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Bellhorn04

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Everything posted by Bellhorn04

  1. Bellhorn04

    Golf

    Bellhorn04 replied to Bellhorn04's topic in Other Sports

    Another Canadian, David Hearn, is T3 at the Players after 2 rounds.
  2. Bellhorn04
    Sorry. Black humor is the only thing working for me right now.
  3. Bellhorn04
    It's OK. That'll all even out by the end of the year.
  4. Bellhorn04
    This team might get everyone fired before they're done.
  5. Bellhorn04
    Yes, our 4-5-6 hitters are hitting 165, 143 and 152.
  6. Bellhorn04
    You just noticed?
  7. Bellhorn04
    Most baseball players seem to do pretty good in that department. Maybe it was super models who put Jeter in the HOF.
  8. Bellhorn04
    Jays fans: Hanley is still out, and the Sox offense has started the year much worse than expected. Hopefully Sanchez can take advantage. Fortunately, Wade Miley sucks.
  9. Bellhorn04
    Huh? He's a streaky hitter off to a slow start. Or maybe he's getting old and losing it a bit. No idea why you would bring juice into it.
  10. Bellhorn04
    The Lackey trade looks pretty bad at this point. Don't be surprised if something 'leaks' out of the Sox FO about Lackey causing problems last year.
  11. Bellhorn04
    Yes, 4 years is below market for Porcello. FanGraphs predicted he would get a 6 year deal as a free agent. This is one of the crucial points of this whole debate.
  12. Bellhorn04
    Seriously? My agreement was on the AAV, not the length of the deal. I said the length of the deal was Below Market.
  13. Bellhorn04
    Now this I have to question. Which pitchers, or even players, in Porcello's age group have gotten 4 year contracts in the last several years?
  14. Bellhorn04
    I think the Porcello debate has been boiled down to two basic points of disagreement. 1) The pro-Porcello-deal side says the increased AAV of $20 million is offset by the relatively short length of the deal. 2) The pro-Porcello-deal side says if he pitches as well as he did in 2014 for the 4 years of the deal, it will be a good value contract.
  15. Bellhorn04
    And a #1 role with the 2015 Red Sox.
  16. Bellhorn04
    Yes and no. Porcello vs. Homer Bailey: Porcello - higher AAV-yes, a new level for AAV. Bailey - 6 years vs. 4 years for Porcello. Bailey - $105 million vs. $82.5 million for Porcello. Also (not that it means much, but you brought it up) Porcello is a number 1 on his own team now.
  17. Bellhorn04
    As much as I like Nava, a guy in his position can't afford to get off to another terrible start like this.
  18. Bellhorn04
    Pinch running for Ortiz was the book move there. It's weird though, it seems like most times we do it we get burned on it.
  19. Bellhorn04
    Man, WTF is up with the RISP. Didn't we suck all last year with RISP too? Sure is taking a long time to 'return to the norm', the old schooler in me says bitterly.
  20. Bellhorn04
    This one was depressing.
  21. Bellhorn04
    I've already agreed that Porcello is the first guy with his profile to make $20 million. In spite of that it's still a reasonable deal because of all the other arguments presented here, including the FanGraphs article projecting him for a 6 year $108 million free agent payday.
  22. Bellhorn04
    I'm sorry but I really don't understand the question exactly. But WAR is the metric if I had to pick one.
  23. Bellhorn04
    In 2014 a guy named Eric Stults had an ERA of exactly 4.3 for San Diego in 176 innings (the 4.3 ERA is why I picked him). His FanGraphs WAR was 0.1.
  24. Bellhorn04
    You've been using WAR a lot here, which is really good. But ERA is not a reliable measure, and you're mixing and matching new school with old school. Like I said, Porcello's WAR says he has been pitching better than a 4.3 ERA.
  25. Bellhorn04
    But you shouldn't be equating a 2.5 WAR with a 4.3 ERA. A 2.5 WAR indicates someone who has been pitching better than a 4.3 ERA would suggest. In Porcello's case some of that ERA with Detroit was attributable to bad defense.
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