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Bellhorn04

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Everything posted by Bellhorn04

  1. Bellhorn04
    Funny cartoon of Drew for all his fans here. This was after the Ellsbury steal of home vs. the Yankees. Click to enlarge.
  2. Bellhorn04
    Absolutely not. He did pretty good considering the backfired offseason moves and the injuries to the starting rotation. This is on the Yankee FO.
  3. Bellhorn04
    Nava will be back. We need some left-handed bats.
  4. Bellhorn04
    I had to think about it, but here goes. I've been aware of OBP since I was a kid too. When I played organized baseball in fact, I kept track of my own OBP. Let me hasten to add, a big part of the reason I did was that I was not a good hitter. In pickup games I could hit the ball as good as anybody, but any pitcher who was actually trying to get me out with fastballs and curves could get me out easy enough. As far as really analyzing baseball stats like we do now though, I didn't get into that until about 10 years ago-thanks to the internet. OBP is not the end-all and be-all by any means, no. I like the point that elktonnick raised about Bill James saying that the big factor is the leadoff man getting on base. Baseball is not as complicated a game as we sometimes make it with the stats. All that really matters is who wins the games, who makes the playoffs, who wins it all. All this analysis and debate is mostly for amusement purposes. Obviously I'm one of the people who enjoys it.
  5. Bellhorn04
    Not bad LOL
  6. Bellhorn04
    I think the September performances thing is only partially true. It makes sense to be a little skeptical about September numbers, especially when you get into real garbage time like these final series with the Rays and Yanks where everybody's eliminated. But I would much rather see a guy hitting in September like Bogaerts, instead of continuing to flail like Bradley.
  7. Bellhorn04
    There's a reason why OPS is such a popular stat now. On Base + Slugging is what puts big runs on the board.
  8. Bellhorn04
    Lol btr
  9. Bellhorn04
    OTOH to argue that there isn't a general correlation between OBP and runs scored is also to deny the statistical truth.
  10. Bellhorn04
    The thing is though, the 2013 Red Sox were a 'drive up the count' offence and it succeeded quite well, leading the majors in runs scored. If it fails the next year is it because the system no longer works, or just that the hitters collectively stunk? I do get the argument that this system may not work as well any more, though. I think, in fact, that part of the reason we're seeing run-scoring continue to slide is that pitching and defense have the edge now with technology - computerized analysis of hitter's tendencies dictating pitching patterns, fielding positioning etc.
  11. Bellhorn04
    I think they might end up trading WMB. He'll be easy to trade because he's still pre-arb. They won't get much back obviously, somebody might give up a 'middling' prospect.
  12. Bellhorn04
    And just like that, he's down to a .740 OPS with the Phillies after chalking up 2 singles in his last 23 PA's.
  13. Bellhorn04
    Middlebrooks + Bradley with 2 men on and no outs = 3 outs in 3 minutes.
  14. Bellhorn04
    Ha ha...you're so right.
  15. Bellhorn04
    Bradley had very good numbers at all levels in the minors. He seemed to be progressing beautifully. Last year he hit 275/374/469 at Pawtucket. From what I've been reading, Bradley did make a couple of adjustments in his stance this year at the urging of the coaching staff. But Bradley didn't see much improvement and felt he should go back to what he knew best. When he was sent back down recently, there were some rumors that the Red Sox weren't pleased with his coachability. Bradley even sent out a tweet objecting to the rumors about his attitude etc. I think the bottom line is, some guys can fly through the minors and then just hit a brick wall in the majors. As we know, major league pitchers will find out your weaknesses and exploit them mercilessly. Bradley might just be overmatched, and all the great coaching in the world can't fix that.
  16. Bellhorn04
    Scully was also an excellent football commentator, of course. He called the classic game between San Fran and Dallas that the Niners won on 'The Catch' by Dwight Clark.
  17. Bellhorn04
    Anybody who knocks the Pedroia contract is basically saying you should never sign anybody to a long term contract because there's too much risk of decline. So they should be all in favor of letting Lester go...and Scherzer, forget that too. It's the way baseball is now for big market teams. Damned if you do, damned if you don't.
  18. Bellhorn04
    No, it's way too early to give up on Bogaerts. He's 21. He's hit 11 jacks. It's not like JBJ who's only hit 1.
  19. Bellhorn04
    Personally, I don't think there are that many 'garbage time' plate appearances in MLB. They all count equally in the player's season and career stats, and those stats are scrutinized to death and used to judge the player's value. They affect his playing time, his potential future earnings etc. etc. Sure there's less pressure if your team is out of it, but most hitters and pitchers are still trying their asses off because of the almighty statistics.
  20. Bellhorn04
    You could argue that the Red Sox have had very few meaningful games this year.
  21. Bellhorn04
    Maybe, but it worked superbly for the 2013 Red Sox.
  22. Bellhorn04
    You can be both an a-hole and a valuable contributor. See also Josh Beckett, 2007.
  23. Bellhorn04
    I seriously doubt they're getting to 70 now. I think they're going to lose more games than the 2012 team. Debacle-Championship-Debacle. I swear, the Red Sox are capable of more weird stuff than any other franchise in sport.
  24. Bellhorn04
    This question is sort of the new version of 'Why not us?'.
  25. Bellhorn04
    How likely is it he hits the open market?
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