A guy with an .825 OPS against over 2.5 months is not THAT hard to replace. I would think the 'throw stuff against the wall' approach we often hear about for bullpens would be applicable here.
But I think the 'rising fastball' basically falls into the category of an optical illusion, rather than a denial or misinterpretation of statistical evidence.
I think that was when he was president of the Rangers, and it turned out to be all talk by Nolan that the manager and coaches didn't want to have anything to do with.
Sure. But I assume proving or disproving whether a fastball can rise can be done pretty conclusively with empirical science.
Whereas the attempt to prove or disprove whether clutch or protection exist with statistics has produced numerous extensive studies that have not come up with anything conclusive.
Please explain the big deal about him hitting 3rd instead of 4th.
Coming into today's game he had a 1098 OPS hitting 4th and a 1041 OPS hitting 3rd.
So better numbers hitting 4th.
And he leads the majors in RBI.
Kelly has a 0.5 fWAR at a salary of $3.8 million. That's not much in the way of surplus value.
And he's actually been terrible since June 1 - 2.5 months, not 1 month.
I think what you're getting at is that the information we're getting is true. Sale has some soreness in his shoulder and they're not just using the DL to rest him.
But protection is not really that subtle of a concept. The premise is pretty simple - the better the hitter behind you, the better the pitches you see, the better your numbers should be. It should show up.
Of course Sale also has a well-documented history of losing effectiveness late in the season, and many Sox followers have been clamoring for him to get extra rest, soreness or not.
Sure there's research about optimizing the order. Kimmi has posted some of the findings many times. I don't think the research mentions protection anywhere. It recommends a high OBP guy at the top of the order to create more RBI opportunities for hitters behind him, not to protect the #9 hitter.
In theory that's possible. But then you have to consider some other things. Such as why it wasn't working like that the first part of the season when JBJ looked so lost.
Also you have to look at from the pitcher's side. He knows JBJ has been hitting the ball a lot better lately. How much does he want to give JBJ good pitches to hit with that in mind? Especially when a single or double by JBJ puts a runner on for Mookie? Maybe if anything he has more incentive than ever to go after JBJ hard.
There's just so much little stuff that goes on in baseball.