Bellhorn04
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Everything posted by Bellhorn04
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Although one might argue that if a team can get through a whole season lucky, that's all that matters, because next year it will be a different team.
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Although sometimes the luck can continue for a whole season.
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danny, please do not invoke the memory of Al Nipper.
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And at the end of the day, teams are averaging about 4.5 runs a game, which is probably pretty close to the all-time average. The strategies and skills might change a bit but the end results are still around the same.
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Personally I like talking about this kind of stuff. My feeling is that the man who has the most info at his fingertips, both the numbers and the intangibles, is the manager. I put a lot of faith in Cora to be able to balance all that stuff out. My feeling is that he's pretty good at it.
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As Kimmi has said many times, it's also important to know which guys are most comfortable hitting in which spots, and Cora should know that better than any of us.
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The big numbers don't show everything, I get it.
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Yuge.
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It's kind of funny to see so much talk about getting Moreland out of the 3 spot in a game in which had a hit and 2 walks. It was his 2-out, nobody on, single in the first that led to our 2 runs in that inning.
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First of all, I don't get the L-R thing you have there. JD Martinez is a pretty good #4 hitter, no? From what I have gathered, you basically put your 5th best hitter in the 3 spot. It looks like Cora is doing that with Moreland/Pearce in the 3 spot.
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One of the Cold Hard Numbers is pitches seen per at-bat. Numbers won't show all the subtleties and nuances, I agree with that. Numbers will never be able to track everything. But generally speaking, large samples mean more than small ones.
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Nope, Bogey has a .929 OPS in the 5 spot and a .504 OPS in the 3 spot (SSS with only 31 PA's). He's killing it in the 5 spot and I assume it's a very comfortable spot for him, so leave him there.
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Nope, research shows the optimal lineup has the 4 best hitters in spots 1,2,4 and 5.
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You also manage differently with a lead than you do in a tie. The Red Sox had a win probability of 50% going into the top of the 7th. Cleveland had a 78% win probability going into the bottom of the 7th.
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Moncada has been striking out an epic pace. 35 K's in his last 74 PA's.
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Workman and Thornburg have also been pretty good in recent weeks.
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Regularly using relievers as starters
Bellhorn04 replied to Maxbialystock's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
Sorry Max but this cracked me up. -
I'd be lying if I said I wanted him to do well. Just because when a guy you trade away does well, a lot of people never stop moaning and groaning and bashing the GM about it.
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Kelly isn't even a set-up man at present, he's been demoted from that position for a while now.
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The thing about Kelly is, he hasn't ever really been consistently good for long stretches. Early this year it looked like he might finally be arriving, but he couldn't maintain it. His fWAR places him as a pretty average reliever I would think.
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But with the protection thing, the numbers just don't show hitters doing better in relation to how good the hitter behind them is - no matter whether it makes them feel better at the plate or not. Theory is one thing and hard cold numbers are another.
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Sale certainly seems like a guy who would find it very difficult to dial back even a little.
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A guy with an .825 OPS against over 2.5 months is not THAT hard to replace. I would think the 'throw stuff against the wall' approach we often hear about for bullpens would be applicable here.
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Panda is on the books for tax purposes for 2018 and 2019, at $19 million less what the Giants are paying him, which is $545 K this year.
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And it's a great question.
