I think you can pick whichever scenario you like on that one. The extension was announced before Porcello pitched his first regular season game for us, and it was probably agreed to before that, with the announcement delayed because of AAV considerations.
I agree with most of that. But it appears that even LAD and NYY have had enough of just paying whatever it takes to keep the big name talent. You guys let Cano walk and the Dodgers let Greinke walk. Times are changing.
I don't know what replay has to do with this. I guess you're saying bad calls by the ump that affect the outcome should be part of the deal - they should be one of the potential 'big plays'.
What can't be overlooked is that while Ben left the team in great shape with position players, he left it in absolutely terrible shape with pitching. The total dearth of pitching is what prompted all of DD's major trades. Where else were we going to get pitching is the question.
I understand that position. The thing about baseball is that there are so many plays in a game that you can pick and choose what you want as the key ones. (As Kimmi is saying.)
Consider last night's game. If the Sox hadn't tied it in the 9th we could blame it on missed opportunities or lousy offense or even Sale having a bad start. If we had scored 2 in the 9th and lost 5-4 we'd probably be blaming it on Barnes. If we had lost in the 10th-13th we'd again be blaming missed opportunities (or Kiermaier's catch off JBJ in the 9th.)
If we lost in the 14th Workman would be the goat.
And so on.
I understand exactly what you're saying, but I think this may be a matter of how one looks at things.
There are a lot of close games where one key play or one key misplay appears to make the difference.
You never know what's going to happen. Maybe this team turns out to be a big disappointment, and at next year's deadline we trade Sale, Pomeranz, Kimbrel, Betts, Bogaerts and Bradley for a huge stack of prospects.
Assuming we win the division, based on what we have seen this season, there would seem to be a fairly strong chance that we see one or two mental mistakes in a playoff series.
But it's EXTREMELY unlikely that we lose the deciding game of the series on a mental mistake. We haven't even established that we've lost any particular game this year on a mental mistake. I think we would remember it pretty clearly if we did. The Holt play you've mentioned is a questionable example at best.
If there was a right time to trade Swihart it was probably when he was still just an untested prospect. Aside from a good year with Portland in 2014, his offensive numbers at all levels have been mediocre to bad, and his defensive skills at catcher have always been a work in progress.