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Bellhorn04

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Everything posted by Bellhorn04

  1. Bellhorn04
    Crochet is a very interesting case for sure. The old schoolers (and notin seems to be an old schooler money-wise) think it's nuts to give Crochet a $150 million+ deal without seeing more of him. If the Sox do the wait and see thing, there's no predicting how it will turn out. If Crochet has a huge season his price goes way up and if he has a bad season it could go way down. Crochet could just say screw it, play out the two years with no extension - bet on himself. The wait and see thing opens the risk of a stud starter walking away from us after 2 years. And he'll only be 27 when he does. Possibly lined up for a $300 million payday.
  2. Bellhorn04
    You're talking about early extensions. There are also the "one year away" extensions that can be very large dollars such as the one we didn't give to Betts. And of course Crochet's would be a "two years away" extension.
  3. Bellhorn04
    Can honestly say this is one I didn't see coming.
  4. Bellhorn04
    That does seem like a good deal and a plausible one for both teams. I'd do it too.
  5. Bellhorn04
    This offseason seems to be turning out a lot like last offseason. Flurries of excitement alternating with weeks of crickets.
  6. Bellhorn04
    Nobody was crying for Pivetta's return, but by the same token I don't think anyone would have complained if he stayed. Most would likely prefer him to Crawford. Pivetta just went and got expensive on us.
  7. Bellhorn04
    Yeah, like I say, it appears the Sox weren't really that far short. But short they were.
  8. Bellhorn04
    Scott said the final offer was "almost $100 million more" than the $200 million offer. That leaves no possibility of being $300 million. It does leave $299.99 million if we really want to get silly...
  9. Bellhorn04
    If you're suggesting the Sox weren't that far short, I would agree. My best guess is if they started with an offer of 11/330, Betts would still be with us. For whatever reason they just didn't want to do it.
  10. Bellhorn04
    Me too. I predicted 80 wins last year.
  11. Bellhorn04
    What Zack Short said was that Betts was very interested in staying, just wanted to get market value (exactly as Mookie himself said), and that the Sox simply failed to get there. In other words, they lowballed him. Short also appeared to confirm the final offer was a little short of $300 million, which once again supports what Mookie said. Here's a link to the Zack Short thread. https://talksox.com/forums/topic/89091-zack-scott-explaining-the-mookie-trade-and-a-lot-more-article-from-over-the-monster/
  12. Bellhorn04
    How much money are you planning to bet on that with your wagering service?
  13. Bellhorn04
    That was the classic "good for both sides" deal, as it turned out.
  14. Bellhorn04
    Wait, which "paper" are you talking about for all these rankings?
  15. Bellhorn04
    Sorry, I don't make the metrics, I just look at them.
  16. Bellhorn04
    Bogey was not the same as Lester and Betts. Bogey did get a reasonable extension that kept him around 3 more years. He just happened to cash in on his opt out.
  17. Bellhorn04
    The Sox had 194 HR last year, 9th in MLB. Subtract O'Neill's 31 and you get 163, which would be 23rd in MLB. We are looking at a very low power offense unless the kids do something about it. And I think I'm more worried about Devers than most. How exactly are his shoulders going to be healthier than last year, which he finished in extremely feeble fashion?
  18. Bellhorn04
    There are NO good signs as far as the Sox operating like a serious big market team again.
  19. Bellhorn04
    And Teel and Montgomery, 40% of the Future 5, got chucked out the window.
  20. Bellhorn04
    Well, they probably won't offer enough and Cro Man will be gone after 2026. But hey, maybe we can trade him at the 2026 deadline instead.
  21. Bellhorn04
    So overall, O'Neill was 2.5 fWAR and Yoshida was 0.8. Yoshida is only worthy of starting at DH because there aren't better options. He's a barely above replacement level guy. And if he's in the OF it's an even worse scenario.
  22. Bellhorn04
    As it stands they look like an 84-85 win team. Might be enough to get into the playoffs, because the AL has really become the weak sister of the two leagues. Seems like that's what ownership is shooting for.
  23. Bellhorn04
    fWAR takes it all into account. I'm trying to stick with fWAR here as a reasonable measurement. O'Neill was comfortably 3rd in offensive fWAR.
  24. Bellhorn04
    I would hope you're kidding. O'Neill was 3rd in runs scored.
  25. Bellhorn04
    The Sox have been undisputed kings of baseball at making offers that fall short the last several years. Teams are very different in how they approach these things. The Sox operate nothing like the Dodgers, Mets or Yankees these days.
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