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Bellhorn04

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Everything posted by Bellhorn04

  1. Bellhorn04
    It's the combination of risk factors: -Size of contract - assuming it's true he wants the option year guaranteed it's $110 million. -Value of prospect(s) surrendered - assuming the Phillies insist on Swihart or Betts. -Age. -Fit/numbers vs. AL. 29 games, slash line of 279/325/488 - 812 OPS. If you could downgrade one of those risks by removing Swihart & Betts from the equation it would make the deal much more palatable.
  2. Bellhorn04
    MLBTR has some chatter about the Sox being interested in Lee and the Phillies being interested in Victorino.
  3. Bellhorn04
    Are the guidelines such that any team that signs a guy like Moncada for $30 million will get whacked with a penalty like the Sox did?
  4. Bellhorn04
    Carl Crawford and BJ Upton - 2 guys that looked like princes in Tampa Bay and turned to pumpkins when they got paid. It's a funny old game.
  5. Bellhorn04
    I think you're right. But he was wrong on that point too...Castillo got $72.7 million.
  6. Bellhorn04
    Huh?
  7. Bellhorn04
    It's been a revolving door, but hardly a disaster. They did win 3 titles with the guys after Nomar.
  8. Bellhorn04
    I think the organization has to own the W-L records no matter what the reasons. It works the other way too, that is, they deserve full credit for the good years. I too get irritated when someone attributes 2013 to luck. As with the game of baseball itself, the luck part generally evens out. This ownership has been in place 13 seasons, and 3 championships has been a sensational achievement.
  9. Bellhorn04
    I'm not complaining about our FO at all. They have made me a happy Sox fan. However, we also can't overlook the fact that the team has missed the playoffs 4 of the last 5 years, and turned in 2 of the worst W-L records since the dark days. There are reasons to question whether we've been trending in the right direction.
  10. Bellhorn04
    One of the reasons 2015 will be so interesting, to me, is that Ben and the FO have done some against-the-grain things and really put themselves out there, so to speak. They cut loose Lackey and Lester and assembled a rotation with some very suspect historical numbers. They spent big on adding offense and went well over the tax threshold even with a cut-rate rotation. Very interesting indeed.
  11. Bellhorn04
    No, certainly not. All I really care about is how analytics help the Red Sox. There have been various forms of advanced analytics in play for quite a while now. I'd like to see some evidence of how we have translated analytics into on-field success, or how other teams have.
  12. Bellhorn04
    One point on which I agree with 700hitter is that the most important metric by far is your W-L record.
  13. Bellhorn04
    If they didn't know about that, it would truly be a reason for concern.
  14. Bellhorn04
    Well said Fred.
  15. Bellhorn04
    All I'm really interested in is how this translates to better Red Sox teams.
  16. Bellhorn04
    Papi-Panda home run celebrations should be something.
  17. Bellhorn04
    Well, it's good to see we're getting this one out of the way early.
  18. Bellhorn04
    I've had some very good times at Fenway. My first visit was in 1974. My best visit was in 1986. I saw 6 games against the O's and the Yankees in beautiful summer weather with 4 thirsty buddies. It was as good as it gets. The thing I always loved about Fenway was there would almost always be somebody sitting close to you with a perfect Boston accent who was more than willing to talk Sox with you.
  19. Bellhorn04
    I think the Sox FO is concerned about how well Hamels will fit in Boston and that's why they're reluctant to pay too much in prospects.
  20. Bellhorn04
    Sox fans should be expecting the unexpected by now. We've had 4 straight seasons of surprising or shocking final results. 2011 - 5-10 wins worse than expected 2012 - 15-20 wins worse than expected 2013 - 10-15 wins better than expected 2014 - 15-20 wins worse than expected Hopefully the law of averages is on our side this year.
  21. Bellhorn04
    Agreed about Martinez. 57% of Thomas's AB's were as a DH.
  22. Bellhorn04
    Frank Thomas's election helps him.
  23. Bellhorn04
    It's sort of interesting that Shank ties this in with Larry getting old and falling off his motorbike rather than anything to do with his track record.
  24. Bellhorn04
    Last year was a very good year for getting elite pitchers at the deadline for a reasonable cost (Lester & Price).
  25. Bellhorn04
    'Hall of Fame' is not exactly clear-cut terminology. The only reason that term was chosen is because it sounds good. So why shouldn't it be the Hall of the Very Good? Whether we like it or not, that's exactly what it is. There are a number of guys in the Hall already who were only very good.
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