Bellhorn04
-
Posts
55,040 -
Joined
-
Last visited
-
Days Won
76
Content Type
Profiles
Boston Red Sox Videos
2026 Boston Red Sox Top Prospects Ranking
Boston Red Sox Free Agent & Trade Rumors, Notes, & Tidbits
Guides & Resources
2025 Boston Red Sox Draft Pick Tracker
News
2026 Boston Red Sox Draft Tracker: Picks & Bonuses
Forums
Blogs
Events
Store
Downloads
Gallery
Everything posted by Bellhorn04
-
As I said, I'm not a stats expert, so I don't know if a sample size of 13 years is large enough to identify an aberration. The word aberration is being tossed around here without too much concern for its actual technical meaning. I'm not even sure why it even matters that we determine whether 2012-2014 or 2013 are 'the aberration'. All that aside, so as not to duck your question, in my opinion, yes, the two division titles and the two last place finishes would meet the very informal definition of aberration I think is being used here.
-
I'm not a statistics expert, but I know enough to know that you need a bigger sample than 3 to identify an aberration.
-
I say let's play best 3 out of 5. Cherington & Co. need to win 2015 and 2016 to pull it out.
-
I'm predicting that Nava will get plenty of AB's this year. I'm assuming we trade Cespedes. That leaves us with an OF configuration like this: LF Ramirez CF Castillo RF Betts ? Victorino ? Nava How the pieces fit will be interesting. But there are a pile of question marks with inexperience (Castillo, Betts) and health (Ramirez, Victorino).
-
On his defence, I'm going by Baseball-Reference and FanGraphs.
-
The 2013 offence did pretty well with Nava in the LF platoon. 2/3 of pitchers are right handed and Nava has a career OBP of .385 against them, which is one of the best in baseball over the last few years.
-
Nava has a career OPS of .760. That would probably put him in the upper 30-40% among starting outfielders, and I would guess in the top 10% among 4th outfielders. And his defence improved considerably in 2014 according to the ratings.
-
Should the Red Sox move Mike Napoli along?
Bellhorn04 replied to Dojji's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
For me the why not is that it could mean a significant downgrade at 1B. We have depth but nobody special at that position. -
But Betts may not need any more preparation, and it's pretty clear we're going all in on 2015.
-
Yes, they have certainly been accumulating a stockpile of prospects.
-
Statements like that from Farrell seem a little comical to me. Somebody should ask John how he plans to deploy all those outfielders.
-
Yes, I think that's what the history shows. Like I say, I understand it. It's a business and Red Sox fans are not the most patient constituency.
-
What I mean is, I don't think they've ever really had a 'consistent philosophy' under this ownership - not for very long anyway.
-
It's a conflicted philosophy, because no matter what they say, they always have an eye on attendance and ratings too. Personally the lack of consistency doesn't bother me too much. I expect it.
-
Latest rumors on Lester: Cubs offer is 6 years 144 million Red Sox offer is 6 years 138 million
-
No way in hell does that happen.
-
I think the 3-4-5 would more likely be Ortiz-Hanley-Panda. Positions for Bogaerts and Castillo would depend on performance. I'd really love to see Napoli in that 6 slot.
-
Nava's defence also had a big improvement according to the metrics.
-
Nava is not a 'rather crappy starter' at all. In 113 games last year he had a 3.3 WAR per B-R and 2.6 per FanGraphs. Well above average.
-
Ha...Nava will be with the Sox or some other MLB team...when will you learn not to write him off.
-
FWIW this Jake Wesley kid is now tweeting some promising stuff about Lester...this kid apparently knows someone with the Red Sox.
-
Maybe they trade Napoli and Hanley goes to 1B. There are enough scenarios to make your head spin. I'm sure they have a master plan all laid out.
-
They gave him a starting price, sure, but it's been widely expected that he would get 130-150 million.
-
Not necessarily. Pujols and Cano got $240 million. It all depends on his numbers and whether salaries ever do stabilize or if they climb some more. Right now the money is flowing in.
-
He is. It's the team options for 2016 and 2017 that are at $10 million per.
