Bellhorn04
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Everything posted by Bellhorn04
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It remains to be seen if the Red Sox can succeed with that type of philosophy. They will be ending the 2014 season with one of the worst records in baseball and a myriad of holes to fill and question marks. Let's see how much of it they can solve without 'spending their way out of it'.
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I think Buchholz is more erratic than Beckett by a significant margin. Buchholz may be the most erratic pitcher I've seen over this length of time.
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If you want to try to prove that some guys are exceptionally good at this over their careers, the statistics are readily available on Baseball-Ref.
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Some right-handed hitters benefit from Fenway - fly-ball hitters, I would assume. Cody Ross was a classic example of a mediocre hitter who crushed at Fenway in 2012 - 921 OPS, 13 HR, 49 RBI in 66 games.
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But when I point out that Jeff Bagwell's postseason OPS is 263 points lower than his regular season OPS, you dismiss it, because it's 'only' 129 PA's. Well, of course, 129 PA's is the entirety of Bagwell's postseason career. That's as big as the sample will ever be. So we'll never know if the results would have continued that way. In my opinion, we can't prove clutch hitting, but we shouldn't outright dismiss it either.
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OK, well, I'd change my vote from 'Too soon' to B, if I could, but it's too late. This would be more feasible if we were voting on each deal separately. But voting on multiple deals like this is pretty difficult, for me at least. I just don't follow the game closely enough any more.
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I don't think there is necessarily any implication about players trying or not trying more than usual. I think it's about high-leverage situations naturally raising the fear and adrenaline levels. One of my favorite lines in connection from this came from Sox relief pitcher Steve Crawford, who came into Game 5 of the 1986 ALCS after Dave Henderson had put us ahead. I'll paraphrase, but this is close enough to what he said: 'I wished there had been a Port-a-John on the mound because I really thought I was going to s*** myself.'
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Was Jeff Bagwell a non-clutch hitter? .948 regular season OPS, .685 postseason OPS in 129 PA's. Of course it can't be proved, but that's a pretty big disparity right there. Nick Swisher? One of the worst postseason hitters in history. It doesn't mean he was a choker, but it could mean that his postseason failures were in his head. I think psychological factors are very real, even if impossible to measure with any empirical certainty.
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This statement is exactly the same way I see it. There is an obvious reason that being a clutch hitter is not a repeatable skill. The pitcher is going to get you out most of the time because that's how baseball works. You can be the biggest clutch hitter in the world, but if the guy on the mound is at the top of his game, painting the corners with 98 MPH, or throwing insane splitters like Uehara, you're still going to lose most of the time. What about being a clutch pitcher? To me that's more interesting. Was Curt Schilling one of the greatest clutch pitchers, or was October just a good month for him?
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Look at the grades - they're all over the place. Too funny. Nobody has a clue, like I said.
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Seriously? Our starting rotation is slightly diminished from a day ago.
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I have no f***ing idea. And I can tell nobody else does either because of the massive disparities of opinions I've read. There is no consensus among the fans, that's for sure. But the scribes seem to think the Red Sox did well.
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Not a surprise.
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The Jon Lester contract situation
Bellhorn04 replied to jacksonianmarch's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
But how do they replace a guy like Lester on the cheap? Can't be done. I don't doubt that a lot of moves are coming. But they are taking a pretty big risk letting Lester go. Could haunt them for the next 3-4 years. -
He killed his value this year - horrible numbers, and seemingly confirmation of a lousy work ethic and attitude.
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There's also talk that Lackey could be dealt, of course.
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The Jon Lester contract situation
Bellhorn04 replied to jacksonianmarch's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
There's also a vesting option for 2017 which kicks in at $25 million unless he has a left shoulder injury in 2016. That would make it a 9 year deal. -
The Jon Lester contract situation
Bellhorn04 replied to jacksonianmarch's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
Lester has been scratched from tomorrow's start. We may have seen him pitch for the last time as a member of the Red Sox. -
Ahh, fiddlesticks! I knew you were going to crush us with the Edgar numbers. The more I look at it, the more of an injustice it seems that Edgar isn't in the HOF. Are there PED suspicions with Edgar?
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Ortiz and Martinez have similar averages, but Ortiz's counting numbers are vastly better. And I have to disagree that Martinez was a 'much better player'.
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This is great stuff.
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It's the same one you've posted on before, Fred. I don't think it's actually called Dirt Dogs though. There is a page called Dirt Dogs in the Globe Sports Section, but what's on that page is headlines and pictures and cartoons and links to other Sox coverage.
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Joyce gets green lighted on a 3-0 pitch, against a guy with 5 walks in the 4th inning, and DP's.
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Good one, I like it. The Boston Globe Sox forum is quite entertaining these days, I have to say.
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If the Sox can't get Stanton maybe they should go after Tulo.
