doesn't always line up with ticket sales.
  25. Bellhorn04
    DD's approach is pretty simple: go for the prime cuts and pay them whatever you have to. I would argue it's been a pretty successful approach over the years. Starting pitchers just get less and less reliable and durable all the time. Also let's not forget that DD left us Bello, Crawford and Houck.
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