Bellhorn04
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Everything posted by Bellhorn04
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Yeah, decisions like that one really put the anal in analytics.
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And Betts was irreplaceable, so that was kind of a problem in itself.
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Giolito was a hugely questionable signing too, after 2 months of pitching batting practice, and a contract that guaranteed he would leave after one year if he actually pitched well.
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Sam might just opt to go with humor, like when he told the press about Pedroia calling him to plead for some free agent signings and Sam laughing his ass off about it.
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Sam really has his work cut out for the next pep talk.
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Yes, this franchise sure has made some awful trades. Duquette, Epstein and Dombrowski mostly made good trades, so they should be lauded for that.
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I probably should have added Jeffrey Springs to the list, now that he's healthy again.
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OK, agreed, but it was still a dumb trade. Bill Lee for Stan Papi is part of Red Sox lore. You're trying to mess up a perfectly good superstitious/downer narrative. I was pretty high when I posted that, admittedly.
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It's even worse than that, because when he had a chance to explain himself without being in front of a camera he used it to tell fans they have unrealistic expectations.
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Why not? They could have used him in 1979 at least. If they got something in return other than Stan Papi it might have been less embarrassing.
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And it is quite possible that Henry and his budget are the real reasons Sale is gone.
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A Cy Young winner would help, for sure. Mind you these Sox are doing their utmost to make even the loss of one a non-factor as far as making or missing the playoffs.
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Chris is absolutely rubbing the Sox front office's faces in it. 16-3, 2.46.
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There's a theory that everything changed when RedBird Capital bought a 10% share of Fenway Sports Group a few years ago. It seems that FSG ran into a cash crunch because of COVID, and they got a big infusion of it from RedBird. The theory is that RedBird is guaranteed a hefty annual dividend on their investment, and that is one of the things impacting the Red Sox payroll. It's kind of a conspiracy theory, but it's not totally implausible.
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Houck has a 3.3 bWAR and 3.6 fWAR. Those are pretty much textbook solid #2 values. About 2.0 is average, and a #3 is average.
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I can't wait to hear the new messages Sam has in store for us this offseason...
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Or a little while after he took it. Craig did have to make a little backpedal speech of his own during the full throttle furor that sounded to me an awful lot like code for them doing a bit of a bait and switch on him.
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Craig's luck in his first go-round has been off the charts bad...
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I hear you. And the Mookie trade does indeed seem like the "inflection point", as they like to call them now.
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There's definitely plenty of blame to go around. I thought Casas's return would give the offense a big boost. Sure looks like I was wrong. And I love Devers, but it's uncanny how bad he has been with multiple runners on base this year, as I documented recently. 2 more chances last night with 2 runners on each time that yielded nothing.
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It's also 3 years in a row of jacksquat help at the deadline. Breslow tried, but it was 3 swings that missed by a yard in Paxton, Garcia and Sims.
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If we focus on this year's team, they were widely projected before the season to be about .500. We had a couple of bursts of hope, one from the great start by the pitchers, another from a hot streak that pushed them 11 games over .500. Now it looks like they'll end up right around where they were projected to be. So does Cora get credit for keeping them afloat as long as he did, or blame for letting them sink. I'm still going to put most of the blame on those who assembled the roster and set the budget.
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Yeah, I'm a Cora fan, but it is starting to become troubling that his teams seem to fall apart after the ASB. I'm not sure how much of that is on him and how much on the bunglers who give the team no help at the trade deadlines.
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Right, somebody like...oh wait.
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Yes, that was cursory. But there have been a bunch of studies done which are easy to find by Googling correlation between MLB payroll and wins. It would be tedious to link and discuss them all. Maybe we can have a thread on it. I saw a quick and dirty analysis which calculated the average payroll ranking of the last 10 best records in MLB and the last 10 World Series winners. For best record the average ranking was 5 point something and for World Series winners it was 7 point something. With 30 teams, those are strong correlations. Obviously there are significant exceptions too. But there's a clear general correlation.
